After two days of contacts with the new CEO of France Telecom, Stephane Richard, and Chief Financial Officer Gervais Pellissier, the Oddo Securities analysts draw conclusions rather reassuring: the new management team "has the qualities needed to improve the social climate within the group, without deteriorating financial goals.
Stephane Richard, who replaced Didier Lombard on 1 March, has confirmed giving priority to the alleviation of social relations within the group.Oddo Securities said in a note published today have felt the new management as "very attentive, controlling well the great social, financial, and fellows of the group and sector, and wishing to show more transparency and sense that commercial shine.
Social criteria are taken into account for the premiums
Among the concrete steps, variable pay (bonuses) for a little over a thousand leaders in France will now be indexed to 50% on financial criteria (against 80% previously), to 20% on quality criteria Services (unchanged), and 30% on social criteria (non-existent before), if possible, quantifiable as absenteeism.
Furthermore, agreement with unions was recently signed to the senior part-time and mobility.And an action plan is provided, internally, to "motivate all the teams around unifying themes, they add, such as quality of service, accountability teams decentralizing some decision-making, improved working conditions, etc..
Management believes these new devices n'impacteront hardly the finances of France Telecom, which has already made "significant restructuring since 2002," says Oddo, who adds that the cost of social concessions is already integrated in the accounting 8 billion euros of cash flow in 2010.
The operational track
Besides the social side, management has raised a dynamic business "still very strong in the mobile in France and Great Britain. The target of 35% ADSL market share in 2010 is maintained.
Investments should be under control, "the group had no problem of saturation of its mobile networks. France Telecom does not accelerate but rather the deployment of 4G from mid-2011 if necessary, "says Oddo.
Considering all this information, the team of analysts expressed confidence in the ability of France Telecom to maintain its dividends "beyond 2011".
Acquisition strategy shy
No big acquisitions in sight. While St?phane Richard wants to promote growth in the long-term actions to respond to the stock market rising, it remains on the defensive. A shift could occur if a major consolidation movement was born.
France Telecom remains focused on some inexpensive targets outside Europe or purchases "in market" in the Old Continent.Oddo suspected a connection between Telenet and Mobistar, or rallying with a fixed player in Spain. In Britain, the broker anticipates that the joint venture Orange / T-Mobile UK will seek a buyer for its fixed network. Ultimately, it is also possible that the joint venture includes a British MNVO (MVNOs) like Virgin Mobile.
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As expected, the increase in U.S. indices is very shy. Investors are always in effect evidence of caution before the publication of several major macroeconomic indicators. In early trading, the Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 advanced 0.04% to 10,572 points and 0.01% at 2340 points. Tuesday after a turbulent session, the U.S. stock markets finished slightly higher, the Nasdaq has shackled its tenth session in the green.
The next U.S. statistics are expected Wednesday, with the traditional weekly report on unemployment, wholesale inventories in January and after closing the federal budget in February.Weekly Market in the United States, will then be placed under the sign consumer with the publication tomorrow of the sales details for the month of February and the preliminary estimate of consumer confidence.
Oil finished down slightly on Tuesday on the New York market, falling from a high of eight weeks, the April contract closed down 0.5%, to 81.49 dollars, penalized by a stronger currency U.S..
AIG rise another 12%
On the side of values, the insurance giant AIG, which forced march to advance its restructuring was awarded 13% Saturday and climbed again this Wednesday, from 12.57% to 36.89 dollars. Traders welcomed the efforts made by the insurance company to reimburse the state aid, a shareholder at 80%. The group conducted a series of steep cuts to enable it to garner around 25 billion dollars.
Citigroup allows itself for its 4.19% to 3.98 dollars after yesterday awarded more than 7.5%. The state could sell shares in the bank.
United Airlines has announced a growth of 18% of its turnover in passenger transport on February. The president said the group observed clear signs of renewed activity. Note, however, the snowstorms have affected the company announced a loss of 40 million due to the cancellation of hundreds of flights. The securities are 3.69% on Wednesday to 18.83 dollars.
Facet Biotech Corp. has accepted the takeover offer made by Abbott Laboratories, priced at $ 27 per title, a cash offer totaling $ 450 million. Direct impact on the stock market: Facet Biotech Corp. explodes from 66.19% to 26.94 dollars.Abbott remains in equilibrium.
Cisco on Tuesday claimed a major milestone in the conquest of Internet connections at very high rates, presenting a new router overkill.
The number one worldwide in street furniture, JC Decaux SA, published its 2009 results on Wednesday. Its sales are down 11.5% to 1.919 billion euros owing particularly to the fall of the advertising market. At constant scope and exchange rates, turnover is down 10.9%. Its net profit after minority interests fell to him, from 77.3% to 24.5 million due primarily to lower operating margin.
