Before the French, Nicolas Sarkozy will decide maybe not the word federalism, because it means a loss of sovereignty that they do not approve.Polls show they are committed to the euro – are 77% want to keep the single currency, according to the latest BVA poll for BFM / Challenges / Avanquest. But other surveys indicate that about two out of three French are not ready to "more integration". The ridge is close to the head of state for several months defending the prospect of a further step towards more integration.

"Bargaining"

It should engage in this exercise in front of the French education before or after the European Council of December 8 and 9, as a great speech that will trace the contours of France in the Europe of tomorrow. "Europe must rhyme with protection, not with globalization in the eyes of the French," says William Peltier, a member of the UMP, and patron of the Letter of opinion.

Real estate agents who regularly praised the virtue of PTZ + (interest-free loan +) for a first house purchase new or old are particularly concerned about the impact of its removal. Now, this loan will be confined to new housing, generally more expensive .. "This offered the most fragile families a path to home ownership, says Jean-François Buet, general secretary of the Fnaim. Its end is a bad signal, we move away from France owners desired by the President. " Many professionals would rather see the PTZ + subject to means test rather than disappear.

"Of the 750,000 transactions this year, 300,000 were funded with a PTZ + in the former and 230,000 are for goods that are not primary residences, says Jean-François Buet.The new data on so three quarters of the transactions. " According to calculations by the federation of real estate, sales volume may decline by 200,000 acquisitions.

For his part, Michel Mouillart economist estimates that the measure "the crisis will be more extensive than in 2008 and will have a negative impact on the volume of mortgage loans."

And on the price? In addition to budget savings, the measures are supposed to help regulate prices. "They do not go down that much, said Sebastien de Lafond, president of the network MeilleursAgents.com. For the suppression of PTZ + will lower an already weak demand, but at the same time the tax on capital gains holding back the offer. "

Investor sentiment is supported by advanced this week in the eurozone. Management of public finances in Greece and Italy, two countries that focus on crisis fears of European debt, will change hands. In Greece, Lucas Papademos, former Vice President of the European Central Bank (ECB), has been appointed head of a government of national unity. In his first statement, he said that the euro is a "guarantee of monetary stability online payday loans."The United States and reported a reduction in trade deficit while new jobless claims fell to their lowest level since April. This morning, Asian stock markets were also in the green. In Tokyo, the Nikkei closed up slightly from 0.16% to 8514.47 points.

The AMF opened an investigation

The Financial Markets Authority (AMF) has announced the opening of an investigation after the blunder of Standard & Poor's last night, the rating agency has mistakenly sent a message indicating a degradation of the triple A French before denying the information two hours later.

On the currency markets, the euro has regained some ground. The European currency changes above $ 1.36, above the low of 1.3484 in one month.

The rates of Italian government bonds soar

Announced the resignation of Silvio Berlusconi has clearly not been enough to reassure long-term markets. In Europe, stock markets, which had initially welcomed the news quickly made an about face. The distrust of the Italian public debt continues to grow, in fact. The Italian 10-year rate rose to over 7%, a new record level and a completely untenable for the country, given the weight of its debt. For its part, Brussels ruled that the Italian situation was "very worrying". At the same time, the spread between government bonds and German to French reached a new peak at 1.47%.

In Greece, things also accelerating.Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou announced his resignation but did not mention the name of his successor will not be announced until Thursday. A further meeting of party leaders was convened by the President.

On the macroeconomic front, crude oil inventories fell 1.4 million barrels to 338.1 million barrels during the week ended Nov. 4. Analysts polled by Dow Jones Newswires had forecast a rise rather 700,000 barrels.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro fell sharply against the dollar on Wednesday. The euro was worth 1.3552 dollars against 1.3836 dollars late Tuesday. Oil prices ended down more than 1% in New York tonight. On the Nymex, the December contract on West Texas Intermediate (WTI) ended on a loss of $ 1.06, or 1.1%, to 95.74 dollars a barrel. Meanwhile, Brent yielded 2.23%, or 2.56 dollars to 112.48 dollars.

The impasse before a double peak of the euro Wednesday and Sunday, beginning to worry the rest of the world."The impact is disastrous outside (…) We do not really an example of leadership that works," commented the head of the Eurogroup Jean-Claude Juncker, before presiding over a first camera finance ministers on Friday afternoon.

