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Xavier Bertrand: "There is no question of fatalism"

LE FIGARO – The decline in unemployment in the early years seems to have forgotten. Are you discouraged by the new bad number?

Xavier Bertrand – Unfortunately, it is in the same line as the previous two months. Not surprisingly, with growth at 0%, not to mention that July is traditionally bad (9 increases in the last 11 years). But this does not detract from my belief that unemployment will go back down. Social plans are declining. Redundancies do not go back. The acting, which is always a precursor, is good. Job creation is strong even though they are largely absorbed by the increase in the labor force. And new measures we have taken in recent months, including learning, will begin to bear fruit. Nadine Morano, we hope to be many more such apprentices in September.There is no question of fatalism.

Where are we on assisted contracts?

On assisted contracts, CAE 222 435 (non-profit sector) were signed in late July, there are still 200,000 to be filled by the end of the year next CIE (businesses) there are still 34,000 of the 62,000 expected this year. Many assisted contracts co-funded by the departments will also be released in the second half. I also expect a significant commitment of councils and they play the game totally! Gard, where I was Friday, has proposed assisted contracts to 2.1% of recipients of RSA, it increased to 10%, which is our national goal, it would make 1500 people out of unemployment! Or it would cost the department 411 euros per month, against 467 for the current RSA.

Employment center director must change and adopt a more decentralized operation no later than the end of the year.Should speed things up?

We can not wait until the end of the year. Each agency will have a "drawing rights" on training, will be delegated more funding, allowing it to be much more responsive. The administrative part will be lighter with fewer indicators to inform. I remember the beginning of September the social partners and all those involved for me they confirm their agreement for the implementation of this new roadmap.

You loaded earlier in the year the sub-prefects to ensure the "connection" between job seekers and business leaders who, in the same area, have difficulty recruiting. This gives does it work?

Where there is a total momentum, the results are undeniable, even if it is too early to give figures.This coordination also involves the activation of the "local public service employment" in a pool which includes employment center, local missions, houses of employment, communities, business leaders … It's not necessarily spectacular, but it's effective. I meet again all the sub-prefects of France in September to set up action plans in each employment area, and next week I will hold a video conference with regional directors of employment center and the regional prefects quick cash.

A new device, providing better compensation and enhanced monitoring to retrenched, will be in effect on September 1. But it is the purpose of fixed term and temporary employment that increase.Is it necessary to invent devices for these cases?

We will be attentive to the suggestions of the social partners, the Prime Minister receives these days.

The budget for the job will he planed, given the savings measures announced Wednesday by François Fillon?

Tradeoffs are made by the president and the prime minister: he will be fully preserved in 2011 as in 2012.

Is it time to reduce the Employer contribution rebates on overtime, which amounts to increasing labor costs?

For the employer, the trigger, it is not the exemptions is the fact of having more work. And I remember that employee side, the logic of buying power is fully preserved, the changes will not remove one euro cent for employees in overtime.

The tax on very high incomes will be 3%, from 500,000 euros. The government will leave there to tighten the criteria, as part of the majority want?

Parliament will have to discuss, this is normal. Simply ask the question shows that the principle of this tax, which I defended from the beginning, is now widely accepted. The demand for justice is understood by all. For the same reason, I support the approximation of taxes on labor and heritage announcements Wednesday also go in this direction.

The complementary health are likely to raise their rates after being taxed more than one billion additional …

Nothing have to. A number of them are private companies that show significant benefits and therefore have room to maneuver.It is indeed a tax on insurance contracts, not the insured, in contrast to an increase in user fees such that we did not want.

The anti-deficit plan provides ten times the revenue increases that additional savings. Can we make more efforts in that direction?

We remove the tax loopholes. There is no general increase in taxes, as advocated by the Socialists and the way they do it is a real brand in the local communities they lead. This would be a policy that would break the prospects for growth. But it's true, France is a country with a high level of public spending and taxes. Pension reform, the non-replacement of an official two … reduce public spending.I am confident it will go much further in the coming years, do not hesitate to come back some expenses by asking systematically question: what people really value for money? The efficacy and justice must be the two criteria of the expense.

