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The OECD approves the plans rigor French, German and British

What do you think of austerity plans adopted in France, Great Britain and Germany? Are they sufficient?

Targets chosen are appropriate. When started in 2011, for the most part, they reflect the forecast growth will remain weak in coming months. The credibility of the measures announced will have a positive impact on the economy over the medium term. It will also look favorably on the interest rate will be long term downward trend and therefore promote growth.

These plans are they in line with OECD recommendations?

Overall, yes. In all three countries, governments have chosen to cut public spending to reduce deficits, which is a good thing.The experience of OECD countries shows that fiscal consolidation based on expenditure reduction is generally more efficient and more sustainable than those based on a tax increase. Yes, we need to use the weapon of taxation, but if it has a limited impact on growth. In this case, we must emphasize the taxes related to climate change – CO2 tax – or indirect taxes on consumption – VAT – the property rather than income households or businesses.

In Britain, the specific measures such as increases in VAT or tax on capital gains in the right direction.

In France, the pension reform is essential, we must reverse the age of retirement at least 62 years because many European countries are already beyond this level.It is also important to address the budgetary rules to strengthen the credibility, setting goals of stabilization. As has just done in Germany out in the Constitution a ceiling for public debt by 2016 paydayloan.

The OECD has launched Wednesday a new warning on unemployment will remain high and the risk of falling into structural unemployment. What do you think, in this context, cuts aid to employment, in particular France and Germany?

Our position is that we must change the orientation of employment policies, by investing more in the long term. Countries should abandon the measures adopted early in the crisis to keep costs the employees in their jobs, promoting the reduction of working hours to avoid layoffs.Policies should be more targeted for career change into areas more vibrant and productive. This requires investment in training, education, innovation.

Yet France removes 16,000 teaching posts …

It may be more effective in education. But it is clear that there is not enough money to do everything! Times are difficult and involve choices. Must be cut, reduce deficits and debt while stimulating growth, promoting employment and education. This must remain a priority.

Is there a risk of falling into recession?

We maintain our forecast last month. The recovery will continue at different speeds, slower in Europe than elsewhere, but we see no risk of double dip recession.The real issue in the medium term is to find a good balance between sustainability of public finances and economic growth.

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The Euro at lowest level in over four years

The euro has pushed the bar of $ 1.21 Friday shortly before 13:30, then the 1.2 dollar after the closure of European markets. 21heures rating it to 1.1976, the European currency had not been at these levels since late March 2006, more than four years. A floor that makes investors fears Wall Street unscrews, w ith a Dow Jones loose around 3%.

Investors are fleeing risky currency – which the euro is due to debt problems of several countries in Europe – in favor of safer currencies such as dollars and Swiss francs, while U.S. employment figures , Still selecting highly expected to referee emerged sharply higher, but less good, however, that those expected by analysts.

Including the 431,000 jobs created in May in the United States, on the first four months of the year, the U.S. economy created 200,000 jobs.But in the vast majority of them, these new posts are made through the timely hiring of staff for the census. Excluding this one-time occurrence, the economy created only 20,000 jobs.

These figures "are a blow to the enthusiasm on the global economic recovery," said Joshua Raymond, an analyst at City Index.This means that companies "are not hiring more sparingly and do not yet have enough confidence in the future to engage in massive recruitment," says Aurel BCG.

Fillon drives the point

Just for fun, Francois Fillon has ruled that the continuing fall of the single currency was a "good news", able to boost exports from the eurozone.

The term "parity" – meaning a dollar / euro – used during the press conference as prime minister by Friday precipitated a collapse of the euro against the dollar, forcing Matignon rectify the rooms to calm market.

"When politicians they understand that reviews loans for their candor and local audiences have destabilizing effects on financial markets?" Was upset Michael Hewson, an analyst at CMC Markets.

The comments "do not make any gift to the euro, according to the analyst. "They certainly do not help not to stabilize the single currency (and otherwise) to undermine the credibility of the finest political will to support the euro," he said.

Europe degraded by HSBC

Side debt in Europe, the series continues. On Friday, HSBC has downgraded its recommendation on Europe, excluding the United Kingdom, "neutral" to "underweighted" because "there are still too many uncertainties about the health of banks on the future of the euro on sovereign debt, and growth to take risks in this area now.

