As a new wave of panic in the markets, gold continues its flight. The precious metal reached Friday morning a new record in Asia, to 1,837.50 dollars per ounce. Yesterday, it reached 1826.10 dollars in session after crossing the threshold to higher novelty of 1815 dollars.
Investors, who had turned away the metal shelter last week, returned to him massively in favor of strengthening fears of a slowdown in the global economy. The markets, already worried by the growth in the euro area in the second trilmestre were put ashore by a round of disappointing economic indicators published in the U.S. yesterday.The jobless claims rose last week, inflation accelerated, home resales have relapsed in July, the index measuring manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia area for the month of August was collapsed.
Analysts at Morgan Stanley have heightened these concerns by scaling back its global growth forecast for 2011 and considering that the United States and the euro area "were dangerously close to recession."
This context reinforces the gold safe haven par excellence.In its wake, the yen and Swiss franc, other safe havens, also climbed while U.S. bond yields fell to 10 years to their lowest level ever, acclaimed by investors panicked.
"Gold has not finished with its strong ascent"
"There is a market perception that the economic environment becomes dangerous, and a growing sense that politicians fail to meet the challenges of the crisis, the United States and Europe," observed Ross Norman, analyst at broker specializing Sharps Pixley."Gold is not only a safe haven asset in crisis but is also a clear barometer of market confidence, and leap today lets see the prospect of a possible second economic crisis after the 2008 potentially more damaging, "he added.
If the pessimism persists, metal king could therefore quickly reach 1900 dollars per ounce. "Gold has not finished with its strong rise," warns Simon Denham, Head of Capital Spreads.
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New slump in the Paris Bourse. At the close on Wednesday, the CAC 40 index showed a loss of 5.45% to 3002.99 points and manages to maintain a narrow margin the psychological threshold of 3000 points. In a volume of trade of 6 billion euros, the volatility was again very strong.
Like him, other European indices loosen: the FTSE-100 index in London lost 3.05% to 5007.16 points at closing. The Dax in Frankfurt tumbles 5.13% to 5613.42 points after falling 6% during the session. The index featured the Milan Stock Exchange, the FTSE Eb, closed Wednesday on a drop of 6.65% at 14,676 points, its lowest level since April 2009. The Madrid Stock Exchange closed on a fall of 5.49%.
The banking sector collapses
All markets are penalized by the banking sector, while Greece is planning to expand its exchange program to include obligations of the securities in the longer term, which penalizes first private creditors. In Paris, Societe Generale gives 14.47 (after a 20.83% drop in session) to 22.18 euros, Crédit Agricole 11.81% to 6.07 euros, BNP Paribas 9.47% to 35.61 euros and Natixis 9.11% to 2.68 euros.
Banks have suffered rumors of degradation of the note of France, while Moody's, Fitch and Standard & Poors reiterated that the AAA rating of the Hexagon was accompanied by a stable outlook online cash advance. Even Bercy denies "formally" the rumors of degradation.But the surprise meeting convened by Nicolas Sarkozy interrupted his holiday to deal with several ministers the theme of economic and financial crisis has rekindled investor concerns.
Also in Europe, the divisions between countries are delaying the implementation of the rescue plan agreed in June In addition, fears of renewed extension of the debt crisis in Italy explains the new fall. The market is concerned about the ability of Italian banks to refinance.
Industrial production declined in France
As on Wall Street, markets been unable to continue the strong rebound in the day that followed the speech by U.S. Federal Reserve.The latter, however, assured that it would extend its monetary policy ultra-accommodating while maintaining zero interest rates until at least mid-2013 and exploring other measures to support the U.S. economy, which will probably end detailed August, at the final communiqué of the U.S. central bank. But the Fed confirmed that the U.S. economy is in trouble, especially since the deterioration in the debt rating of American long-term.
For the economist Nicolas Bouzou, the previous day had already not reassuring:
The player is used by default in the articles of figaro.fr. Maj7
The day after a second night of riots in the suburbs of London, the British press is concerned about the impact of new technologies in organizing rallies. If the use of Twitter and Facebook was highlighted during Arab riots in recent months, a new player is on Monday stormed the British media: the BlackBerry Messenger (BBM), who played a key role in events.