Chinese and American impatience

Washington and Beijing in particular sounding the alarm. The Chinese leadership did not like the cancellation of a summit Tuesday in Tianjin with European leaders, due to repeated conclaves in Brussels. Premier Wen Jiabao has called on the EU "fundamental reform" of its finances and fiscal policy, the agency official New China. "This requires political courage and determination unparalleled," he added, as if he doubted it.

The U.S. government, intervened with the Europeans at every turn of the crisis, also expressed his impatience check cash advance.Barack Obama spoke by video conference with Nicolas Sarkozy, Angela Merkel and British Prime Minister David Cameron on the night of Thursday to Friday. According to the White House, Bush insists that a European response to the crisis is effectively implemented before the next G20 summit in Cannes, November 3.

Franco-German dispute

Multiply the firepower of EFSF, the bailout fund for countries in difficulty, is the key weapon in the euro area to raise her two other challenges: reducing the burden of crushing debt on the shoulders of 11 million Greeks and persuade banks to beef up their capital in order to overcome the market turmoil. Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel agree on the diagnosis.But France, worried about its budget deficit and a valuable "triple AAA" prefer tap into the existing European funds, starting with the ECB.

Germany, also sensitive to the separation of powers as inflation risks, refuses anything resembling a crisis by printing money in Europe. Friday, Paris and Berlin were still camped "in very different positions," lamented one European official. The inflexibility of Angela Merkel, attested as early as Wednesday during a one-on-one with Nicolas Sarkozy in Frankfurt, had its effect. The European Commission and many of the countries of the euro is already a cross on a direct involvement of the ECB together with the EFSF. To work around the obstacle, the European experts worked Friday to a "new palette" of instruments, including greater use of IMF already applied at each stage of the crisis.

Recapitalization of banks

In the preamble, the bloc cleared the table of a bulky dossier. They agreed on the recapitalization of banks weakened by the crisis, two months after the IMF has sounded the alarm. The bill, estimated at between 85 and 100 billion euros, less burdensome previously announced. It should allow banks to increase to 9% of their capital ratio "hard" a recognized strength. To achieve this, banks will first use their private shareholders, and if necessary of public funds bad credit payday advance. The EFSF intervene as a last and final resort.Uncertainty remains about the date of implementation, 2012 or 2013.

On Thursday, Paris and Berlin have also tried to dispel the misunderstanding about the previous meeting on Wednesday between the President and the Chancellor. The stakes: the future modalities of action of EFSF and the famous "leverage" critical piece of the arsenal to stop the European debt crisis and prevent contagion.

The German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble ensures that the two capitals are in fact "in total agreement." But he hastens to add that there is still no agreement at European level. French side, it was confirmed by noting that if there is a discrepancy, it is rather with Spain and especially Italy.In Brussels, witnesses of the appointment of Frankfurt continues to describe "a cold atmosphere" between Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel, barely warmed by the announcement of the birth of the president's daughter.

To further complicate the picture, the Greek press spoke of a setback yesterday on what promised to be the easiest section of the summit: the release and payment of EUR 8 billion international loan in Athens. The European Union grows. But the IMF question the ability of Greece to address its long-term debt without the involvement of Europeans more convincing.

ALSO READ:

This show is held every two years alternating with Paris Doha in Qatar, is the child of September 11 and terrorist attacks in the United States. "Although he was born in 1984 but in 2003 the concept of homeland security market has emerged differing from the defense market itself," says Alain Rondepierre prefect, president of the show. Milipol also aims to provide solutions in the fight against crime, interventions in hostile environments – infected or affected by natural disasters – as well as the operations of public safety and law enforcement as well road safety, port and airport.And wider border surveillance.

A growing market

Customers come from public and private horizon: business as head of sensitive sites such as nuclear power plants, police forces (in the field, scientific) and emergency preparedness (fire, miners, rescuers …), gendarmerie, customs, airports, government agencies (FBI, Home Office …), the Ministries of Interior and Defence equipment because some applications have mixed civilian and military.

In total the global market for security at large weighs 420 billion euros (+5.5% in 2010), the survey published in the Atlas of Safely, the newspaper of record on the subject. The market is dominated by the United States with 30% of the world but Asia is gaining ground (23% against 14% of expenditures in 2001).For its part, Israel Export Institute believes that the only market "homeland security" weighs 170 billion and it increased by 7 to 8% per year.

