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Bank: call to order de Lagarde

Declarations of Christine Lagarde at the Jackson Hole conference in the U.S. have caused confusion. Concerned about the deteriorating global economy, the executive director of the International Monetary Fund said before the central bankers that European banks' need urgent recapitalization. " The former economy minister added: "This is the key to cut the chain of contagion."

Thus, for the IMF, "the most efficient would be a substantial recapitalization mandatory European banks with private funds in the first place but also of public funds if necessary." Christine Lagarde has called for research by the policies of a common vision for the future of the continent.

But the executive director of the IMF gave no indication about how to get there.Thus, Sebastian Bartholomew, credit analyst for Louis Capital Markets believes that the statements of Christine Lagarde is "a call to order IMF but do not provide concrete solutions." The specialist also wondered what private funds would be inclined to give money to banks, "who wants to bring money to the banks unless the States?" Support from private funds, wanted by the former tenant Bercy seems to be excluded.

Regulators want details

Thus, fearing that such a disadvantage about the banking sector already affected by the stroke of tobacco stock this summer, some regulators would consider asking the IMF chief to clarify his remarks, reports the Financial Times.Indeed, while Europe is mobilizing to try to reassure investors on the health of major institutions of the old continent, reports Christine Lagarde could undermine their efforts credit reports free. The stress tests were particularly aimed at reassuring the financial community. French Banking Federation (FBF) was also stressed that French banks "have passed the stress tests in July European and ACP, the national supervisor, performs regular checks to ensure the smooth operation of banks' .

As such, the FBF reiterated this morning that the French system has full confidence. The Federation reiterated, like what she wrote on August 19, that 'capital levels are well above regulatory requirements and programs for refinancing in the medium and long term are conducted under conditions quite satisfactory. "

And the banks themselves have reiterated they do not need to raise new money. In early August, to mark the publication of its results, Societe Generale has reiterated that it has strengthened its financial strength, and for BNP Paribas. August 25, Crédit Agricole has also sought to reassure. The bank, whose accounts the second quarter suffered a heavy burden to Greece, said it had to end in July of more than 120 billion of liquid reserves immediately available. Jean-Paul Chifflet, general manager of the bank, had also told the BBC: "We have no difficulty in funding us."

In exchange, banking stocks are holding up well CAC40.Credit Agricole advance of 1.1%, 1.3% BNP Paribas, Natixis and Societe Generale 1.7% against an increase of 1.3% for the CAC 40.

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Free attack frequencies 4G mobile

Back from holiday, the State Council will settle a sensitive issue: that of 4G mobile radio frequencies, auctioned by the government. The decree, signed June 1 by Eric Besson, Minister of Industry, is already the subject of three appeals to the supreme court, each time for different reasons.

According to our information, took the Free State Council on the grounds of discrimination arising from immediate payment of licenses. Clearly, the group founded by Xavier Niel challenges the accepted methods of payment, which would contribute to groups with deep pockets compared to smaller players. A hearing is scheduled for Free August 30. Contacted, the operator declined to comment.

The union CFE-CGC Orange contests, too, this decree, as Le Figaro had revealed early June.He has since joined the union in its approach national telecom SNT-CGC, representing employees of private operators SFR, Bouygues Telecom and Free, but the federation of metallurgy CFE-CGC, representing employees of suppliers such as Alcatel or Sagem. Their common folder was filed Aug. 16 in the litigation section.

Interference of DTT

The angle of attack is different unions accuse the bidding, among others, of not taking sufficient account of the criterion of employment and require a location clause jobs in France. The appeal challenges the "non-compliance with employment goals assigned by law to the Minister and Arcep and discriminatory treatment under the DOM in violation of constitutional principles of equality of citizens and uniqueness of territory, "said their lawyer Anne-Solène Gay YGMA cabinet flexcheck cash advance.The third appeal was, himself, was filed in early July by Bouygues Telecom, this time on the grounds that the 4G does cause harmful interference and blur the TNT television in 20% of households. "This interference will have a major impact: TVs will not work, it will be black screen. TV makers should take into account now. That the State to determine precisely the measures to be taken ", had explained to Le Figaro Roussat Olivier, CEO of Bouygues Telecom. The bill to address the problem arising between 500 million and 1.7 billion euros, according to Bouygues Telecom. Asked yesterday, the group, which seized the State Council on June 24, had not received any feedback yet.