BBM is a service available only on BlackBerry brand phones, allowing users to exchange messages for free via the Internet, and not through the telephone network. Messages can be exchanged only if both corresponding to communicate their personal code (PIN) before.The interception of messages by a third party, or by the police is complicated.
The principle of BBM is similar to that of SMS, to the last detail BBM messages that cost nothing. One argument that has made the BlackBerry smartphone's favorite British adolescents (37%), according to a study cited by the Guardian. For The Urban Blog Mashup, taken by the Telegraph, BBM is very popular among young 'for three reasons: it's fast, it's free, and unlike Facebook or Twitter, the messages exchanged are completely private. " .
"The gangs have been using BlackBerry for organizing the riots"
"The device, previously reserved for businessmen and politicians, are now the preserve of thugs and young (…) through this application," says the Telegraph.The conservative daily notes and Mark Duggan, the young man whose death was the cause of the night of riots in Tottenham, had sent a message via BBM to his girlfriend shortly before being shot by police. "The message said: 'The cops follow me,'" wrote the daily.
"The gangs have been using BlackBerry for organizing the riots," says the Telegraph. A Guardian journalist is in the same direction, explaining that "many sources (him) confirmed that BBM, inciting to raid the town of Enfield, was heavily circulated on the BlackBerry network Sunday early afternoon noon ". The journalist claims to have read other messages about plundering six other districts in north London on Monday night. "There is no doubt that BBM is used to organize the violence."
The BBC website, he does not deny the use of BBM in the events of the weekend, minimizing its impact."While smartphones have helped those who participated in the riots, they were certainly not convinced those who were not interested to join rallies," writes the site based on the analysis of Dr. Chris Greer, Professor of Sociology and Criminology at City University in London. For its part, RIM, the manufacturer of BlackBerry phones, said Monday in the evening he would "cooperate fully with the Interior Ministry and the British police force."
British police monitors Twitter users
Scotland Yard warned on Monday that it would arrest any person to become involved in urban riots on Twitter. "Provocative and inappropriate messages were posted on Twitter" during the weekend, said the British police.The Times cites several messages such as "Everyone at Tottenham n **** the police, I hope that there will be a dead tonight" (the message has since been deleted).
For its part, the Telegraph has collected pictures of rioters and that of a young man posing in front of several games he had stolen during the violence. "Do you know? Send us an email if you have any information, "wrote the site, without specifying for what purpose he seeks to know the identity of these people.
The rating agency Standard and Poor's lowered the rating Friday on the public debt of the United States, deprived of their "AAA" for the first time in their history. S & P said in a statement it had lowered the rating a notch, the best possible, to bring it to 'AA +'. It also downgraded the outlook to "negative", which means that Standard and Poor's believes that the next time the note will change, it is to be lowered again. The United States were rated "AAA" by S & P since the creation of this agency in 1941. They remain in the other two major agencies, Moody's Dean (since 1917) and Fitch Ratings.
Standard and Poor's, which had warned in April that it was considering lowering, justified its decision with "political risks" to see the country taking insufficient measures against its budget deficit.For her, the political debate on these issues is not up to the problems caused by a debt of more than 14,500 billion. "The plan for balancing the budget on which Congress and the Executive have recently agreed is insufficient compared to what, in our view, would be needed to stabilize the dynamics in the medium term public debt" said S & P, citing the law known as "control the budget" passed Tuesday.
"The last victim of the failure of President Obama"
John Chambers, President of the Evaluation Committee of S & P, said Friday on CNN that Washington could have prevented the lowering of the notes within the ceiling earlier. He said the responsibilities were shared by the Administration and Obama, but also "the previous administration." The first political reaction in Washington have shown blocking pointed to by S & P.Mitt Romney, candidate for the Republican primary, has called the reduction of "latest victim of the failure of Obama on the economy." The Senate Democratic leader, Harry Reid, has instead called for "a balanced approach to deficit reduction," with spending cuts but also increases targeted taxes, it rejected the Republicans, under pressure ultra-conservative "tea parties", when discussing the debt.
