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Aid to Greece: an important vote on Thursday in Germany

The green light from Germany, expected today, will be symbolic and decisive. The expansion of the powers of the European Financial Stability (EFSF), with 440 billion euros, as decided on July 21, is one of the keys to the debt crisis in Europe. But it requires the agreement of seventeen members of the euro area.

After France, Belgium, Spain, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Portugal and Slovenia, the Finnish Parliament yesterday approved the building.But Finland has still not clear what the additional security that it intended to apply to Greece in return for future loans could be guaranteed in the country.

In fact, while the European Commissioner for Economic and Monetary Affairs, Olli Rehn, said two weeks ago that all States in the euro area have ratified the project at the end of the month, the cacophony in the field is law.

Slovakia has postponed its vote on October 25. His prime minister supports the expansion of missions of the Fund, but are still strong disagreements within the governing coalition. Member of the euro area since 2009, was the only country to refuse to participate in the first loan to Greece last year. And the head of Parliament is prepared to "torpedo" the project."My goal is to ensure that Slovakia will lose billions of euros ( business card…) The European Union does not need our money," he said.

The specter of bankruptcy

Because Greece is still afraid. Czech President Vaclav Klaus, interviewed by American television outside of the last UN General Assembly, said without hesitation that perfectly imagined that "a country so in the euro area." He added: "I'm afraid that European leaders are still spending lavishly to Greece."

An opinion widely shared by Austria, which must meet its Parliament on September 30, and whose foreign minister recently said that one could legitimately "consider bankruptcy of Greece."Like all small countries that have not voted – Cyprus, Estonia, Malta – he ensures that he wants to rely on the results of discussions between Athens and the Troika (ECB, Commission, IMF). But the finance minister said although this ultimate solution is "better than a rescue too expensive."

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Optimism in the Paris Bourse

Monday's rebound continues Tuesday in the Paris Bourse. The CAC 40 has started on a flying then accelerated pace. Mid-session, he climbed 3.55% to 2960 points. Elsewhere in Europe, the Frankfurt Stock Exchange is 3.36%, London and Milan 2.22% 2.79% while the pan-European Euro Stoxx 50 index 3.09% wins.

Since the beginning of the week, investors won over by a wave of optimism about the outcome of the debt crisis in the eurozone. The spokesperson of European Commissioner for Economic Affairs Olli Rehn Olli Rehn, Europe is considering strengthening the capacity of the European support fund for countries in trouble (EFSF). Rumors press also reported a proposed quadrupling of the Fund's lending capacity to 2000 billion euros. In turn, an official of the ECB, the Austrian Ewald Nowotny, did not rule out declines in interest rates in the euro area.But soon, the German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble said that Europeans had "no intention of bailing out" the EFSF.

The Spanish Minister of Economy Elena Salgado also said Tuesday that an increase of two thousand billion euros in the capacity of the European Support Fund "was not on the table." Political leaders are clearly divided on the concrete responses to the debt crisis, while discussions on the payment of a new international loan to Greece, vital to enable it to avoid bankruptcy dragged on. At the same time discontent rises and Athens was again paralyzed Tuesday by a wave of strikes in public transport.

More good news, the constraint on bank lending is beginning to loosen.The private sector credit grew by 2.6% year on year in August in the euro zone, against 2.4% in July. Loans to households grew by 3% in August, while consumer loans to individuals have declined only 1.6% against 2% last month according to figures released Tuesday by the European Central Bank (ECB) . Moreover, housing starts for new homes in France, climbing 8.1% year on year for the period from June to August. However, they mark a slowdown from earlier this year: the pace of growth in the first quarter was still 35.5%. The number of building permits for new homes has increased its share by 9.8% year on year for the same period.

The euro was weakening on Tuesday to below $ 1.35. At midday, the euro stood at 1.3496 dollars, against 1.3523 dollars late Monday.He had fallen in session Monday to 1 paydayloans.3363 dollars, its lowest level since mid-January, prior to recover. As for commodities, gold has recovered slightly this morning at 1640 dollars an ounce after declining over the last three sessions.