Hungary worried

After Greece, Spain and Portugal, the contagion of the disease spreading further public finances in the euro area, Hungary.

The government spokesman who said that about a politician reminiscent of the small countries a chance to avoid a crisis similar to that of Greece were not exaggerated.

Following comments from the spokesman for the government, the forint fell to a lower than a year against the euro traded at 285.75 forint per euro, before slightly rising up around 288 forints .

Hungary is on a drip of 20 billion euros made available by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the European Union (EU) and European Central Bank (ECB) since the fall of 2008.

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The competition is losing its AAA at SNCF

At Transport SNCF, talking about a non-event. Standard and Poor's downgraded by one notch Friday mark the long-term debt of the public company, which went from "AAA" – the highest possible – from "AA +", the prospect is stable. This means that S & P should not lower the rating further in the months to come.

The rating agency justifies this development, which will cost "several million" up interest rates to SNCF, by "the European rules that could make it more difficult in future for possible financial support" of government French in the public company as well as the opening to competition of rail passengers including his lucrative branch TGV."We believe that the most profitable activities of the station will be gradually exposed to competition," explains Standard & Poor's.

Since 1 January, the international passenger traffic is indeed officially liberalized in Europe, pending an opening to competition of domestic traffic, which is expected by 2015. For now, only Veolia announced its willingness to engage in this activity. A perspective that condemns the station eventually to lose market share.

"It remains a very good note"

The SNCF said it was prepared to such an announcement since the "perspective" was negative since September 2008. "It remains a very good score Guaranteed pay day loans.Many European states have not rated AA +, "said David Azema, deputy CEO in charge of finance and strategy at SNCF. The rating agency looks at the level of support that the station can expect from the state. The AAA rating corresponds to a quasi-automatic support in the event of default and AA + to support very highly probable. "

The company refuses to see in this a confirmation that the degradation status of public institution operating in industrial and commercial (Epic) is threatened. The S & P's decision certainly comes just after France decided to take legal action against the EU Commission, which considers the status of Epic necessarily implies an unlimited guarantee from the state, inconsistent with competition who sits in the sector.The rating agency noted that although skirmish between Paris and Brussels, but does not in itself a cause of degradation.

Conversely, the fact that the station has seen its rating lowered even though it is still an Epic could argue along the lines of the French arguments: clearly, the status of Epic does not mean the view of S & P that the situation Financial SNCF blends perfectly with that of the French state.

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The Paris Bourse is expected to remain down

New session of decline in perspective the Paris Stock Exchange on Wednesday. If investors follow the Parisian trend driven by Asia this morning, there is little chance to see the CAC 40 bounced in the opening. On Tuesday, the key index in Paris had a meeting very heckled, opening in early fall and then increasing its losses during the session. The reopening of Wall Street after a holiday and good U.S. macroeconomic indicators have helped limit the damage: ACC ended the session on a drop of 0.13%.

But concerns over the resumption of economic growth have resurfaced after the announcement of bad statistics on inflation and real estate in China. A price increase in this sector is feared the creation of a bubble whose consequences could be worse than those of U.S. subprime, according to some economists.

Incidentally, the euro fell to its lowest level in four yesterday during the meeting. On Wednesday, investors will keep an eye on the promises of home sales in April and May auto sales in the United States.

The bank will try to resume

As for values, banking and insurance will be expected once the turn. Very disciplined yesterday, BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, Societe Generale and Axa will attempt the ascent. In particular they should react to the press conference European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso, Commissioner for Financial Services, Michel Barnier and economic affairs commissioner, Olli Rehn, the Financial Services No fax pay day loan.The commissioners will present a Green Paper on economic reform of the EU favors a reorganization of the governance of financial institution.

Areva and Siemens would be in the sights of the European Commission according to the Figaro. An expedited procedure against the French and German can be launched for infringement of competition law. This decision falls within the framework of the divorce between the two groups.

This opens in Paris on Wednesday that the trial of Jean-Marie Messier, nearly eight years after his ouster from the chairmanship of Vivendi Universal (VU). The former boss will have to account for its management of media and communications group.