On these growth markets, France has several champions. Morpho, the world leader in biometric identification since the purchase of American L1, used by over 100 countries and 450 organizations such as the FBI, the Israeli police and Interpol. Morpho is a specialist in such border crossing facilities at airports. "Faced with evolving threats, we must provide answers to more sophisticated, more effective are not too expensive and that thin the border crossing. For example, we went from detection to the identification of explosives, "said Didier Bernard, Executive Vice President of Morpho.Soon there will be no need to register to use the Initials successor that allows holders of biometric passports to cross the border control without queuing.

For its part, Thales relies on its leadership in information systems, to provide answers to the problems generated by "urbanization". This "requires cities smarter and therefore supported by systems that can facilitate decision-making in complex environments," said Luc Vigneron, Chairman of Thales. The group from Mexico won the first contract of its kind with its offer to secure Hypervisor this city of 22 million people, plagued by violence. In addition to large groups, SMEs, supported by some Directorate General of Armaments, engage in an orgy of creativity.Overview of some of the novelties of Milipol 2011.

Some products presented at Milipol, the first international exhibition of security

• Cobra – A range of robotic vehicles (see above)

Developed by ECA, one of three subsidiaries of the SME Gorge, the Cobra Bubble is a ground vehicle robotic intelligent. Its onboard camera is covered with a protective bubble antiéboulement that does not stop to see day and night to 360 degrees. The vehicle of 40 cm square weighs 5 kg. It can be equipped with a gun to remove the mines. He drives up to 300 m away from a touch pad or joystick. Its mission: to make tracking and filming in hostile environments or contaminated or monitoring sensitive sites such as nuclear power plants. Gorged sells 100,000 a year.

• Millicam 90 – Sees Through Walls

The agency believes that financial services' growth prospects are uncertain "because of" increasing risks "facing the economy. The agency referred in particular to "the incomplete reform of the labor market will continue to hinder economic recovery." In the view of S & P, Spain could fall into recession next year, with GDP expected down 0 guaranteed pay day loans.5%.

The fragility of the financial system is also the Achilles heel of the fourth largest economy in the eurozone.S & P is concerned and "a probable further deterioration of asset quality of the Spanish financial system."

The agency also questioned the budgetary targets of the Zapatero government. The Spanish public deficit forecast at 6.2% of GDP for 2011 could be exceeded. As for reducing the deficit to 4.4% of GDP in 2012, it will not be possible without "additional measures".

ALSO READ:

"Fear of recession the country will fare

Since the beginning of the week, investors won over by a wave of optimism about the outcome of the debt crisis in the eurozone. The spokesperson of European Commissioner for Economic Affairs Olli Rehn Olli Rehn, Europe is considering strengthening the capacity of the European support fund for countries in trouble (EFSF). Rumors press also reported a proposed quadrupling of the Fund's lending capacity to 2000 billion euros. In turn, an official of the ECB, the Austrian Ewald Nowotny, did not rule out declines in interest rates in the euro area.But soon, the German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble said that Europeans had "no intention of bailing out" the EFSF.

The Spanish Minister of Economy Elena Salgado also said Tuesday that an increase of two thousand billion euros in the capacity of the European Support Fund "was not on the table." Political leaders are clearly divided on the concrete responses to the debt crisis, while discussions on the payment of a new international loan to Greece, vital to enable it to avoid bankruptcy dragged on. At the same time discontent rises and Athens was again paralyzed Tuesday by a wave of strikes in public transport.

More good news, the constraint on bank lending is beginning to loosen.The private sector credit grew by 2.6% year on year in August in the euro zone, against 2.4% in July. Loans to households grew by 3% in August, while consumer loans to individuals have declined only 1.6% against 2% last month according to figures released Tuesday by the European Central Bank (ECB) . Moreover, housing starts for new homes in France, climbing 8.1% year on year for the period from June to August. However, they mark a slowdown from earlier this year: the pace of growth in the first quarter was still 35.5%. The number of building permits for new homes has increased its share by 9.8% year on year for the same period.

The euro was weakening on Tuesday to below $ 1.35. At midday, the euro stood at 1.3496 dollars, against 1.3523 dollars late Monday.He had fallen in session Monday to 1 paydayloans.3363 dollars, its lowest level since mid-January, prior to recover. As for commodities, gold has recovered slightly this morning at 1640 dollars an ounce after declining over the last three sessions.