This file is a sensitive issue for the government, which has removed the minimum frequency of 2.5 billion euros for the state budget.For Eric Besson, the tender is "balanced", encourages competition and land use, while promoting the best heritage of the state.

New stage of the digital revolution, these frequencies are strategic for 4G operators. 4G should help relieve the current mobile networks and provide new services by multiplying by 50 the flow of the mobile Internet. Deadlines are tight now, because the operators must first submit their application before September 15.

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Budget: final arbitration to save 10 billion euros

"Real estate: the cropped Scellier

"Niches: plane and down the ceiling

"Companies: rising social package

"Other tracks: capital gains on the hot seat

Operation must! The government will this week attempt to convince the financial markets on its ability to control public finances. François Fillon unveiled late Wednesday afternoon in the presence of Baroin and Valerie Pécresse, the Ministers of Economy and Budget, the new conservation measures for France to retain investor confidence and its " AAA. "

The government enters the final stretch trade-offs. François Fillon and Nicolas Sarkozy meet to sort the list of suggestions made last week by Bercy (and amended by the relevant ministries) and begin to remove some tracks.Then the president and prime minister Wednesday to finalize the measures to adopt.

The government did not release the extent of the plan, but it evokes an effort between 5 and 10 billion, and a trend towards the top. The turn of the screw will break down between savings on public spending and further cuts in tax and social niches.

On this last point, the government does not start from scratch. The measures that were passed in the fall (tax on marriages, on the solar panels, niches plane, etc.). Will yield 2.4 billion in 2012. But we'll have to do much more. There is another month, the government did not request such an effort to households and businesses. He planned to take samples of only 3 billion. With 2.4 billion already in the pipeline, the step to take was minimal.But since the degradation of "AAA" rating from the United States, France finds itself under pressure from the markets. Even if it borrows at low levels (2.74% at ten years), a sign of confidence that it continues to generate, France must do everything to protect his note. For if it were lowered, the state should borrow at higher rates. According to the Court of Auditors, an increase of one point would increase the debt burden of $ 2 billion the first year. To prevent a runaway cost of debt, the government should not deviate from its route.

Increase in the social package

Paris has pledged to reduce its public deficit to 5.7% of GDP in 2011 and 4.6% in 2012. This objective was particularly complicated since the Insee reported zero growth in the second quarter. Bercy forecasts an increase of 2% of GDP in 2011 and 2.25% in 2012 now seem too optimistic.On average, economists expect now on a 1.4% growth next year. However, less growth means less tax revenue and more spending for the state, the social security and local authorities. Without necessarily announcing Wednesday a revised its growth forecasts, the government is obliged, if he wants to keep its deficit targets, to take austerity measures …

Increase in the social package for businesses, new plane and lower overall ceiling of niches, penknife devices ultramarine and real estate … the tracks are not lacking. The government also provides measures for the social security system, not to mention taxing very high incomes as suggested on Wednesday, Maurice Levy, president of Publicis and the Association of Private Enterprises (Afep), in an article in Le Monde ."We need efforts that will be requested to the French are fairly distributed," assured the same day Valerie Pécresse on Europe 1. The measures adopted will be included in budget 2012.

France can she get into the spiral of Greece, where budget cuts exacerbate the recession, which in turn widens the gap? A priori not. This year, increases in taxes, resulting from the measures passed in the fall, reached $ 12 billion. Without destabilizing the country.

Real estate: the cropped Scellier

Before the crisis, Bercy was considering reducing benefits. The pressure is greatest.

• Law Scellier

The niche Scellier reduces its tax by investing in rental real estate. It was expected that the tax reduction equal to 22% of the investment in 2011 reaches 18% in 2012.The reduction could fall to 15%.

• Ready to zero +

There are plans to reintroduce a means test for the loan (PTZ), in order to focus on vulnerable households.