Financial circles opposed to the Tobin tax

By delivering on their dream table Tuesday to tax financial transactions in Europe, Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel could expect an outcry. It has taken place. From Dublin to London via Stockholm, policy makers have expressed reservations about the proposal, while the financial community condemnation."It would be a drag on economic growth," has outraged the Association for European financial markets.

In fact, European stock markets have imposed a new session Wednesday down to banking stocks, involving an opportunity for companies to NYSE Euronext, Deutsche Börse or London Stock Exchange, may be penalized by a Tobin tax, named after its inventor.

While the Franco-German plans to develop detailed proposals in September, the Swedish finance minister, Peter Norman, shows him, already his skepticism: "I do not see the positive effects that a tax on transactions in Europe could be, "he said.

Swedish experience

Sweden keeps a bad memory from his own experience of tax established in the 1980s, before being abolished in 1991.According to researcher Marion Wrobel, the Swedish Treasury was then recovered some 50 million SEK per year, far from the expected 1.5 billion minimum. And above all, by 1990, half of the activities on the actions of the financial Nordic had flown to London, those on bonds and derivatives that have been decimated.

Well placed to know that financial businesses relocate overnight, the City has no desire to suffer a similar fate. The British Treasury has hammered yesterday that a tax on financial transactions should be global. Last year, Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy had failed to join the G20 … Even obsession with competitiveness for Ireland. London looks so New York, Dublin has eyes only for London.The Irish Finance Minister has warned its partners against the temptation to limit the tax to the euro area, to bypass the "no" British.

These had led opposition last year, the failure of the tax already led by France and Germany. The government had then opted for a direct drain on bank profits, easier to implement. Since this refusal, however, the terms of debate have changed.

This proposal is in fact in a context of unprecedented turbulence in the European markets and defense of the euro. Proponents of the Tobin Tax ensure that it is likely to limit speculation, even if professionals swear otherwise. Above all, the proceeds of the levy would not have the same use. In 2009, it was intended to finance development aid.In 2011, the EU would be well integrated in the tax budget with revenues swell to 350 billion euros between 2014 and 2020. What changed the political balance of power? Vienna, Madrid, Helsinki or Madrid yesterday reported good interest in the Franco-German project.

Axa was less affected by Greece that the banks

A nice trading day for Axa. The title of the insurer took 4% to 10 o'clock Thursday morning while the CAC 40 is given a little air, with an increase of 0.45%. Investors welcomed the good half done by the insurer that has quadrupled (324%) profit to 3.99 billion euros.

This performance is significantly higher than the expectations of analysts who had expected an average net profit of 3.7 billion. But Axa has mostly benefited from a favorable base effect. The increase in net income is in fact supported by exceptional gains of 1.44 billion euros from the sale of the 15.6% of Veolia capital of the life insurer China Life Taikang and the sale of its New Zealand and Australia."In this environment (of European debt crisis), we publish the results are good, satisfactory and show Axa's fine," said CFO Gerald Harlin, during a conference call.

Confirmation of the Plan 2015

The insurer stands in relation to banks about the impact of the Greek crisis on its accounts no faxing payday loans. While the financial cost runs into hundreds of millions for BNP Paribas (850 million), Crédit Agricole (650 million) and 395 million to Société Générale, Axa has placed "only" 92 million euros in provisions for impairment assets in its bond portfolio of the Greek state.

In contrast, exposure of the insurer in Italy, estimated at 6 billion euros against 300 million for Greece, is much more important."We are confident that Italy is absolutely the means to repay its debt, simply that the European institutions give a stronger signal of support towards Italy for the markets calm down," said Denis Duverne, the deputy CEO of Axa Business on BFM radio.

If the macroeconomic environment remains uncertain because of the turmoil in financial markets, the CEO of Axa, Henri de Castries is "confident". It provides Axa is on track to achieve its 2015 targets.