Values ​​follow:

The banking sector is driven by rumors of recapitalization.BNP Paribas advance of 9.25%, largest increase in the CAC 40 7.46% Credit Agricole and Societe Generale 8.55%.

Total (2.97% to 32.25 euros) reduced the number of banks in which it deposits funds for fear of a credit crunch in the euro zone, but remains confident in the French settlements, said its chief financial officer the agency Dow Jones and The Wall Street Journal.

The CEO of Renault (4.20% to 25.30 euros), Carlos Ghosn, said on Monday to Reuters that he saw no sign of slowdown in global demand despite the debt crisis in Europe and economic uncertainties in the United States.He expects an increase in car sales in the United States in 2012.

The title of the French automotive supplier Aries (18.64% to 7 euros), specialized in the production of aluminum parts, flew Tuesday in the Paris Bourse, with a net income higher than expected in the first half (6.7 million euros, up 31.3%).

Thales (2.08% to 24.58 euros) for its part plans to sell part of its services activities, according to Les Echos on Tuesday. The division, which last year made 81 million euros in sales, employs approximately 500 people. Logica names and GFI Informatique circulating among potential buyers.

Dexia (6.09% to 1.48 euros) is facing a complaint from the town of Rosny-sur-Seine (Yvelines), which has borrowed toxic.The mayor filed a complaint for "organized fraud" and "deception" with a civil court of first instance of Versailles against Dexia Credit Local.

Ipsen (3.56% 22.57 euros) was acquired from the Norwegian pharmaceutical company Photocure marketing rights of Hexvix, its flagship product for the diagnosis of bladder cancer.

The retailer Casino (2.29% to 57.13 euros) saw its price target reduced from 81 to 74 euros by HSBC. Land areas (4.54% to 50.73 euros) for his part saw the recommendation on its title upgraded to "buy" against "hold" earlier by ING.

Neopost (4.05% to 57.23 euros) will release its results for the first half after market.

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Markets relapse, the CAC 40 lost 3% to 2940 points

The Greek crisis can not stop producing its adverse effects on the markets. Monday, the Paris Bourse had another session black. The CAC 40 has raised the red flag at the opening. He then widened its losses for most of the session. At the finish, he loses 3% to 2940 points.

Even gloomy atmosphere on other European financial centers. In Frankfurt, the Dax lost 2.83% and the FTSE in London has sold 2.03%. The ill wind has also blown on Wall Street. Sitting in the Dow Jones fell by 1.93% and the Nasdaq 2.06%.

Last week, European markets had experienced a brief respite, hoping significant progress on the issue of Greek debt. But the meeting of European finance ministers on Friday and Saturday in Poland ended in failure.They have postponed any decision on the October installment of a new tranche of 8 billion euros to Greece, which desperately needs the money.

Banks on the front line

The markets welcomed the news calmly. "Despite the need for action, European leaders continue to show slow and have not yet ratified the measures promised July 21," observe the experts Saxo Bank guaranteed high risk personal loans. But for the strategists of Aurel BGC, the markets will continue to brood, "as investors will not feel that a lasting solution was found for Greece."

Trying once again to reassure the French Minister of Economy Baroin said that the issue of a default of Greece, feared by some observers was "not a working hypothesis" in the zone euro.Investor caution was also reinforced by the expectation of two important deadlines in the afternoon. A teleconference between the Greek Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos and the Troika, "between the European Commission, the ECB and the IMF. In the U.S., investors sifting through the intervention of President Barack Obama, who introduced new measures to reduce the deficit amounting to 3 trillion dollars. Bank stocks were again at the forefront. BNP Paribas lost 5.48% and 6.70% Societe Generale.