The group's operating margin has in fact declined from 28.7% to 392 million euros. It reduces the overall activities of the group: -24.8% in urban furniture, -32.6% in transport and 46.1% in display.Despite this sharp decline in operating margin and the impact of the acquisition of an additional 49.2% stake in Wall AG, JCDecaux has reduced its net debt at December 31, 2009 of 36.6 million euros to $ 670 million payday loans for bad credit .
A 2010 uncertain
For the year 2010, the Chief Executive and Co-CEO, Jean-Francois Decaux expects "organic growth of around 5% in first quarter 2010. Nevertheless, the market continues to be characterized by reduced visibility and the possibility that we are at the beginning of a sustained recovery in the advertising market remains uncertain. "He adds, the Supervisory Board will also not pay a dividend in respect of 2010. "
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The "revolution" promised by Apple will wait a bit. On Friday, the U.S. group announced that its touch pad will be marketed in France and in several other countries until the end of April, a month later than originally indicated. Only Americans can place orders from March 12. In the U.S., shipments of the model with a WiFi connection indeed begin earlier, April 3. The model with 3G as it arrives at the end, as in France, where the two versions will be available at the same time.
Rumors of a delay in the iPad was buzzing for several days. Monday, analyst Peter Misek, Canaccord Adams, had reported the first production of concerns among suppliers of Apple. "We learned that the launch of the iPad would be limited, while congestion in manufacturing has impacted the production of new aircraft," he wrote.Hence the choice of restricting output in the United States, the time to increase the production rate. But on Wednesday, contradictory information had been circulated. Apple has not commented on this point.
"The risk of frustration"
This delay, however, should have little impact on sales. "We believe that the only impact of this delay could come from the frustration of consumers and product launch somewhat tarnished for Apple," wrote Peter Misek. According to his estimates, some 550,000 tablets could be sold by the end of June, up 1.2 million and 3.5 million in October the following year. Early studies indicate that the entry-level models (WiFi, 16GB of storage, $ 499) and high range (WiFi and 3G, 64GB storage, $ 829) are the most requested.Prices in euros are not yet known.
Beyond the case of Apple, the delay gives the tablet a little air to developers who rush to provide software adapted from the start. If the iPad can run applications from the iPhone by doubling the required size on the screen, the device opens the field for specific uses, including through the development of new menus in the interface and d an optional keyboard. However, outside of Apple and some major publishers like Electronic Arts and the New York Times, most developers have started work on the iPad after his presentation, January 27.
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Vivendi was convicted Friday of having provided misleading information to shareholders as part of the class action initiated in 2002 in the United States. Upon initiation of the Paris stock market on Monday, the action the French media group has shown in red lantern: Vivendi lends more than 3.6% at midday, to 18.1 euros. Since the start of the trial, which opened October 5, 2009, the stock has skidded 15%.
Vivendi has said it would immediately seek the annulment of the verdict, considering many have grounds for appeal, including the admission of French shareholders in the process and "the wrong method of calculation of damages by the plaintiffs .
Precisely, the question of damages is central.Natixis Securities (review "step up" with a target price of 20.5 euros) says it is for now "impossible to know the benefits that will ultimately claimed. But we know the upper limit, namely 6.6 billion euros, according to plaintiffs' lawyers.
Uncertainty about the amount of compensation
The broker table for the moment on the assumption that 50% of claimants will be compensated – or they do not require as happens in 25 to 30% of cases for class-actions in the United States or that they are not eligible – the amount of damages would range around 3.3 billion euros creditreport .
CM-CIC, which is to "hold" while reducing its theoretical value from 21 to 20 euros, the risk is estimated at 2 billion euros.The broker said to have maintained a 20% discount in its estimates, "given the uncertainties posed by this litigation."
Uncertainties that will influence, and that will last. Vivendi said the prospective payment amounts would be "uncertain for an extended period yet undetermined.
According to CM-CIC, the final verdict on appeal, will not occur until 2011-2012. Vivendi should not provisioned hedge risk in its 2009 accounts.
Nevertheless, this verdict is limiting financial flexibility, Vivendi, at a time when external growth is central to its strategy.
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U.S. exchanges are connected to the cautious mode. At the opening, the Dow Jones earns a "small" 0.01%, before the publication of statistics of disappointing, while the Nasdaq lost 0.18%.
The expectation results from Intel, which will be announced tonight after-hours trade, is felt. The day before, markets have been supported by financial stocks and ended the session up support. And this morning, Asian stock markets ended in green.
According to the Fed, interest rates remain permanently low. The Minutes of the FOMC have confirmed a continuing recovery in economic activity, but the country still convalescing.On Wednesday, the United States has issued a budget deficit widened in December, reaching 91.85 billion dollars.
In Europe, the ECB left its key interest rates to 1% on Thursday.
Disappointments side statistics
The number of registered unemployed in the United States was up more than expected during the week ending January 9, according to figures released Thursday by the Labor Department. In data adjusted for seasonal variations, these weekly applications for unemployment benefits rose for the second consecutive week to 444,000 against 433,000 (revised) the previous week.