Bouygues has raised its revenue for 2010. Tuesday, the group released an operating profit of 162 million euros in first quarter 2010 and a net profit group share of 181 million euros.The group also indicated that the proposed tram-train the meeting had been finally buried.

EDF said Tuesday that its proposed acquisition of shares from several shareholders of the second Belgian electrician SPE-Luminus, which will own 63.5% of the capital after the transaction was negotiated on the basis of a price 215 million

L'Oreal said it has acquired a new provider of hair salons in the United States for an unspecified amount.

PSA Peugeot Citroen holds its general meeting this Wednesday. Philippe Varin, chief of the manufacturer has to convince shareholders of its development strategy in Asia.

Good indicators are tipping the CAC 40 rising

The Paris Bourse continued down this Thursday, but timidly, after a sharp decline (-1.22%) the previous day amid concerns related to government debt.

The Greek interest rates to ten years has exceeded 8% in the day Wednesday. Investors wonder if Greece will well repay the debt, with growth stifled by a plan of unprecedented stringency.

Finally, the CAC 40 lost 0.12% first to 3972.8 points at the opening, then the index has returned to equilibrium in the early exchanges, to go back into the green to 9:20.

Investors seem to pay more attention to the good economic indicators fell again Thursday.

Rain clues to look closely

This session will be loaded in major economic indicators.In France, growth accelerated in April in the French private sector, with a strong burst of activity in services, according to the PMI survey published Thursday by Markit Economics. The composite index rose to 58.4, its highest level in four months, against 55.8 in March.

The morale of French companies has jumped four points in April compared to March to reach 97 points, despite backlogs still scanty, according to Insee.

Moreover, the French manufacturing industry has confirmed its recovery in April from the previous month, according to the business survey released Thursday by the INSEE.The synthetic indicator of business climate index rose four points to 97, while remaining below its long term average.

Side euro area, 11 hours, will update the balance of payments for the fourth quarter of 2009, and the government deficit and debt for the past year

Finally across the Atlantic, at 14:30, monitor producer prices in March and the traditional weekly claims for unemployment benefits. At 16 hours, followed home resales for the month of March.

Schneider, Vallourec and L'Oreal to take on the ACC

Schneider Electric on Wednesday confirmed its 2010 target of a moderate increase in its turnover in organic figures.The shares were down 1.91%, to 86.4 euros.

Vallourec (+0.13%, to 149.7 euros) has announced the acquisition for 150 million euros Serimax, a company specializing in soufage pipes offshore.

The group Areva (0.52%, to 383 euros), yet prey to big delays on another local project, the favorites to meet the tender of the Finnish government, which wants to build two new reactors.

Always on the CAC 40, L'Oreal (-0.65%, to 80.5 euros) said it signed an agreement to acquire the U.S. Essie Cosmetics, make-up brand nail polish, whose turnover business amounted to $ 28 million (about 21 million euros) over the last twelve months.

The Competition Commission has prohibited the merger between Orange, a subsidiary of telecom operator France Telecom (-0.15% to 17.14 euros), and Sunrise.The company resulting from the merger would have created, together with Swisscom, a collective dominant position on the market for mobile telephony.

Guy Wyser-Pratte does not increase its stake from 0.53% in Lagard?re group with which it engaged in an arm-wrestling to be appointed to its supervisory board and change its governance.Lagardere shares were down 0.17%, to 31.84 euros.

Publications animate Exchange

Later publications, they have been good for Sodexo (5.65%, to 46.75 euros), Remy Cointreau (4.05%, to 45 euros) and Carbone Lorraine (3.59%, to 28 euros ), the three largest increases in the SBF 120.

Sodexo has recorded an operating profit better than expected in the first half, and now expects a range between 770 and 790 million euros for the full year.

Carbone Lorraine on Wednesday released a stable turnover in the first quarter at constant perimeter and exchange rates and confirmed its targets for 2010.

The wine and spirits group Remy Cointreau announced Thursday an increase in its annual turnover (April 2009-March 2010) of 13.1% to 807.8 million euros.

Vranken-Pommery has also published a large turnover of 39.4 million euros, up 38.1% (+11.4% at constant scope, excluding integration Listel), thanks to the recovery its activity champagne. The company expects a sales growth of over 20% "medium term". The shares are 2.63%

In addition, Publicis made a surprise Thursday by posting organic growth of 3.1% of its income in the first quarter, two times higher than that of Havas.Its shares rise 1.52%, to 33.7 euros.