Darty advantage of the web to gain ground

Darty seems to have found the parade. In France, the company has "re-recorded a performance superior to the commercial market," said the British parent company Kesa. In other words Darty has taken market share from its competitors. And thanks to strong growth in sales darty.com, which rose by 18%. "This growth is profitable," said Thierry Falque-Pierrotin, managing director of Kesa. The website, which became commercial in 1999, now accounts for 12% of the turnover of the group. Globally, sales of Darty fell 3.7% between early May and mid-August.

"The beginning of the year was difficult," says Thierry Falque-Pierrotin. Involved, the lack of major sporting event like the World Cup football last year which had boosted sales of televisions. "Conditions should remain still difficult for some time," added the CEO.According to GfK, sales of consumer electronic products fell 11.3% in the first half in Western Europe.

The distributor hopes to continue to succeed at the game perfecting his model. "We are professionals and will further improve in-store assisted sales and other services. We install, for example, listening zones in our stores to test the helmets, "says general manager. The company is also continuing successfully its growth in the kitchen. Market entry in 2007, Darty offers these products in 21 stores of 223 and plans to do the same in another 11 outlets by the end of the year. "As in our other segments, we want to offer good price and good service in the kitchen. This strategy has already allowed us to gain market share ", says Thierry Falque-Pierrotin.

Hesitant, Wall Street closed on a small rise

The U.S. stock markets in the green close an arduous one session on Tuesday. After starting down, the Dow ended with a gain of 0.40% to 11,105.85 points while the Nasdaq climbed 1.49% to 2532.15 points and the S & P 500 by 0.91% in 1172 , 87 points.

Investors had eyes turned to Europe, where each new about the problems of sovereign debt is analyzed carefully. Like yesterday, the news that Rome had asked Beijing to make significant repurchases of its sovereign debt, has indeed done so. While Italy has been completely denied the reports, the fact that China could get involved gives some confidence to operators.

Similarly, another new fueling hope the five emerging BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) should discuss next week the opportunity to assist the EU in turmoil the debt crisis. They could increase their holdings of bonds denominated in euros.

Finally, the announcement of a conference call Wednesday between Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor feeds market recovery. Some investors have been dreaming of sensational announcements.

The United States involved

U.S. operators, such as Europe and Asia, remain very concerned about Greece. They fear it will not be able to meet these budget commitments, which threaten to bankrupt the country and aggravate the crisis in Europe.An output of the euro in Greece is also now considered by many economists.

This morning Jean-Pierre Jouyet, chairman of the Financial Markets Authority (AMF), said on iTV that Greece may have to undergo further restructuring of its debt than expected. German side, Angela Merkel is trying to catch up about his Economy Minister Philipp Rösler, who spoke Monday the event of a default of Athens.In a radio interview BBB, the Chancellor found it necessary to "avoid any uncontrolled process in the euro area."

The United States also stressed that they became involved in resolving the crisis in the eurozone, as the Treasury secretary, Timothy Geithner will participate Friday in the meeting of Ministers of Economy and Finance Union European Poland.

The U.S. deficit rises again

On the foreign exchange market, the euro was down slightly Tuesday against the dollar and the yen on Monday after falling $ 1.35 for the first time since February and the lowest for 10 years against the yen, and the voltage was strong, the markets fear more a possible failure of Greece.At the opening in New York, the European currency was worth 1.3673 dollars against 1.3624 dollars.

As for oil prices, they ended up sharply Tuesday, the market betting on a sharp drop in crude inventories in the United States, despite pessimistic forecasts of consumption of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IEA). On the New York Mercantile Exchange, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for October delivery ended at 90.21 dollars, up 2.02 dollars compared to the previous day.

On the macroeconomic front, the prices of imported products in the United States had started to decline in August, according to figures released by the Washington Department of Labor. The price index for the ministry declined 0.4% from the previous month, after rising 0.3% in July. This is its second decline in three months.It is lower than in June, where import prices have declined for the first time in a year (0.7%).