• Capital gains on real estate

The capital gain on the sale of a principal residence will remain tax exempt. For other assets, the gain is taxed at 19%, plus 12.3% social. However, there is a reduction (10% per year after five years in prison) that applies to the capital gain and will disappear for undeveloped land for building. It is also the question of decline (eg 5%) for other goods.Another track: the system of reduction of the gain disappears for the payment of social security contributions.

Niches: plane and down the ceiling

The tax loopholes will undergo a new movement of the plane after the last year which affected 22 devices (Scellier, actions overseas, the tax credit for environmental equipment in the house). The rate of tax reduction was reduced by 10%: a rate of 50% was increased to 45%, a rate of 25% to 22% … The measure, however, has yet to be felt, because the first plane applies to the income tax paid in 2012, sitting on the revenues of 2011. The government planned to meet the plane in 2011 (eg 15%) and pass a new tax on plane sitting on the revenues of 2012.
Widely used devices, such as overseas benefits or tax credits for equipment of the house will still be trimmed.MPs want all the niches are planed. Others will disappear. In addition, the overall ceiling of niches, set at 6% of income over 18,000 euros, will be lowered.

Companies: rising social package

Social package, paid by companies on the profit-sharing and employee savings, should be increased from 6% to 8%. Expected gain: 400 million euros. Since its inception in 2009, the government increased the fee by 2 points every year! Systems loss carry-on prior and subsequent, which limit the corporate tax should be reduced. They benefit primarily to large companies but the government wants to rebalance the tax burden with the small. The carry-back would
limited to one year. And to carry forward losses from the profits would be capped.In Germany, the losses charged can not exceed 60% of the profit. However, the idea of ​​limiting the deductibility of loan interest is difficult to implement.

Tax on very wealthy households

The government pledged in the spring to tax high incomes, and a working group must report its findings in the fall. Two tracks are at this stage on the table to non-deductible from corporate income tax payments "extravagant" or create a new tax paid by very wealthy households. The latter option holds the rope in the government because it has the support of parliamentarians. Gilles Carrez, the rapporteur of the budget UMP
in the Assembly, propose to tax at a rate of 1% or 2% revenues exceeding one million euros per year. But Peter wants Méhaignerie the new tax applies from 150,000 euros to 200,000 euros in annual income for a couple.The lively debates ahead!

Other tracks: capital gains on the hot seat

Gilles Carrez wants the taxation of life insurance is carried over the water each year on their earnings potential, while households are now taxed when withdrawn at a variable rate depending on the length of detention ( 7.5% after eight years). Another idea: adjust the taxation of life insurance, whether it is placed in shares or products without risk. The UMP Jérôme Chartier wants to create an additional ceiling on tax loopholes, reducing to 50% of tax due from the advantage of niches. But Bercy is not favorable. Finally, many parliamentarians call for the removal of reliefs on capital gains from stocks and bonds (third year in excess of five years from 2012).

Box: Internet may not be unlimited

Surf the Internet at home while monitoring its consumption. The 64% of French people connected to broadband Internet via a box, are not used. Yet they should consider this option. According to an information site Owni, operators in considering the effect of limiting access to the fixed Internet to deal with a network saturation.

The thinking has already begun by the operators, with the French telecoms and consumer groups. The idea of ​​a limitation of the offers is suggested in a paper dated July 21, which summarizes the ways to implement for better consumer information. Attached to this document is an example of a table summarizing the supposed best offers.It shows, by type of household equipment ADLS (zone bundled, unbundled or very high speed), the boxes in which the operator must notify the "IP flow up to the offer," "the ceiling of consumption" and the consequences of exceeding the ceiling and a limit of downloads per session.

As the mobile

Operators could then be applied to the fixed Internet connection limits already in force on smartphones, which also apply to the sector to be regularly singled out by consumer associations. On equipped mobile Internet, the connection itself is seen as limitless is slowed or blocked depending on the offers, beyond 500 megabytes (MB) or 2 gigabytes (GB).The operator then offers to large consumers to buy a new block of bytes.

The reason given for the application of these methods is also fixes the same as for mobile phones: network saturation. In the July 21 document, a paragraph that mentions the need to ensure "continuity of service for all users, not financially penalize heavy users" alludes.