Plastic Omnium (1.58%, to 34 euros) has announced an increase of over 43% of its activity in the first quarter, benefiting from a favorable base effect with the automotive market crisis a year ago.

Surprises

Side decreases, Nexans has the highest drop in the Paris stock exchange: -7%, to 60.4 euros. The leader in the cable industry has registered a turnover of 1.35 billion euros, up 8.4% yoy while in the course of constant non-ferrous metals, it reached 971 million of euros, down 11.1%.

Just behind Technilocolor – formerly Thomson – fell by 3.9% to 1.04 euros. The company posted a turnover of 691 million euros for the first quarter, down 24.4%.

Biotechs are going back to the Exchange

The biotechs have to score again in stock. As proof, the imminent introduction of Neovacs Deinove and Alternext. Neovacs biotechnology company specializing in immunotherapy (arthritis, Crohn's disease), has extended the period of fifteen days to subscribe for its shares to raise 20 million euros. Deinove, which relies both on green fuels and the production of antibiotics, is preparing to collect 15 million in late April.

"The thrill of the financial markets is clear. The companies that have promising products, attractive valuations and are focusing on big markets again become interesting, "says Dr. Philippe Pouletty, General Partner of Truffle Capital and Honorary Chairman of France Biotech. It was time. Since 2007, this funding, essential for the biotechs, was dry.

Partnerships and acquisitions

The resumption date of late 2009.In November, the biotech NicOx has managed to collect 100 million euros. "Five to six biotech could go public by 2010," predicts Philippe Pouletty. This could be the case Carmat, further participation of Truffle Capital, which is developing an artificial heart, then AB Science, which addresses mastocytosis, a rare disease no teletrack payday loans.

The crisis has not resulted in catastrophe for the biotechs. The decline in venture capital funding has been limited to 25%. The biotech, which have little recourse to debt, were not affected by the closure of the credit tap. At the same time, they took advantage of the growing interest of pharmaceutical companies, forced to look outward to compensate for their lack of internal creativity. The labs have multiplied in recent months partnerships and takeovers."Biotechnology and the green industry are two huge sectors globally. France and the investors have an incentive to participate in this growth, "said Philippe Pouletty. But investors are not always what you. "The performance of biotech on the Paris market is not attractive enough," lamented Francis Deneux, the firm Arthur D. Little. Without doubt, as these start-ups are often financed by public funds including, with "too little selectivity. This leaves the "not enough money for the best of them."

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Lagarde returns to Berlin at the cost of a tax on banks

In Berlin

That's all smiles as Wolfgang Sch?uble, German Minister of Finance and his counterpart, Christine Lagarde, have been presented to the press after the German Council of Ministers which, for the first time a foreign minister was able to attend. After quarrels on the question of rescue of Greece and the tensions in the German economic model, the French Minister has stressed "the very friendly and warm hospitality" of his German colleagues. Asked about his remarks about the controversial German exports, Christine Lagarde has countered that she had wanted to "congratulate" the German competitiveness. "I am very careful not to criticize, because we must first put its own house," she smiled.

The Franco-German reconciliation was played around a tax on banks that Berlin wants to impose on the European and international level, with the support of Paris.The compulsory levy, calculated in terms of systemic risk – that is to say the risk of contagion that would expose their failure to the rest of the economy – should contribute to a fund to help financial institutions.

More than one billion euros

In Germany, such a tax would yield 1 to 1.2 billion euros per year. "A bill must be presented before the summer holidays, and may be adopted in the second half of the year," said Wolfgang Sch?uble No faxing pay day loans. For the Minister of Finance taxation of banks should remain "moderate" to avoid compromising their role in providing credit to the economy that is recovering from recession.

To avoid distortion of competition, Paris and Berlin argue like the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a tax credit internationally.Christine Lagarde believes it is important to act "on a double angle: Prevention and Accountability" of financial institutions. But the tax credit mechanism must also "maintain a set level playing field between banks involved in international markets.