The fiscal deficit of the United States it is increased again in August after four consecutive months of decline, according to figures released Tuesday in Washington by the Treasury Department. The negative balance of public finances of the federal state stood at 134.152 billion dollars for the eleventh month of the fiscal year 2010-2011, 48% more than in August 2010, the ministry said.

Samsung attack Apple

The side of values, Hewlett-Packard (0.53% to 22.70 dollars) announced on Tuesday that 41.62% of the shareholders of Autonomy UK (1.63% to 39.85 dollars) had supported its bid.The U.S. group also announced it was extending its offer until Oct. 3.

The giant South Korean Samsung Electronics Electronicsa complaint in France against its U.S. rival Apple (1.23% to 384.62 dollars) for a litigation involving three patents relating to UMTS technology. "The complaint focuses on three technology patents, and not the design of the shelves," as was the case during a recent trial in Germany, said a spokesman for Samsung.

Rating agencies could worsen them. Moody's (3.29% to 30.46 dollars) has indeed said yesterday that it planned to degrade the note by the McGraw-Hill (3.01% to 41.471 dollars) has announced its intention to focus on rival rating agency Standard and Poor's division after educational activities.Fitch has already passed the act.

For his part Nordson Corp. (5.39% to 42.59 dollars) yesterday announced after the close had authorized a share repurchase program of $ 100 million.

Note also the U.S. internet group AOL (-2.47% to 14.39 dollars) has appointed a new editor for TechCrunch, the site of information on technologies he had bought in September 2010, after 10 days controversy over the fate of the former owner, Michael Arrington. The new editor is Erick Schonfeld, Associate Editor edited by Michael Arrington. AOL announced that Michael Arrington, founder of the site, decided to leave TechCrunch and AOL to devote to investment funds that it recently launched.

The Asian market reassured by Wall Street

The Asian market continues on the way up. Thursday again, investors are driven by the mood of U.S. markets which closed yesterday on a fourth straight session in the green. The European market has also sent positive signals. Investors are reassured by the Fed does not exclude to use new tools of monetary easing to support growth, as well as encouraging indicators.

The Nikkei above the 3900 points

In Tokyo, the Nikkei, which started the day on an increase of 0.63%, jumped 1.18% to 9060.80 points at closing. It thus goes beyond the psychological barrier of 9000 points for the first time in two weeks. The technology sector is facing in the image of Casio (3.91% to 504 yen) and Kyocera (2.28% to 7160 yen). Sony (1.98% to 1698 yen) and Toshiba (0.90% to 334 yen) also support the rating.

In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng up 1.10% to 20,760.80 points, also pulled up by the technology sector. Foxconn wins 3.10%, 3.64% Lenovo, Alibaba.com 5.33% and 2.30% Tencent Holdings. The Shanghai Stock Exchange a little more concerned about risk tightning money while the government has reaffirmed it a priority to price stabilization. The Shanghai Composite lost 0.61% to 2829.41 points.

The Australian S & P gained 0 payday loans direct lenders.63%, the Korean Kospi is 2.10% and 1.59% of India Sensex.

China: good news macroéoconomiques

Also Thursday, the good news fell in Asia. The index of manufacturing activity in China reached the final 50.9 in August, against 50.7 in July. The first estimate of the index of purchasing managers HSB had reported a slight slowdown, with a flash PMI at 49.8 in August from 49.3 in July.PMI purchasing managers suggests that "manufacturing activity is stabilized despite the tightening of monetary conditions in the country and soft demand abroad," said Ker Chung Yang, an analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore .

In Japan, new vehicle sales, excluding mini-models, were down 25.5% in August compared to the same month last year, to 216,510 copies.

In Australia, retail sales figures were stronger than expected last month, up 0.5%.

Oil up

Oil prices were also up Thursday morning in electronic trading in Asia. In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October gained 21 cents to 89.02 dollars per barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery 29 cents to 115.14 dollars.

Box: Internet may not be unlimited

Surf the Internet at home while monitoring its consumption. The 64% of French people connected to broadband Internet via a box, are not used. Yet they should consider this option. According to an information site Owni, operators in considering the effect of limiting access to the fixed Internet to deal with a network saturation.