Vinci will build the stadium of Olympique Lyonnais

It has taken a major step Tuesday Olympique Lyonnais (OL). In a statement, the French professional club career has indeed appointed on Tuesday the company concessions in charge of design and construction of its future new stadium, the cornerstone of future complex OL Land. And it finally Vinci return the task to emerge from the Stadium of Light ground on the site Décines Charpieu.

After the Stade de France, Nice and Bordeaux, so this is the third contract raised by the construction group and concessions as part of the grand plan to renovate the French stage, for the organization of Euro 2016 Football in France. Note that Vinci has also built and operates since January 2011, the stage of Le Mans (MMArena), which is not part of the eleven stages selected to host matches of Euro 2016.

Private partnership / private

Regarding the financing of the stadium itself, with a capacity of 58,200 seats, the two companies will work as part of a private / private. As for the OL Land project as a whole, the community (Grand Lyon, Department, State …) will support the access to the stadium for 170 million euros. According to information provided earlier this afternoon by the group led by Jean-Michel Aulas on the financing of the only sports venue, Vinci is committed to "contribute to the funding by becoming a shareholder, to a maximum participation 49% of the company owner of the project, the Land of Montout. " Duty, the group estimates that 381 million euros the amount of the contract this morning."A cost which will complement other investments driven by external partners, including hotels, leisure centers and office buildings," says management. In total, OL Groupe estimated 450 million investments to the OL Land project, that is to say the stadium and related structures.

To collect a portion of the funds, the group will also sell the name of the future stadium to a private company. The identity of the partner to be selected, and the amount of its financial participation in this contract "naming" should be announced by the end of the year cash advance now. What to expect the Stadium of Light will soon be renamed before being completed.According to Jean-Michel Aulas, the enclosure will be built on the bottom "entirely private", even if 20 million should still be made by the State, as part of the renovation plan.

Deliveries for the second quarter 2014

A four-year first whistle of Euro 2016, the stadium project goes so Lyon (finally) to the next level. The memorandum of understanding announced Tuesday paves the way for the concrete realization of the project, after years of red tape. At the end of a phase "Project" about six months and subject to the signature of the design-build contract by that date, the phase of contruction will be launched.

Already in May, the release of the situation had been operated by the choice of Lyon as host city of the European competition.The city was named first with eight, then ten stadia to host matches of Euro 2016. Then, when the future sports arena has been the subject of a statement in May of general interest (DIG), Greater Lyon has been run from 14 June to 18 July, public hearings required to amend the plan to local urban planning for the construction of the stadium. The city now hopes to receive the issuance of building permits by the end of the year, for a start of construction in early 2012. Barring unforeseen delays in construction or, as has been the site know of the great stage of Lille, the Stadium of Light should be delivered in the second quarter 2014.

In exchange, the news was applauded by investors, in a context of macroeconomic concerns hold their attention. At 15 hours, the title of the Lyon Group advanced 0.93% to 5.41 euros in a market down 0.5%.

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The uncertainty weighs on the Paris Stock Exchange

Caution prevails at the Paris Stock Exchange on Thursday. After starting this crucial day for Europe in the green, the CAC 40 lost 0.88% to 3721.38 points in mid-day. The London Stock Exchange was down 0.80% to 5807 points and the DAX index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange loose 0.87% to 7158 points.

As with other global exchanges, all operators will have the eye to Brussels where to begin 1:01 p.m. at the extraordinary summit of the leaders of the euro area. They have an obligation to find a solution on a new plan of aid to Greece if they want to prevent contagion from the debt crisis. Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy on Wednesday reached a common position on the new financial rescue plan and a private sector participation.The content of the agreement between the German Chancellor and French President was not specified but to do so, it took seven hours of talks "very tight" in Berlin, according to members of the French delegation. The two leaders called on mid-term president of the European Central Bank, Jean-Claude Trichet, to join them in Frankfurt, suggesting that the compromise has its support. José Manuel Barroso, President of the European Commission launched Wednesday a warning more serious than usual to the leaders of the euro area.