Values ​​follow:

The banking sector is driven by rumors of recapitalization.BNP Paribas advance of 9.25%, largest increase in the CAC 40 7.46% Credit Agricole and Societe Generale 8.55%.

Total (2.97% to 32.25 euros) reduced the number of banks in which it deposits funds for fear of a credit crunch in the euro zone, but remains confident in the French settlements, said its chief financial officer the agency Dow Jones and The Wall Street Journal.

The CEO of Renault (4.20% to 25.30 euros), Carlos Ghosn, said on Monday to Reuters that he saw no sign of slowdown in global demand despite the debt crisis in Europe and economic uncertainties in the United States.He expects an increase in car sales in the United States in 2012.

The title of the French automotive supplier Aries (18.64% to 7 euros), specialized in the production of aluminum parts, flew Tuesday in the Paris Bourse, with a net income higher than expected in the first half (6.7 million euros, up 31.3%).

Thales (2.08% to 24.58 euros) for its part plans to sell part of its services activities, according to Les Echos on Tuesday. The division, which last year made 81 million euros in sales, employs approximately 500 people. Logica names and GFI Informatique circulating among potential buyers.

Dexia (6.09% to 1.48 euros) is facing a complaint from the town of Rosny-sur-Seine (Yvelines), which has borrowed toxic.The mayor filed a complaint for "organized fraud" and "deception" with a civil court of first instance of Versailles against Dexia Credit Local.

Ipsen (3.56% 22.57 euros) was acquired from the Norwegian pharmaceutical company Photocure marketing rights of Hexvix, its flagship product for the diagnosis of bladder cancer.

The retailer Casino (2.29% to 57.13 euros) saw its price target reduced from 81 to 74 euros by HSBC. Land areas (4.54% to 50.73 euros) for his part saw the recommendation on its title upgraded to "buy" against "hold" earlier by ING.

Neopost (4.05% to 57.23 euros) will release its results for the first half after market.

ALSO READ:

"Week crucial for Greece

Investors focused on news from Europe. After the announcement, positively received, a new agreement between central banks to provide dollar liquidity to European banks and Japanese eyes were riveted to Poland which is a meeting of EU finance ministers.The latter have formally agreed on the principle of strengthening fiscal discipline by imposing financial penalties on countries too lax, paving the way for formal adoption of this reform.

In contrast, the euro area and again stumbles on the guarantees requested by Finland in exchange for new loans in Athens, an issue that poisons relations within the euro area.Concerning the payment of a further tranche of loans that the country urgently needs, the euro area has decided to postpone any decision until October.

Invited exceptionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has also expressed concern about the divisions between governments and the European Central Bank (ECB).

U.S. consumer confidence rises

In this context, the "four witches" today is to say the expiration of four types of futures contracts on indices and stocks, have increased volatility.

Good news, however, helped keep the exchanges in positive territory: U.S. consumer confidence rises, according to the index of consumer confidence in September, published by the University of Michigan.The index, which fell in August to its lowest level since November 2008, increased 2.1 points to 57.8, according to a still provisional estimate for September. Analysts were waiting a little lower, at 56.3.

Oil has closed lower Friday in New York, suffering from profit taking less reassured investors that the day before on the likelihood of a quick resolution of the debt crisis in Europe.A barrel of "light sweet crude" for October delivery ended down $ 1.44 on the New York Mercantile Exchange, to 87.96 dollars a barrel.

RIM collapses

On the corporate side, Research in Motion (- 18.99% to 23.93 dollars), the maker of BlackBerry smartphones, collapsed after publishing quarterly results fell sharply, well below analysts' forecasts.

The rating agency Moody's said Thursday it placed under surveillance notes of the bank UBS (+ 4.16% to 11.89 dollars) with for a potential degradation due to "weaknesses in the management of risk group. "

At the heart of the news, Google (+ 0.76% to 546.68 dollars) has purchased additional patents in 1023 the computer company IBM (1.55% to 172.72 dollars) to strengthen its portfolio and attempt to discourage trial for violation of intellectual property.Google expects the other hand that the number of Internet users in India to be tripled in three years through improved access to wireless internet and at prices more affordable smartphone, reported on Friday Wall Street Journal.

Boeing (1.49% to 65.28 dollars) could finally respond to the order by Air France-KLM of 110 long-haul aircraft, including 50 firm orders, builders Boeing and European Airbus to ensure the renewal of its fleet.