The thinking has already begun by the operators, with the French telecoms and consumer groups. The idea of ​​a limitation of the offers is suggested in a paper dated July 21, which summarizes the ways to implement for better consumer information. Attached to this document is an example of a table summarizing the supposed best offers.It shows, by type of household equipment ADLS (zone bundled, unbundled or very high speed), the boxes in which the operator must notify the "IP flow up to the offer," "the ceiling of consumption" and the consequences of exceeding the ceiling and a limit of downloads per session.

As the mobile

Operators could then be applied to the fixed Internet connection limits already in force on smartphones, which also apply to the sector to be regularly singled out by consumer associations. On equipped mobile Internet, the connection itself is seen as limitless is slowed or blocked depending on the offers, beyond 500 megabytes (MB) or 2 gigabytes (GB).The operator then offers to large consumers to buy a new block of bytes.

The reason given for the application of these methods is also fixes the same as for mobile phones: network saturation. In the July 21 document, a paragraph that mentions the need to ensure "continuity of service for all users, not financially penalize heavy users" alludes.

French operators and want to learn from the Internet Service Providers UK and U.S. have already implemented this system. United States, Time Warner, Comcast, Verizon and AT & T offer a connection often capped at 250 GB per month, customers finding themselves obliged to monitor their connection counter to avoid unpleasant surprises.

"Unacceptable"

If operators say consumer groups adhere to their thinking, the most virulent of these, UFC Que Choisir, insane. Edouard Barreiro, in charge of digital within the association, cited by Owni said already that "this decision is unacceptable." According to him, "limit on the fixed Internet has no economic justification, he says. Fixed costs do not vary with consumption of users, or very little. Operators are seeking to extort money from both sides: first, content providers like Google and consumers. Traders feel all powerful. " Arcep, the telecoms regulator, was also described this change as "bizarre".

In turn, a spokesman for Orange, Jean-Marie Culpin, stick to his guns. "There are some packages on which we could put the thresholds," says he Owni.But he admits that this strategy is for "people who download movies all day" but is instead "an unacceptable impact if more customers." Proof is that reflection is not yet stopped.

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Despite sluggish growth, employment improves

It's the only bright spot in the dark landscape cyclical French: the labor market continued to regain strength. In the second quarter, 68,300 jobs were created in the nonprofit sector. This is 10,000 more than in the first quarter.

The tertiary sector contributes almost exclusively to these creations (57,200 jobs), the industry confirms his recovery: 6600 jobs were created in this sector, according to Insee. This is his second consecutive quarter of growth. "This sector lost jobs every quarter since 2001," says INSEE.

Only government minister to be able to celebrate yesterday, Xavier Bertrand (Labour, Employment, Health) welcomed that "210,600 jobs a year (have) been created." He sees "a positive signal about the vitality of the real economy." This movement is all the more surprising that growth has been sluggish in recent months.

"You have to look at the figure of 0% over the period issued yesterday: considering the annual growth and relating to the last four quarters, we see that the quarterly growth rate is invariably French 0.4%, says Frédéric Gonand, associate professor of economics at Paris Dauphine. This shows that even with 1.6% annual rate, which corresponds to its potential growth, France is creating jobs. "

According to Dares, the index of the basic monthly wage (SMB) increased by 0.6% in the second quarter, representing an increase of 2.1% over one year. This significant increase of basic wages does not mean a sharp increase in the purchasing power of households. In the second quarter, prices rose 0.5% year on year and they operate around 2%.The purchasing power has improved very little, which explains the weakness of consumption in recent months.

Disinflation energy

But-and this is another rare good news in the farm figures released yesterday, according to Insee, the consumer prices fell by 0.4% in July. A decline mainly due balances but also by the expansion of energy prices. Under these conditions, if the job market continues to grow at the same pace as earlier this year, the disposable income of households could improve a little.