But doubt was again set on Thursday after the statements of leading finance ministers of the euro area, Jean-Claude Juncker, who did not rule out a possible default of Greece.Jean-ClaudeJuncker also considered that an agreement on a tax on European banks to help finance a new aid program in Athens would be difficult. "I do not think there will be an agreement," he said.

Obama confident

On the foreign exchange market, the euro declined sharply against the dollar. Around 11:30 in Paris, the single European currency was worth 1.4147 dollars against 1.4212 dollars late Wednesday. Oil prices were up, however, supported by market expectations of seeing the debt crises lead to solutions.A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in August took 28 cents to 98.68 dollars and that of Brent North Sea crude for September delivery took nine cents to 118.24 dollars.

United States, President Barack Obama received Wednesday several leaders of Congress and the White House has once again expressed confidence in a political solution to the crisis of debt before August 2, to avoid a default. "I expect us to find a solution," the president said in an interview with local TV KMBC Kansas City, renewing his call for compromises from both sides, whether its Democratic allies or his Republican opponents.

Rafale indicators

In addition to the meeting, the markets should observe the indicators that will be published on both sides of the Atlantic.In France, the composite PMI, which includes industry and services, is version 52.8 "flash" from 54.9 in June. "The financial crisis of 2008/2009 aside, the latest survey data suggest lower growth in overall activity since the third Gulf War in 2003," said Jack Kennedy, economist at Markit.

Activity in the private service also slowed against all odds in Germany in July to its lowest in two years, according to preliminary results of the survey Markit. The composite PMI stood at 52.2 in both "flash" against 57.3 in June.

United States, the day will begin with the weekly jobless claims. It will be followed index of home prices in the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), the index of manufacturing activity Philadeplhie Fed, then the index of leading indicators.

China's manufacturing activity shrank in July for the first time last year, registering its largest decline in 28 months, according to preliminary PMI HSBC published this morning. PMI Purchasing Managers calculated fell to 48.9 against 50.1 in June, the lowest level for this indicator since March 2009. This new atmosphere was sealed on the Asian markets.

Values ​​to follow

Banking

Banks eagerly awaiting the end of the EU summit. Their participation in the rescue of Greece is at the heart of the debates. Moreover, the institutions of the European Union will face fines of up to 10% of their net banking if they do not meet new international requirements for capital and liquidity, said Michel Barnier.

After opening in the green, the area was about-face in the middle of martinée. A mid-term securities of large establishments accuse all of declines. Societe Generale (-1.22% to 35.56 euros), Credit Agricole (-0.67% to 8.85 euros), Natixis (-1.10% to 3.16 euros), and BNP Paribas (-3, 01% to 47.33 euros) are among the largest declines the CAC

EADS: 0.24% to 24.90 euros

Airbus is ready to look "seriously" the increase in the production of single-aisle A320 to carry it beyond the already record a goal, but has not so far committed to this, its president said Wednesday Excecutive.

Eutelsat: 1.20% to 31.16 euros

The Strategic Investment Fund (ISF) on Monday rejected a proposed takeover of Eutelsat joint push by the Spanish Abertis, reported Thursday the newspaper Les Echos.

The benefits of Publicis climb

Plastic Omnium: 6.12% to 24.97 euros

The Group expects a net profit in 2011 "strong growth" after a rise of 26% in the first half to 91.4 million.

Publicis: -2.85% to 36.75 euros

In the first half, the Group generated revenue of 2.7 billion euros in organic growth of 7.1%, exceeding the expectations of analysts whose estimates ranged from 6.2% to 6.5%.

Remy Cointreau: 4.73% to 60.95 euros

The group reported a turnover of 198.6 million euros in the first quarter organic growth of 22.5%.

Unibail-Rodamco: 0.26% to 143.88 euros

The group said it had signed for 1.1 billion euros of asset sales in the first half and accelerated its development plans after reporting an earnings growth supported by its recurring rental income.

Ubisoft: 3.83% to 6.15 euros

The group announced that its sales better than expected first quarter gross margin should support a few days after being heavily penalized by the stock market concerns about future profitability.