For its part, the U.S. government has accused S & P based its decision on serious errors in calculations payday loan. "An appraisal contains an error of 2000 billion dollars speaks for itself," said the press spokesman of the Department of the Treasury. U.S. media said the government had severely challenged the projections of analysts of the agency after reviewing the findings of S & P. In vain."We take our responsibilities very seriously, and if at the end of our analysis, the commission concludes that a note is not to where it should be, it is our duty to make this decision" justified Reuters responsible for rating sovereign debt within the S & P, David Beers.
China demands U.S. action
The loss of this seal of excellence is expected brutal impact on the financial markets, difficult to imagine right now. The U.S. Treasury is an undisputed reference: a standard cost of money, an instrument normally used as "collateral" (guarantee) in a variety of transactions, and a refuge for investors in troubled times. "Uncertainty about the effects on the market is high," said recently the investment bank Goldman Sachs, exploring the potential consequences.The lowering of this note should indeed force investors to reassess risk widespread.
The S & P announcement came as the markets had closed for the weekend, but initial reactions are mixed from Asia. The Japan, the second holder of U.S. debt world, assured that his confidence in the U.S. Treasury and its strategy of purchasing these bonds were unchanged. But China, by far the world's largest creditor United States, found that she had "every right now to require the United States to address their structural problems of debt."
The United States had their public finances sealed by the harsh recession that crossed their economy from late 2007 to mid-2009. Since then, economic growth has returned, but they are not able to restore the health of their public finances.According to estimates by the International Monetary Fund, they should acknowledge this year, with about 9% of GDP, the highest budget deficit of the G20 countries, except Japan. It is sixteen countries rated "AAA" by Standard and Poor's, four of the G7: Germany, Canada, France and Great Britain.
(With AFP and Reuters)
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It has taken a major step Tuesday Olympique Lyonnais (OL). In a statement, the French professional club career has indeed appointed on Tuesday the company concessions in charge of design and construction of its future new stadium, the cornerstone of future complex OL Land. And it finally Vinci return the task to emerge from the Stadium of Light ground on the site Décines Charpieu.
After the Stade de France, Nice and Bordeaux, so this is the third contract raised by the construction group and concessions as part of the grand plan to renovate the French stage, for the organization of Euro 2016 Football in France. Note that Vinci has also built and operates since January 2011, the stage of Le Mans (MMArena), which is not part of the eleven stages selected to host matches of Euro 2016.
Private partnership / private
Regarding the financing of the stadium itself, with a capacity of 58,200 seats, the two companies will work as part of a private / private. As for the OL Land project as a whole, the community (Grand Lyon, Department, State …) will support the access to the stadium for 170 million euros. According to information provided earlier this afternoon by the group led by Jean-Michel Aulas on the financing of the only sports venue, Vinci is committed to "contribute to the funding by becoming a shareholder, to a maximum participation 49% of the company owner of the project, the Land of Montout. " Duty, the group estimates that 381 million euros the amount of the contract this morning."A cost which will complement other investments driven by external partners, including hotels, leisure centers and office buildings," says management. In total, OL Groupe estimated 450 million investments to the OL Land project, that is to say the stadium and related structures.
To collect a portion of the funds, the group will also sell the name of the future stadium to a private company. The identity of the partner to be selected, and the amount of its financial participation in this contract "naming" should be announced by the end of the year cash advance now. What to expect the Stadium of Light will soon be renamed before being completed.According to Jean-Michel Aulas, the enclosure will be built on the bottom "entirely private", even if 20 million should still be made by the State, as part of the renovation plan.
Deliveries for the second quarter 2014
A four-year first whistle of Euro 2016, the stadium project goes so Lyon (finally) to the next level. The memorandum of understanding announced Tuesday paves the way for the concrete realization of the project, after years of red tape. At the end of a phase "Project" about six months and subject to the signature of the design-build contract by that date, the phase of contruction will be launched.
Already in May, the release of the situation had been operated by the choice of Lyon as host city of the European competition.The city was named first with eight, then ten stadia to host matches of Euro 2016. Then, when the future sports arena has been the subject of a statement in May of general interest (DIG), Greater Lyon has been run from 14 June to 18 July, public hearings required to amend the plan to local urban planning for the construction of the stadium. The city now hopes to receive the issuance of building permits by the end of the year, for a start of construction in early 2012. Barring unforeseen delays in construction or, as has been the site know of the great stage of Lille, the Stadium of Light should be delivered in the second quarter 2014.