One issue still under discussion between the two countries: the destination of the tax. While Paris wants to assign to the state budget, the Germans are considering creating a special fund.The national rules will be required, although the mechanism is doomed to fall within a framework of European regulations or international.

"The Franco-German cooperation is narrow, it becomes more and more, and is based on trust," said the German finance minister, who will attend an upcoming French Cabinet, a priori, April 7.

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Unions in the street

The mobilization will she go in this Tuesday, two days in a large loss of the right in regional elections? Six unions (CFDT, CGT, FOR, FSU, UNSA, Solidaires) called on employees of public and private to a national day of action aimed at influencing government policy on political and social. If it comes shortly after the regional elections, the appointment union had however taken immediately after the Social Summit in February, meeting at the initiative of the Head of State to discuss, among other things, the upcoming construction of the reform pensions.

Tuesday afternoon, thousands of demonstrators began to march throughout France. If the number of participants were not recorded in Paris, 10,000 people marched in Nantes by the CGT, the police still had no figures available. They were at Le Mans 7000, according to police, 2000 in Vannes, according to unions.In Rennes, the mobilization seemed weaker. Also according to police, Lyon accounted as 10,000 demonstrators, Grenoble 5000, and Saint-Etienne 4400.

The strike of civil servants was also relatively followed in mid-day. The department estimated that 21% the proportion of striking teachers, estimated at 40% for the SNES-FSU, a rate higher than the previous mobilizations. 11.45% of the postal employees were also mobilized by the leadership. At the station, the strike rate was estimated at 28% by management, and 32% by the CGT. At RATP, it would amount to 14% depending on the direction, the CGT-RATP not yet have figures to communicate.

Pension reform crystallized discontent

Two main points today crystallize opposition from unions, following a government reshuffle.

• Pensions: major point of contention between the unions and the government, the pension reform was launched at the Social Summit in February. While the dialogue should begin early April, several union leaders have spoken about this on Tuesday, sending a warning to the government. The CFDT leader Francois Ch?r?que has called for a reform that reduces inequality. "Of course we must change our pension system, but it does not evolve towards greater social justice, this is again a loss of confidence in politics" best payday advance !!!???!!!?? ?!!!. Therefore, it could "be the sport at a social level," he warns.Jean-Claude Mailly, secretary general of FP, for his part reiterated on Tuesday his commitment to the LCI retirement at age 60, holding "absurd" the solution of longer working hours to alleviate the funding problems induced by the lengthening of life expectancy. "If we follow this logic, women live longer should work longer," he argued. As for Bernard Thibault, leader of the CGT, he believes "we can not impose reform on accounting criteria exclusively, also challenging the objectivity of the Advisory Committee of pensions. "This appointment will be very difficult to carry," he predicted. Probably heard a speech by the new Labor Minister, Eric Woerth, who insisted on Tuesday on the need to "protect" the current system "an equitable reform.

• Employment: while the unemployment rate back above the 10% in the fourth quarter of 2009, the CFDT called for taking further steps to assist employees affected by the crisis. Pleading for an appeal to partial unemployment, training rather than dismissal, the leader of the CFDT has also called for financial support purchasing power and resources center for sustainable employment. The employees "have the feeling that we no longer speak of their real situation since September. An impression they would have in his Sunday expressed through the ballot box. The government must now "give strong signals, and change of method," he said. A view shared by the leader of the CGT, Bernard Thibault, who on Tuesday urged the convening of a new social summit at the Elysee.The meeting, a time desired by the head of state says he would aim to "take stock of the situation regarding employment, economic and social policy and purchasing power for practical decisions for implementing fast.

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Greece: why an IMF aid appeals

Berlin turncoat. The German government has officially informed on Friday that he was open to assistance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for Greece, after long vigorously rejected this option. However, observers believed the case heard earlier this week. The Europeans had a specific plan, they said. Today, the hypothesis of an intervention of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in favor of Greece resurfaced.

"The situation is confused, everything changes constantly," says an observer of the market in Frankfurt. "We came out of the Eurogroup, on Monday, with the idea of a specific action plan for Greece in case of need, but since patterns are changing." The markets reacted Friday to the renewed uncertainty .The yield on the 10-year Greek climbed nine basis points in early morning, reaching 6.44%, the highest since February 26, reports Bloomberg.