Mersen: 3.43% to 40.10 euros

The group released a turnover up 17% in the second quarter, supported by sales in solar activity, which is the group to provide a statement of objectives for the entire year.

APRR: 0.11% to 46.90 euros

The group announced it had recorded a traffic decrease of 0.8% in the second quarter 2011, impacted by the decline in light vehicle traffic.

Cegid: 1.91% to 20.49 euros

The group reported a 32% decline in net profit in the first six months of the year to 4.8 million, despite a 5% increase in sales. The publisher of management software specialist said that last year, accounts for the first half was boosted by a reversal of provision for risk.

Germans advocate a nap at work

A small cultural revolution awaits German companies. In defiance of German prejudices about the South on suspicion of engaging in one guilty of "dolce vita" in numbing the Mediterranean sun, a leader of the German DGB trade union confederation considers that every German should have the right to take a nap on the workplace. "A siesta reduces the risk of heart attack and can replenish your energy," pleads Annelie Buntenbach, a member of the DGB executive committee and board of directors of the Employment Agency.

In a country facing the shock of the falling birth rate, the idea does not seem totally crazy to arrange an aging workforce. Especially a nap of half an hour would also increase efficiency at work payday advance lenders… and thus competitiveness."The midday rest time can compensate for poor performance and when the risk of accident is higher. Nap improves the efficiency, responsiveness and mood, "said Jürgen Zulley, professor of biology at the University of psychological Regensburg.

The debate arises when Angela Merkel said that Southern Europeans are less frequent at work than the Germans. A theory refuted by the OECD statistics, in which the average annual working hours of German (1390 hours) is less than that of a Greek (2119 hours).

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Greece offers a respite to 12 billion euros

Europe is gaining time, but did not extinguish the fire in Greece. Following a conference call Saturday, finance ministers of the euro area have given the green light to release "by July 15" 8.7 billion euros in loans that should add 3.3 billion paid out by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This decision was expected after the adoption this week by the Greek Parliament of the austerity program imposed by his European creditors. "It (the decision) strengthens the international credibility of Greece", immediately congratulated the Greek finance minister, Evangelos Venizelos.

As the new Executive Director of the IMF, Christine Lagarde, to take office Tuesday, the organization welcomed the developments."We welcome the commitment of the Eurogroup to a funding strategy that ensures that the Greek economic program is fully insured," said the spokesman for the IMF, Caroline Atkinson. No details however were given about a possible date on which the Board could meet to release the funds.

Berlin puts pressure

If these 12 billion euros to Greece should avoid going bankrupt in the short term, it is not enough to save the country permanently and fully reassure the financial markets. For this, the country has called for a second bailout International 110 billion euros. Finance ministers of the euro zone have promised yesterday decisions "in the coming weeks." For its part, the German finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, more prudent, spoke of an agreement by the fall only.Berlin looks indeed to be certain that Greece implement austerity measures quickly that the country has promised cash advances pay day loan. "After the release of the fifth installment of the countries of the euro area and the IMF, the next step must be addressed decisively: the measures passed in Athens should be implemented quickly. Privatization, for example, must be launched without delay, "responded the German Minister of Finance. Response of Athens: the austerity plan of 28.4 billion euros will be implemented before mid-September.

Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain could knock on the door

These two months of rest should also help to advance on a second rescue plan 110 billion euros. Finance ministers of the euro area have not spoken on this subject last night.They expect to clarify the private sector, banks and other creditors, imposed by Berlin to a new plan to help decide. "The details and extent of the involvement of private and official sources of additional funding will be determined in the coming weeks," they said.

Time is running out: Ireland and Portugal may need a new international aid. As for Spain and Italy, both countries are under pressure from rating agencies. "The failure of European political leaders to resolve the crisis quickly and decisively hits the rest of the euro area," says Ben May, economist at Capital Economics. The United States pressed more in Europe to solve its debt problems to avoid a global impact."If Greece fell deeper into recession following the new austerity measures, it could reduce the willingness of governments to implement additional fiscal measures," says Ben May.