French operators and want to learn from the Internet Service Providers UK and U.S. have already implemented this system. United States, Time Warner, Comcast, Verizon and AT & T offer a connection often capped at 250 GB per month, customers finding themselves obliged to monitor their connection counter to avoid unpleasant surprises.

"Unacceptable"

If operators say consumer groups adhere to their thinking, the most virulent of these, UFC Que Choisir, insane. Edouard Barreiro, in charge of digital within the association, cited by Owni said already that "this decision is unacceptable." According to him, "limit on the fixed Internet has no economic justification, he says. Fixed costs do not vary with consumption of users, or very little. Operators are seeking to extort money from both sides: first, content providers like Google and consumers. Traders feel all powerful. " Arcep, the telecoms regulator, was also described this change as "bizarre".

In turn, a spokesman for Orange, Jean-Marie Culpin, stick to his guns. "There are some packages on which we could put the thresholds," says he Owni.But he admits that this strategy is for "people who download movies all day" but is instead "an unacceptable impact if more customers." Proof is that reflection is not yet stopped.

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Financial circles opposed to the Tobin tax

By delivering on their dream table Tuesday to tax financial transactions in Europe, Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel could expect an outcry. It has taken place. From Dublin to London via Stockholm, policy makers have expressed reservations about the proposal, while the financial community condemnation."It would be a drag on economic growth," has outraged the Association for European financial markets.

In fact, European stock markets have imposed a new session Wednesday down to banking stocks, involving an opportunity for companies to NYSE Euronext, Deutsche Börse or London Stock Exchange, may be penalized by a Tobin tax, named after its inventor.

While the Franco-German plans to develop detailed proposals in September, the Swedish finance minister, Peter Norman, shows him, already his skepticism: "I do not see the positive effects that a tax on transactions in Europe could be, "he said.

Swedish experience

Sweden keeps a bad memory from his own experience of tax established in the 1980s, before being abolished in 1991.According to researcher Marion Wrobel, the Swedish Treasury was then recovered some 50 million SEK per year, far from the expected 1.5 billion minimum. And above all, by 1990, half of the activities on the actions of the financial Nordic had flown to London, those on bonds and derivatives that have been decimated.

Well placed to know that financial businesses relocate overnight, the City has no desire to suffer a similar fate. The British Treasury has hammered yesterday that a tax on financial transactions should be global. Last year, Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy had failed to join the G20 … Even obsession with competitiveness for Ireland. London looks so New York, Dublin has eyes only for London.The Irish Finance Minister has warned its partners against the temptation to limit the tax to the euro area, to bypass the "no" British.

These had led opposition last year, the failure of the tax already led by France and Germany. The government had then opted for a direct drain on bank profits, easier to implement. Since this refusal, however, the terms of debate have changed.

This proposal is in fact in a context of unprecedented turbulence in the European markets and defense of the euro. Proponents of the Tobin Tax ensure that it is likely to limit speculation, even if professionals swear otherwise. Above all, the proceeds of the levy would not have the same use. In 2009, it was intended to finance development aid.In 2011, the EU would be well integrated in the tax budget with revenues swell to 350 billion euros between 2014 and 2020. What changed the political balance of power? Vienna, Madrid, Helsinki or Madrid yesterday reported good interest in the Franco-German project.

Lessons learned from the accident of the AF 447

The report was eagerly awaited by the victims' families as well as the entire aviation industry. The Bureau of Investigation and Analysis (BEA) released Friday its third report on the crash investigation of Flight 447, the first after the study of black boxes fished in the spring in the South Atlantic. This report confirms all the information published on Thursday evening lefigaro.fr. It is a mistake of the crew due to icing of the Pitot probes that resulted in the dropping of the device and fall into the ocean. The report describes a crew where responsibilities were not clearly defined between the two co-pilots and in the absence of the captain gone to rest pay day loans. At first the captain, there has been no "explicit distribution of tasks between the two co-pilots."It is then that pilot error was caught, inadvertently, the altitude at the aircraft, did win (lose lift) and then drove down to the ocean. The findings of the BEA is overwhelming for the crew of Air France. "Neither pilot refers to the stall alarm" that sounds, however, continuously for 54 seconds, and "neither pilot formally identified the dropout situation."