In exchange, the news was applauded by investors, in a context of macroeconomic concerns hold their attention. At 15 hours, the title of the Lyon Group advanced 0.93% to 5.41 euros in a market down 0.5%.
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After months of tensions, the thaw begins between Areva and EDF. Luc Oursel, the president of the giant nuclear, will perform this afternoon its first official release by hosting one of its plants in Chalon-sur-Saone, the chairman of EDF Proglio. The symbol is more powerful than the two heavyweights of the team of France's nuclear plans to sign three agreements "technical and commercial." The information, which was unveiled by the Tribune was confirmed by the Minister of Industry, Eric Besson, who will also visit the website of Saône-et-Loire.
These agreements clarify the relationships that must maintain the two groups. They should focus on "the pursuit of optimizing the EPR, increased maintenance of the park" or "strengthening industrial cooperation on the storage of radioactive waste."
These agreements will be "historic in some ways," said Eric Besson on France Inter and will "ensure consistency throughout the French nuclear industry."
"A willingness to cooperate more»
A fourth agreement should include the development of medium-power reactor Atmea which EDF would not participate. The date of its signature was not specified by Eric Besson, but it should occur in September. Which will complete the strategic partnership, called by President Nicolas Sarkozy in July 2010.
According to the Tribune, other issues will be discussed later, as the organization of supply for export or supply in the long-term uranium for EDF. In the latter case, a stake of the electrician in the future subsidiary of Areva mines will be considered. The hypothesis is "neither foreseen nor ruled out," according to Eric Besson."There is a current subsidiary of the Areva mining activity that had been recorded and we will see who will enter the capital," he said.
The latter, however, said on France Inter does not "feel" at Henri Proglio will "particular" to enter the capital of Areva. "I feel from Proglio a willingness to cooperate more with Areva, what we today RECORDED agreements very important, but I do not feel particular pressure at home to enter the capital of Areva" said he.
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150 million euros in turnover, to 140 employees. The French subsidiary of Endemol, the television production giant, is doing well. What I do not deny, at the end of the season, his many projects. Endemol France has developed and produced two games that will stand this summer, by the autumn. First "No one had thought," the adaptation of the format 'Pointless' on the BBC UK, a weekly game presented by Cyril Féraud, to be launched on July 16 France 3, every Saturday at 17:15. French adaptation of a concept to international success, "Money Drop", presented by Laurence Boccolini, install, meanwhile, in August on TF1 in access prime time. "An exciting game combining both general knowledge questions, emotion and tension generated by the potential loss of 250,000 euros.Grids operating in the summer breaks, it's an interesting time to launch new products. We did years ago with the "Wheel of Fortune," which began in early August before being extended for the rest of the season. "Money Drop" has already been successful in 20 countries, there is no reason why he did not know one in France, "notes Virginie Calmels, formerly of Canal +, became CEO of Endemol France in 2007 , which she joined in 2003 as CEO.
Partner of TF1, Endemol produced including "The 12 strokes of noon", the game launched in June 2010 which was attended by an average of over 3 million viewers and 29% audience share over the 4 years and over, on the first half of 2011.Mainly known for its reality shows like "Big Brother" or "Star Academy", the production company it is nevertheless broken teeth with the failure of "Square VIIIP," the challenge is to renew this type of format. This calls into question it's partnership with TF1 Endemol? "No, not at all. If you look out the media landscape, broadcasters and all major producers have had some accidents, especially during the past 12 months. We have the right to make mistakes, the failure to feel the public at a given time. What is important is that it works hand in hand with TF1. And with an editorial vision and common goals very clear, it helps to reconnect with the success, as evidenced by that of "Secret Story 5" which is taking shape.With this success, we also invented in this field of new writing, most modern, why not mix genres like docu-reality we already know, or more generally of the "Factual reality", mixtures of magazines and reality. We are working with TF1. "
If, by far, the reality is most of Endemol discuss, yet it represents "less than 25%" of its business volume. "We are very active in gaming, entertainment and, since 2007, I developed a policy of diversification-oriented fiction and new media. Fiction allows us to work with all broadcasters with whom one did not work or very little flow. " Endemol sold to France 2 TV movie "Kanak, history forgotten" about the life of footballer Christian Karembeu, whose distribution is planned for 2012.The production company also will complete on July 19 shooting of "Once Upon a Time … Maybe not," a drama adapted from the novel by Akli Taj, for France 3.