If Berlin exchange of views, the European Central Bank and Paris rejected an IMF intervention. "Bringing an external actor in the system is to acknowledge that lack a brick to the edifice of the euro area, as has long denounced the Anglo-Saxons," says Gilles Moec, economist at Deutsche Bank. For Jean-Claude Trichet, President of the European Central Bank, admitted this weakness is beyond question. This institution would be missing other than the European Monetary Fund recently proposed by Berlin.

The eye of Washington

Moreover, "the France and the European Central Bank fear of losing some control of European monetary policy by allowing the intervention of an international player," Peter Westerheide analysis, an economist at ZEW (Center for European Economic Research) payday loans! !???!!!???!!!. The largest contributor to the IMF is the United States, leave the international organization for Greece is to give Washington the right to inspect the functioning of the euro area.

This argument is however a double edged sword. "Leave the IMF to pay back the United States to repair the crisis they themselves have caused," said Peter Westerheide. "Overall, the IMF is fed by many countries, the coup European countries pay relatively less in each case of assistance to Greece.This last point was what to seduce Angela Merkel, embarrassed by public opinion strongly opposed to any aid to the Greeks.

The IMF also has expertise in this kind of crisis. And for good reason: to help the country to the brink of bankruptcy, it is his job. The argument is advanced on the European scene, the Italian Finance Minister Giulio Tremonti: "Do not see the IMF as an external organization that meddles with what does not concern him, but rather as a bank offering … its capital and experience. "

These arguments, which seem to convince Berlin, partly defuse the blackmail of the Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou, if European aid too slow, it threatens to turn to the IMF. "Anyway, Greece can hardly resort to the IMF without the backing of other European capitals," said Peter Westerheide."His partners have enough pressure, especially through the many aid it receives from Brussels."

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France Telecom "may appease the social climate"

After two days of contacts with the new CEO of France Telecom, Stephane Richard, and Chief Financial Officer Gervais Pellissier, the Oddo Securities analysts draw conclusions rather reassuring: the new management team "has the qualities needed to improve the social climate within the group, without deteriorating financial goals.

Stephane Richard, who replaced Didier Lombard on 1 March, has confirmed giving priority to the alleviation of social relations within the group.Oddo Securities said in a note published today have felt the new management as "very attentive, controlling well the great social, financial, and fellows of the group and sector, and wishing to show more transparency and sense that commercial shine.

Social criteria are taken into account for the premiums

Among the concrete steps, variable pay (bonuses) for a little over a thousand leaders in France will now be indexed to 50% on financial criteria (against 80% previously), to 20% on quality criteria Services (unchanged), and 30% on social criteria (non-existent before), if possible, quantifiable as absenteeism.

Furthermore, agreement with unions was recently signed to the senior part-time and mobility.And an action plan is provided, internally, to "motivate all the teams around unifying themes, they add, such as quality of service, accountability teams decentralizing some decision-making, improved working conditions, etc..

Management believes these new devices n'impacteront hardly the finances of France Telecom, which has already made "significant restructuring since 2002," says Oddo, who adds that the cost of social concessions is already integrated in the accounting 8 billion euros of cash flow in 2010.

The operational track

Besides the social side, management has raised a dynamic business "still very strong in the mobile in France and Great Britain. The target of 35% ADSL market share in 2010 is maintained.

Investments should be under control, "the group had no problem of saturation of its mobile networks. France Telecom does not accelerate but rather the deployment of 4G from mid-2011 if necessary, "says Oddo.

Considering all this information, the team of analysts expressed confidence in the ability of France Telecom to maintain its dividends "beyond 2011".

Acquisition strategy shy

No big acquisitions in sight. While St?phane Richard wants to promote growth in the long-term actions to respond to the stock market rising, it remains on the defensive. A shift could occur if a major consolidation movement was born.

France Telecom remains focused on some inexpensive targets outside Europe or purchases "in market" in the Old Continent.Oddo suspected a connection between Telenet and Mobistar, or rallying with a fixed player in Spain. In Britain, the broker anticipates that the joint venture Orange / T-Mobile UK will seek a buyer for its fixed network. Ultimately, it is also possible that the joint venture includes a British MNVO (MVNOs) like Virgin Mobile.

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