Another disappointment, retail sales in the U.S. fell against all odds in December, according to official figures released Thursday in Washington, but this masks a bad performance review of their surge up the previous two months.
Sales at retailers and restaurants fell 0.3% in November (data seasonally adjusted), said the Commerce Department, while analysts were waiting up 0.5%, according to their median consensus .
And import prices in the United States remained stable in December compared to the previous month and rose 8.6% over the whole of 2009 due to high prices of energy, according to figures released Thursday by the Labor Department.
Mixed opening for banking
President Obama should present today (noon, local time) measures to facilitate the repayment of public aid for banks and given guidance on the new tax credit. Shortly after opening, JP Morgan Chase gained 1.06% to 44.73%, Bank of America 0.54% to 16.71 dollars. In contrast, Morgan Stanley sells 0.83% to $ 31 and Goldman Sachs 0.69% to 167.90 dollars. Wednesday at the close, Bank of America gained 1.6%, 1.8% JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley 0.4% Goldman Sachs 0.7%. To recall, JP Morgan Chase will release Friday.
Hershey (-3.02% to 36.61 dollars) has proposed a new offer to buy Cadbury, the Financial Times. Off-exchange, as Hershey sells nearly 3%.Cadbury breath as he seeks another buyer that Kraft Foods.
Rio Tinto (+2.54% to 233.94 dollars): the Australian mining group columbia unveiled its production of iron ore rose 49% in the last quarter of 2009, over one year.
The company Zale Jewelry (2.54% to 3.23%, having lost 8% non-Exchange) has seen three of its senior executives leave the group.
Intel (+1.71% to 20.96%) publish, after market, its annual results.
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"An adviser employment center follows on average 90 to 95 files" recalled Laurent Wauquiez Friday. Enough to justify the listing of the use of additional reinforcements. Secretary of State for Employment was shown Friday in favor of hiring 1,000 people in one-year contract. He "hopes to be operational in February, to help the 47,000 employees that already work center.
"These forces will be assigned to keep the front of compensation to avoid a bug as in 1993" and "coming as reinforcements in the regions most vulnerable," said Laurent Wauquiez front of the Journalists Association of Social Information, stressing that "these reinforcements are designed to help us get through the crisis." Asked about the financing of its additional measures, the Secretary of State has estimated the budget sufficient employment center to fill them.
Merging ANPE-UNEDIC occurred against all odds in economic crisis has created a very tense social climate in the new public. To cope with the influx of job seekers – 80,700 salaried jobs have been destroyed in the third quarter of 2009 according to latest figures from INSEE – CDI hires in 1840 and 1000 or hiring in fixed-assisted contracts have already been made since early 2009.
New landmark meeting Saturday at the Ministry of Economy. The purpose of this meeting is to convince the five main French bankers to make a line fast cash of 500 million.
According to banking sources, these major creditors have no desire to make the slightest effort against the shipowner in Marseille, to the extent that any condition imposed so far has been met by Saade is ie an improvement of governance and hiring a real boss. So much so that some people no longer exclude the group is reflected in backup process to bring the bankers to the wall.
The ISP is prepared to invest in CMA CGM
The share offer launched between mid-November and 1 December will have achieved an introductory course to 26 euros for CFAO. Removed from the listing of its parent company PPR in 1990, CFAO sign a return winner, rising 4.04% to 27.05 euros at closing.
This makes it the biggest IPO in Paris for the Bureau Veritas in October 2007.
CAD / CAM activities are divided between sales of Toyota and Peugeot in Africa, the manufacturing Bic pens in Nigeria, the distribution of drugs Novartis and Pfizer, bottling beer Heineken and Coca-Cola in the Congo or the installation of Otis elevators.
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"We certainly have participated in things that were not correct and we are sorry. We apologize. " This was said boss of Goldman Sachs (GS) Lloyd Blankfein, who tried to extinguish the controversy after his recent interview with London's Sunday Times newspaper in which he said that banks had "an important social "and that his, in particular, worked" in the service of God. " Remarks that he "would not have had to" speak, "he later confessed.
Apologies for the investment bank came at a time when it is subjected to a barrage of criticism. Goldman Sachs has been in effect during the first 9 months of the year the bank's most profitable and the NYSE has already provisioned 16.7 billion dollars to reward traders and executives. Approximately more than $ 500,000 in premium per employee.Astronomical sums deemed by the Americans, but that Blankfein stands by the fact of not wanting to lose his "talent due to a change in methods of remuneration."
So, trying to get closer to its humanitarian principles and the "social role" he defends, Blankfein said the bank would release $ 500 million to help 10,000 small U.S. companies. A collaborative initiative with billionaire Warren Buffett, who will co-direct the panel to oversee the entire operation.In practice, Goldman Sachs will provide annually $ 100 million, or about what he earns in a day of good trading! The Financial Times reports that during the third quarter, the investment bank has recorded 36 days during which its traders have gained daily more than 100 million dollars …
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