The player is used by default in the articles of figaro.fr. Maj7

Wall Street offers a respite

Wall Street fell sharply Wednesday recovering almost its closing levels of the end of June, clings to the balance at the opening on Thursday. The Dow Jones gleans indeed 0.03% to 12,307 points, while the Standard & Poor's 500 and Nasdaq 100 are respectively 0.06% to 1306 points and 2767 points to 0.07%.

The bad news accumulated including the announcement of a slowing U.S. economy by the Fed on Wednesday night. In its Beige Book, the Fed noted that "economic activity continued to grow, but the pace has diminished." The two black dots for the United States continues to use, with "moderate increases in employment" and a labor market "remained calm," and real estate, where "activity remains weak," according Fed.

The weak economic recovery is not the only concern.The other fear comes from the U.S. sovereign debt and the apparent lack of progress in Congress six days before the deadline after which the U.S. may default in payment. The White House has acknowledged Wednesday night thinking about how to run the U.S. federal government if Congress does not get along by 2 August on raising the debt ceiling, exposing the country to default.

The euro against the dollar stable

Macroeconomic side, new jobless claims in the U.S. fell after mid-July to their lowest since early April, according to figures released Thursday by the Labor Department. At 398,000 in seasonally adjusted data for the week of July 17 to 23, the first time in three and a half months that the estimate of unemployment claims dropped below the 400,000 mark.It is still awaiting figures on the promises of sales in the U.S. that will be particularly monitored 16 hours today.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro lost more ground against the dollar. It is trading around 15.30 U.S. $ 1.4265, down 0.72%. Oil prices, they were in small drop at the opening in New York, in a market trying to regain a foothold in the very quagmire of American debt crisis. Around 3:10 p.m., the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), a barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery was trading at 97.00 dollars, down 40 cents from the previous day.

Sprint Nextel fall, Symantec is appreciated

The side of values, Symantec (3.99% to 19.15 dollars) reported for the first quarter of 2011/2012 a profit of $ 172 million, or 22 cents per share. Turnover was up 15% to 1.65% to 1.65 billion.For the current quarter, the company expects a growth in turnover from 12% to 13% minimum to 1 655 to 1 675 billion.

The chemicals group DuPont (1.76% to 53.20 dollars) shows a marked increase. The company announced on Thursday a net income up 5% in the second quarter, better than expected and raised its annual forecast results for 2011. Net income rose to $ 1.21 billion in the second quarter, against 1.15 billion last year, according to a statement from the group. DuPont also raised its annual earnings forecast "because of positive expectations for global growth."

However, Sprint Nextel (-15.70% to 4.35 dollars) falls after posting a quarterly loss Thursday than expected from April to June, the third largest U.S. mobile phone registered with more departures than arrivals of customers.Its loss widened to $ 847 million, 28 cents a share, against 760 million, 25 cents per share, a year earlier.

Exxon (-1.82% to 81.79 dollars). The tanker has reported a quarterly profit below expectations, in the refining business was worse than expected.

Colgate Palmolive (-0.25% to 85.28 dollars) announced quarterly results slightly above analysts' expectations, the good performance of international sales offsetting poor sales performance in North America. The manufacturer of toothpaste and care products posted a profit of $ 622 million over the period, or $ 1.26 per share for a turnover of 4.19 billion. Financial analysts anticipated $ 1.25 per share and 4.18 billion.

Visa (0.66% to 88.33 dollars) reported Wednesday a quarterly profit up 40%, while announcing the establishment of a new tariff structure for American traders. The first global network card payments reported earnings per share, excluding special items, of $ 1.26 while analysts had expected $ 1.23.

The investment fund Blackstone (0.06% to 17.38 dollars) is in talks with the American Medical Informatics Emdeon for a possible bid. The Wall Street Journal, the purchase price could reach $ 3 billion, including debt, if an offer materializes. The company Emdeon, which must publish its results on August 8, specializes in services and financial management software for physician offices.The Nashville company expects a turnover of 1.1 to 1.13 billion in 2011.

The Ford Motor Company (0.81% to 12.47 dollars) on Thursday announced plans to invest one billion dollars in a second plant in India to take advantage of the rapid expansion of the internal market and achieve its growth objectives.