"Wonderful success of TNT"
The free DTT channels have made 23.9% of national audience share in June, according to Médiamétrie. These chains are gaining 0.4 points from May and 4.1 points year on year. How to analyze this new record? "There were two stages: first the installation of decoders and equipment of French households and that they get used to the content and go get him. Suddenly, the DTT channels are now living their explosion.It is a magnificent achievement and the opportunity for viewers to find a multitude of programs, "said Virginie Calmels, even if that success comes at the expense of historical terrestrial channels.
Endemol has also embarked on the communication market with the "brand content" or "branded content". "Our operations have generally been successful. We even won this year the price of the brand content in the area of clothing, with what we have done for Canal + and Adidas through a retrospective of 40 years of the Blues. Not only that was 100% financed by the advertiser Adidas, but that has not had an outlet in television and the Internet. It's part of our diversification and our new business model. "
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While Wall Street ended the session and declined Friday Asian stock markets see red on Monday morning, the CAC 40 should continue to decline at the opening and drop 0.3% to 3908 points according to the contracts' future. " The session will mark the beginning of earnings season in the United States, with the aluminum giant Alcoa. Investors also remain attentive to the advances of the new meeting of central bankers in the euro area held Monday in Brussels.
Van Rompuy, Barroso and Trichet, heads of three major European institutions – the Council, the Commission and the Central Bank – in fact, find themselves on Monday morning to spur the seventeen countries of the euro, still unable to s' hear about mounting a second rescue plan for Greece.Then the seventeen ministers of finance are again struggling in the afternoon of the participation of private creditors (banks, insurers and pension funds) to finance the 110 billion euros expected by Athens. In addition, concerns are doing now in Italy. Friday, the country has seen its returns soar. Rumors about a possible resignation of Finance Minister Giulio Tremonti, would have triggered the movement.
The United States are also penalized by a debt record. Barack Obama finds MPs on Monday. He said Sunday night, before a meeting with key members of Congress, he "must" that Congress reached agreement on the debt within 10 days. Otherwise, the U.S. could default on August 2. The President will also hold a press conference on Monday.
Chapter Macroeconomics always INSEE reveal the level of industrial production in May.
Global sales of Renault and record values on the side, investors will follow the announcements that Renault must publish its results this morning, trading in the first half before Peugeot tomorrow. Carlos Tavares went to the site of Flins Monday. Renault has announced an increase of 1.9% of its global sales in the first half, the strength of demand abroad offsetting supply problems it encounters in Europe.The group also expressed its willingness to establish a new sales record this year by selling more than 2.6 million vehicles due to its growth internationally and despite the poor performance in Europe in the first half, he said Monday.
Moreover, the energy values might react to the launch of the tender giant (about EUR 10 billion) government on the construction of an offshore wind farm with a capacity of producing 3000 megawatts. Several candidates have already expressed: the consortium Su ez GDF, Areva and Vinci, another consortium Areva and combining the Spanish giant Iberdrola, EDF EN and all, Alstom and Dong Energy. E. ON and EDP-R have also responded to the tender.
Total may write off certain tax advantages.Following the controversy triggered by the imposition of any large groups of the CAC 40, Total could give up to enjoy the tax shelter known as "worldwide profits." The CEO also announced that he would pass to the pump the recent increases in crude oil prices.
Airbus, a subsidiary of EADS, would be willing to sell out to rival Boeing. The European aircraft manufacturer could make significant price reductions to crop market share with its U.S. rival in the U.S., in connection with the tender launched by American Airlines, says the Wall Street Journal. The U.S. airline expects to order 250 aircraft.
On the other hand airlines could face a strike in early August.The union of airline pilots SNPL filed a strike notice for all French airlines from August 5 to 8, written Tribunedans his edition of Monday.
Ipsos could be thwarted in his plans to return to UK Synovate. In fact, the British investment fund would be willing to put 675 million euros for the acquisition of Synovate, the tamping pin to French Ipsos already in discussions with the company for market research, according to information from the Financial Times. The Aegis Group, which owns Synovate, however, have rejected the offer.