The success of conventional ruptures

Breaks conventional still face a huge success in business. Since the introduction of this device in 2008, their number continues to grow at a rate of 20,000 to 24,000 per month, according to a recent memorandum the Ministry of Labour. After a strong scalability driven by the crisis, the number of monthly requests has indeed stabilized since the fourth quarter of 2009, so as to exceed the threshold of half a million to break out of court last February. In total, conventional breaks accounted for 11% of CDI in 2010 after 7% in the first half of 2009 and 10% in the second half.

Small businesses are particularly in demand of this device. In the second half of 2010, three quarters of conventional ruptures have been signed in companies with fewer than 50 employees, while they represent only half of total employment.Overall, more than one company is big, and the less it tends to resort to conventional rupture. In establishments with more than 250 employees, the break is only conventional and 5% for contracts, against 13% in establishments with fewer than 10 employees. In contrast, the amount of compensation increases with the size of the company. The amount paid per employee in 7430 was certainly high euro in 2009, but half of the employees has actually received little more than the statutory redundancy payment, below which firms can not fall .

Disguised early retirement

If smaller firms are attracted by the flexibility of the device, breaking "friendly" is also not without pitfalls. The high proportion of employees over 50 years involved calls for a diversion of the rupture conventional at the expense of Unedic.In the second half of 2010, the breakdown was 23% of the conventional reasons for termination for employees aged 58 to 59, against 8% of those under thirty years … so companies would use this system to be financed by the Insurance which is similar to put in early retirement.

In some cases, break "friendly" is also related to a dismissal. The report by Mathilde Lemoine and Etienne Wasmer on the mobility of employees said that the profile breaks conventional evolves quite parallel to that of redundancy. This observation would argue, according to the report, for use of the device in lieu of redundancy at the expense of employees.If the Ministry of Labour is responsible for control conventions and to avoid abuse, the lack of support for employees during the preliminary interviews, often in small businesses, not easy by regular use of the device.

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ECB prepares to raise rates in July

As expected, the Governing Council of the European Central Bank, meeting Thursday in Frankfurt, has left unchanged its interest rates. However Jean-Claude Trichet sought to prepare the minds of an increase in July. "Overall, the risks to price stability are on the upside, and a strong vigilance is therefore warranted," said the president of the ECB at the press conference that followed. In the coded language of Frankfurt, a "strong vigilance" is the conventional signal to indicate a rate hike next month."Right now we still believe that the July increase will last (this year)," said Jonathan Loynes, however, the chief economist for Europe of Capital Economics.

Jean-Claude Trichet has not sought to exaggerate the danger of inflation: "The upward pressure on inflation (is) mainly due to energy prices and raw materials," he admitted. Markets have noted that the ECB had not raised its forecast of rising consumer prices for 2012, which remain in the range of 1.1% to 2.3%. This status quo, compared to previous estimates of last March, has contributed to a decline of the euro vis-à-vis the dollar.

In terms of economic growth forecasts have been revised slightly upwards for 2011 (from 1.5% to 2.3%), the range for 2012 is particularly large (between 0.6% and 2.8 %)."Uncertainty remains high," commented Jean-Claude Trichet installment payday loans.

No "default"

It was also expected on Greece, "after the procession of contradictory statements from finance ministers, who have unfortunately contributed to widen interest rate spreads on sovereign debt in the euro area in recent weeks," regrets a market economy. The ECB President was extremely strong. "It would be a great mistake" than engaging in a debt restructuring, "he insisted. "Our position is clear and we served on European governments" no "credit event", no "default". The ECB considers that Greece would be closed permanently while the financing markets.

"We exclude any participation of private creditors who would not volunteer (from them), he only conceded.He however refused to say what would the ECB on securities it has in its balance sheet (between 60 and 70 billion euros), if private investors decided to extend the maturity of their claims.

In a less dramatic, the college of 27 governors took action on the succession of its chairman, in the form of a statement. "The governors did not Councilof objectionable to the proposed candidate, Mario Draghi, who is a person of recognized standing and professional experience in monetary or banking matters."

"The French reimburse banks lending to Greece"

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