Aflac (5.32% to 46.50 dollars) on Wednesday released after the close of Wall Street, earnings per share in the second quarter from 0.6 dollar against 1.23 dollar last year. The company maintained its forecast of growth of operating profit per share of 8% in 2011 and 2% to 5% in 2012.

Ameriprise Financial (3.78% to 53.52 dollars) announced earnings per share up 22% for the second quarter to $ 1.25.The amount of assets under management rose 17% to $ 670 million.

Cliffs Natural Resources (-4.95% to 88.96 dollars) has issued an earnings per share for the second quarter rose 52% to 2.92 dollars, thanks to acquisitions and higher prices for iron ore .

Murphy Oil (-6.23% to 62.75 dollars) made a profit of 1.6 dollar per share in the second quarter, up 13% thanks to higher crude oil and improved refining margins and retail margins.

Crisis in the euro area: what risk for your actions?

Equity markets continue to remain under pressure as they consider the problem of public finances in the euro area will not be solved for the long term. The public finance crisis is dangerous for shareholders? Expert answers.

Alain Bokobza, Societe Generale, "Yes, but the leaders of the euro area are working to limit damage to the holders of the assets of the peripheral countries. We do not expect heart of contagion to countries in the euro area if credible policies to restore the overall balance in the long term public are in place. Spain seems to us on track, which should help the Spanish index. "

Patrick Moonen, ING Investment managers: "A default risk uncontrolled in Greece would be very detrimental to shareholders.The stock market has not taken a negative outcome for Greece or further deterioration of public finances of the other peripheral countries. We see no quick fix and the level of uncertainty is very high, but time is a key that would recapitalize the banking sector and other peripheral countries to stand out from Greece in a positive way. This is necessary to limit the contagion. In short, we expect that governments can save time by delaying tactics. "

Pierre Sabatier, PrimeView "Yes, and it has only just begun. Historically, we find that growth slows sharply when the public debt ratio exceeds 90% of GDP.This will happen in many countries in the coming years (due to the continued deleveraging private is far from finished), leading to sluggish growth in most industrialized countries. This environment will eventually be negative for earnings growth, which is a function of GDP growth and inflation, and consequently to the equity markets. "

Wilfrid Pham, Natixis AM: "The crisis of public finances can be potentially dangerous for the banks if not handled properly by the institutions in charge of this problem problématique.Le liquidity crisis and confidence between financial institutions could be topical.Also, global economic growth could be negatively affectée.Les equity markets have a habit of reacting rather negatively to these events. "

Ginguene Olivier, Pictet Asset Management "course, but this risk seems already built into prices depressed the shares. This is especially for holders of debt (bonds) that this risk seems more and more dangerous now. Preferred shares of large non-financial corporations, less sensitive to local conditions (higher taxes, deficit reduction, regulations, slow growth …) and more exposed to international markets. "

Philippe Mimran, UFG-LFP: "Arguably, the public finance crisis is dangerous for shareholders. It stands at the end of fiscal restraint and thus slow growth. In addition, short term, the impact of market volatility.Finally, the financial sector is particularly undermined by the risks of insolvency of the States. "

Alexandre HEZEZ, Convictions AM: "It is illusory to think that the fiscal crisis will not affect businesses. The rationalization of fiscal policy is paradoxically a very good sign for long-term growth, so for equities. Consumption depends on expected future income rather than current income. This means that any measure that will give confidence in the sustainability of the health system and pension system will be good for confidence, so good for drinking so therefore the companies for shareholders … "

Francois Chevallier, Leonardo Bank: "Yes, but the damage is probably done for the shares in favor of safe havens such as gold, stone, the Swiss franc no faxing pay day loans.The drift of public finances and State debts would be the main explanation for the extraordinarily high level of risk premiums and historically low earnings multiples. "

Matthew Grouès, Lazard Frères Gestion, "Support for peripheral countries will probably continue for some time. A fault is a very unlikely scenario. The governments of developed countries must reduce their deficits and have begun to do so. As for the impact for shareholders, depending on the method: for the moment of corporate taxation has been little hard compared to other tax and spending cuts. "