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The stock markets in the Asia-Pacific moving up Friday morning, boosted by bank and energy stocks, encouraged by the gains recorded by Wall Street yesterday, who took advantage of the good private employment figures published yesterday. In Tokyo, the Nikkei advance of 0.63% to 10,134.70 points, settling comfortably in excess of 10,000 points reached on Wednesday. The broader Topix index takes him 0.45% to 874.43 points.The current account surplus in Japan fell 51.7% in May over one year to 590.7 billion yen (5.14 billion euros), due to the consequences of the earthquake of March 11 on the scale commercial, announced Friday the Ministry of Finance.
The Japanese automaker Toyota (1.76%) is investing 125 million euros to produce a hybrid version of its Yaris small car at its plant in Valenciennes (Nord) in 2012, announced Didier Leroy, CEO of Toyota Motor Europe, an interview with The Tribune on Friday."Toyota will have spent 125 million euros to build its new (small) III Yaris at Valenciennes (Nord): 100 million for the heat release, 25 million extra for the hybrid variant, a world first," said Didier Leroy daily economy.
Car manufacturers take advantage of stock market rebound on Friday, including Suzuki, which is 1.90%, and Mitsubishi Motors which accounts for 1.94%.
Other major markets also appear in the green, much more clearly in Hong Kong where the Hang Seng climbed 1.07% to 22,771.50 points, while in Shanghai, the CSI from 0.41% to advance 3114.36 points. Investors thus confirm that they had integrated into courses for several weeks the new rate increase occurred Wednesday face high inflation and above the ceilings set by the Central Bank of China.Side values, we retain banking stocks: ICBC is 1.04% and Bank of Communications, 1.08%.
Oil pulls the Australian values
In Australia, the S & P / ASX gains 0.98% at 4650.60 points, driven by the values associated with raw materials such as CNOOC, which is 2.09% or 1.80% Santos grants itself. Oil prices were directionless Friday in electronic trading in Asia, but Thursday, oil prices ended sharply higher in New York, driven by statistics suggesting an improvement in the labor market and a further decrease in inventories crude to the United States.
In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in August took six cents to 98.73 dollars. That of Brent North Sea crude for delivery lost 41 cents to equal 118.18 dollars.
More companies are large and they carry less of the corporate tax. A fact known and already singled out by the board of tax and the Treasury, but on which a report of the National Assembly published on Wednesday by MP Gilles Carrez sheds new light.
Comparing the amounts paid under the corporate tax (IS) for all companies in France, the general rapporteur of the budget to the National Assembly was able to quantify the difference in tax burden between small businesses and the largest. "The real tax burden borne by small firms is 20 points higher than for large groups," says Gilles Carrez on Wednesday in Les Echos. A "drop that occurs across large groups internationalized," said the rapporteur.
The corporate tax paid by large groups of the CAC 40 is in fact much lower than that paid by SMEs. For four of them, it was even zero between 2007 and 2009, the report quoted by Les Echos. 10 billion euros in total was paid by the CAC 40 companies between 2007 and 2009 for the SI, including tax credits. Is, 86 million per group per year, representing only 0.4% on average of their turnover in France. The four companies which the state is a shareholder (France Telecom, EDF, GDF Suez and Renault) will make an exception, with a gross rate IS 40%.
Enclose tax loopholes
Gilles Carrez explains this differential taxation depending on the size of the company by the existence of tax loopholes that benefit large groups mostly internationalized.This is the deductibility of financial expenses from taxable income or the deferral limit deficits. These groups' benefit, legally, the opportunities available to them: the maximum charge in France expenses related to foreign operations, "expatriate" certain products under activities carried out in France, "said Gilles Carrez.
To avoid a stagnation of revenues SI "to a lower level than pre-crisis", the rapporteur suggests a framework for these tax loopholes enjoyed by the full CAC 40 companies. "Why not cap the financial expenses deductible, as are the Germans? It would be a kind of IS minimum. We could also return certain products, "he recommends.
According to Les Echos, the Elysium is the least prepared, as part of Budget 2012, a time limit on the deferral limit deficits.The regime of worldwide profits, which benefits mainly to Total and Vivendi could also be questioned. A debate that could beat its full part in the presidential election.