"Disinflation energy currently underway should provide some support the purchasing power of households," say economists at Natixis.The main pillar of the French economy will be a little stronger in the second half, provided that the fiscal savings provided by the government do not result in a tax grab too much, the experts continue to Natixis.

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The Paris Bourse expected a slight increase

European stock exchanges succeed they continue their rebound started the day before? Investors should prove once again nervous at the end of a week marked by extreme market volatility, which saw the CAC 40 push the psychological threshold of 3000 points during trading Thursday before returning to the colors.

Friday morning, the Paris index is expected a slight increase of 0.4%. Thursday, ACC closed up 2.59% to 3089.66 points, after falling in mid-session. The day before, the Paris index plunged more than 5%. The same volatility dominates in Frankfurt the Dax closed up 3.28% and in London where the FTSE-100 index gained 3.11%.

Investors were reassured by the announcement of a meeting between Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel on August 16 to issue joint proposals on the governance of the euro area.In addition, U.S. markets were supported by two good indicators of the jobless and real estate. Wall Street has ended sharply higher: the Dow Jones has gained 4% and the Nasdaq 4.69%.

Another announcement that should bring some calm markets: such as Belgium, Spain and Italy, France announced Thursday the ban on short selling in the securities of eleven banks and insurance companies to counter the extreme volatility of the stock market values. Among the relevant securities, BNP Paribas, which issued a statement Thursday night to reaffirm the strength of its capital, Societe Generale and Credit Agricole online payday loans.

No growth in the second quarter

On the macroeconomic front, INSEE reported this morning from zero growth in the second quarter in France (0.0%), against an increase of 0.9% in the first quarter.Inflation also slowed: the consumer prices fell by 0.4% in July, resulting in an increase of 1.9% over the year (against 2.1% from June 2010 to June 2011 ).

Oil is, meanwhile, resumed its decline in trade in Asia, having recovered Thursday in the United States. In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" lost 47 cents to 85.25 dollars and that of Brent North Sea fell by 57 cents to 107.45 dollars.

Other values ​​to follow, Europacorp, the production company of Luc Besson, Thursday reaffirmed its goal of a return to balance for the current year, despite a sharp decline in sales the first quarter.

Derichebourg Thursday confirmed its target of improving its annual net income, after recording a sharp increase in sales over the first nine months of the year.

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The IMF releases 3.2 billion euros for Greece

The board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) met Friday in Washington, approved, as expected, the release of a new tranche of 3.2 billion euros for Greece.

It is in addition to 8.7 billion euros released a week ago by the European Union. This round of 12 billion euros is the fifth of the rescue plan 110 billion approved last year. It should enable the country to repay much of its debt maturing July 15 (EUR 2.4 billion to good six months) and 22 July (2 billion euros good for three months).

But Greece, the public debt (354.5 billion euros at end March) shook up the United States, is not out of the rut.Athens calls for a hue and cry a second bailout, a value equivalent to the first, or 110 billion euros, for which the Europeans require the participation of the private sector. A meeting of the Eurogroup in Brussels next Monday, followed by a council of finance ministers the following day was supposed to define its contours. But it will not succeed, as the differences remain significant even within the Union. At best, a decision is expected in mid-September, confirmed the new Greek Finance Minister, Evangelos Venizelos.

Taboo

For many scholars, starting with the rating agencies as criticized in recent days, the private sector's contribution to the recovery plan would resemble a Greek default, since creditors will not get their refunds in time and hour.A nightmare scenario that Europeans seek to avoid at all costs. Without having yet found the parade.

And meanwhile, some still waving the event of a release of the euro area. An expert in Brussels who had requested a report before he leaves office, a judge at the end of the decade "there may well still have 17 members, but the question is whether this will be the same that 'today. "

The subject is taboo, but if Greece were to be found in default, many experts believe that the only way to redress the country's economy would be a devaluation, and thus an exit from the euro. This had been done in Argentina in 2002, winning its currency, the peso, the U.S. dollar.