Jean-Louis Mourier, Aurel-BGC: "Not directly in the short term.It is however an overall risk that affects more clearly the banks but is likely to lead to a tightening of global financial close to what was observed following the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers (freezes interbank markets and bond, blocking the distribution of bank loans, negative wealth effects …) "

Nuno Teixeira, Schroders France: "Governments Greek, Portuguese and Spanish, in spite of social protest, have recently confirmed their determination to control the situation of public finances. The first two were given the means to fulfill the conditions required by the EU and the IMF to substantial assistance to enable them to meet their liquidity needs more immediate.While the problems are not resolved in the medium term, but we are heading towards voluntary efforts refinancing from the European banks, which are expected to find a more permanent solution to debt problems. "

Catherine Garrigues, Allianz GI Investments Europe: "There is no major risk to shareholders who invested in international companies non-financial, unless they have strong activity in Greece, Spain or Portugal. Companies in these countries are experiencing rising spreads and is therefore difficult to find financing at reasonable rates. "

Antoine de Salins, Groupama Asset Management: "The answer is yes in any case for investment in developed countries: the crisis feeds market volatility who do not like uncertainty, especially those that attach to the assets deemed safe … ..It also weighs so heavy on the valuation of banks changing just like those of the debts of the peripheral countries. "

Bertrand Lamielle, B * capital: "The subject deserves full attention granted to him but is now analyzed in terms risk only. But a stock market perspective, the financial sector is capable of a strong rebound when the market considers that the solutions offer the senses. "

Frédéric Jamet, State Street: "The fiscal crisis will affect primarily government bonds (in case of default or restructuring), then only the shareholders, primarily in the financial sector and other sectors.This impact is already in stock prices. "

Mauro Ratto, Pioneer Investments: "The shareholders of the CAC 40 will be affected, because banks represent a significant share of the market capitalization totale.Ceux holding U.S. securities will not. U.S. companies are not dependent on this region, and generate profits in other areas. "

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"SPECIAL – Europe, governments face bankruptcy

Greece offers a respite to 12 billion euros

Europe is gaining time, but did not extinguish the fire in Greece. Following a conference call Saturday, finance ministers of the euro area have given the green light to release "by July 15" 8.7 billion euros in loans that should add 3.3 billion paid out by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This decision was expected after the adoption this week by the Greek Parliament of the austerity program imposed by his European creditors. "It (the decision) strengthens the international credibility of Greece", immediately congratulated the Greek finance minister, Evangelos Venizelos.

As the new Executive Director of the IMF, Christine Lagarde, to take office Tuesday, the organization welcomed the developments."We welcome the commitment of the Eurogroup to a funding strategy that ensures that the Greek economic program is fully insured," said the spokesman for the IMF, Caroline Atkinson. No details however were given about a possible date on which the Board could meet to release the funds.

Berlin puts pressure

If these 12 billion euros to Greece should avoid going bankrupt in the short term, it is not enough to save the country permanently and fully reassure the financial markets. For this, the country has called for a second bailout International 110 billion euros. Finance ministers of the euro zone have promised yesterday decisions "in the coming weeks." For its part, the German finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, more prudent, spoke of an agreement by the fall only.Berlin looks indeed to be certain that Greece implement austerity measures quickly that the country has promised cash advances pay day loan. "After the release of the fifth installment of the countries of the euro area and the IMF, the next step must be addressed decisively: the measures passed in Athens should be implemented quickly. Privatization, for example, must be launched without delay, "responded the German Minister of Finance. Response of Athens: the austerity plan of 28.4 billion euros will be implemented before mid-September.

Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain could knock on the door

These two months of rest should also help to advance on a second rescue plan 110 billion euros. Finance ministers of the euro area have not spoken on this subject last night.They expect to clarify the private sector, banks and other creditors, imposed by Berlin to a new plan to help decide. "The details and extent of the involvement of private and official sources of additional funding will be determined in the coming weeks," they said.

Time is running out: Ireland and Portugal may need a new international aid. As for Spain and Italy, both countries are under pressure from rating agencies. "The failure of European political leaders to resolve the crisis quickly and decisively hits the rest of the euro area," says Ben May, economist at Capital Economics. The United States pressed more in Europe to solve its debt problems to avoid a global impact."If Greece fell deeper into recession following the new austerity measures, it could reduce the willingness of governments to implement additional fiscal measures," says Ben May.

The CAC 40 is depressed before the European meeting

The Paris market continues to fall on Thursday, a reflection of what has been observed in Asian markets this morning and the decline in U.S. indices yesterday. Wednesday evening, the Cac 40 lost 0.15% and ended at 3871.37 points in a very dynamic market, with over 7.1 billion traded on the benchmark index of the Paris Bourse. And on Thursday, the index still declined from 0.49% to 3852.48 points.

At the time of opening, the composite PMI, which includes industry and services, has returned to version 55.4 "flash" against 60.3 in May, reaching its lowest level since October. The growth of private sector activity in France has slowed more than expected in June.

European side, European leaders find themselves on Thursday night in Brussels at a summit to try to reassure their ability to stem the endless debt crisis in Greece and prevent contagion throughout the euro area, which worries more and more abroad. Other items on the agenda: the confirmation of the appointment in November of the Italian Mario Draghi as President of the ECB to replace Jean-Claude Trichet.

The publication of the memo on the economy of France, to be released at 22 o'clock tonight, will be watching. In addition, the G20 agricultural ends today. In addition, Christine Lagarde, a candidate for the general direction of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), spends his oral exam today in Washington.The maintenance of his rival, Mexico's Agustin Carstens, was held Tuesday.

United States, a report by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) on Wednesday warned against an explosion of net public debt, which can reach 100% of GDP by 2021 if nothing is done to correct the current trajectory. In addition, the U.S. central bank is now focusing on a GDP increase of less than 3% in the fourth quarter. New measures could be considered if the economic situation deteriorated.

On the currency markets, the euro bends slightly from 0.20% to 1.4307 dollar.

EDF denies

The CAC 40, only Pernod Ricard rises in green: 0.06% to 66.49 euros. But in the SBF 120, Lagardère stands: 2.33% to 27.40 euros.Areva takes him 0.59% to 25.50 euros.

Side drops, banks suffer: -1.66% to 39.21 for SocGen, -1.51% to 10 instant credit report.10 euros and Credit Agricole -1.18% to 42.12 euros for BNP Paribas. European banks resisted, however, a defect in Greece, according to Bernard de Longevialle, head of bank ratings at Standard & Poor's. Note that BNP Paribas bought 25% of Findomestic to the bank Intesa Sanpaolo for 629 million euros and now holds 100%.

EDF (-0.52% to 25.96 euros), which plunged 3% yesterday s "ance, had to deny rumors of leaks in nuclear plants in France. The CGT has nevertheless confirmed that called for an end of a reactor at the plant in Seine-Maritime Paluel due to extraordinary levels of radioactivity. The electrician has admitted it yesterday "an accumulation of small differences" after the publication of an article Mediapart citing incidents in series.

In addition, the dean of French nuclear reactors, the central Fessenheim, would be allowed in the coming days to continue to operate for ten years.

EADS (-0.09% to 21.83 euros). The buyers of the Airbus A400M signed a framework agreement on the development and maintenance of the fleet of the future military transport aircraft. Furthermore, after signing an order for sixteen billion dollars with Indigo, negotiate with Airbus for 200 A320 AirAsia NEO.American Airlines could also favor the European aircraft manufacturer at the expense of its rival Boeing.

Air France-KLM lost 2.06% to 10.21 eruos.

Dassault Systemes (-2.74% to 56.15 euros, the largest decline rating) expects a double-digit increase in sales in the aerospace and defense between 2010 and 2014 thanks to the many innovations offered by these sectors, Reuters said Wednesday its chief executive Bernard Charles said in an interview.

Automobile manufacturers seek to diversify their income and increase customer loyalty.

Peugeot (-0.57% to 29.72 euros) PSA installed production capacity that should allow it to manufacture more than 30,000 hybrid vehicles per year, reports La Tribune. "At Sochaux, we expect a potential of 70 to 80 units per day," says Serge Isler, project 3008 Peugeot hybrid.In addition, PSA has manufactured in Rennes, Brittany, just over 15,000 Peugeot 508 equipped with the same technology, the paper said.

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