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The Paris Bourse expected a slight increase

European stock exchanges succeed they continue their rebound started the day before? Investors should prove once again nervous at the end of a week marked by extreme market volatility, which saw the CAC 40 push the psychological threshold of 3000 points during trading Thursday before returning to the colors.

Friday morning, the Paris index is expected a slight increase of 0.4%. Thursday, ACC closed up 2.59% to 3089.66 points, after falling in mid-session. The day before, the Paris index plunged more than 5%. The same volatility dominates in Frankfurt the Dax closed up 3.28% and in London where the FTSE-100 index gained 3.11%.

Investors were reassured by the announcement of a meeting between Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel on August 16 to issue joint proposals on the governance of the euro area.In addition, U.S. markets were supported by two good indicators of the jobless and real estate. Wall Street has ended sharply higher: the Dow Jones has gained 4% and the Nasdaq 4.69%.

Another announcement that should bring some calm markets: such as Belgium, Spain and Italy, France announced Thursday the ban on short selling in the securities of eleven banks and insurance companies to counter the extreme volatility of the stock market values. Among the relevant securities, BNP Paribas, which issued a statement Thursday night to reaffirm the strength of its capital, Societe Generale and Credit Agricole online payday loans.

No growth in the second quarter

On the macroeconomic front, INSEE reported this morning from zero growth in the second quarter in France (0.0%), against an increase of 0.9% in the first quarter.Inflation also slowed: the consumer prices fell by 0.4% in July, resulting in an increase of 1.9% over the year (against 2.1% from June 2010 to June 2011 ).

Oil is, meanwhile, resumed its decline in trade in Asia, having recovered Thursday in the United States. In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" lost 47 cents to 85.25 dollars and that of Brent North Sea fell by 57 cents to 107.45 dollars.

Other values ​​to follow, Europacorp, the production company of Luc Besson, Thursday reaffirmed its goal of a return to balance for the current year, despite a sharp decline in sales the first quarter.

Derichebourg Thursday confirmed its target of improving its annual net income, after recording a sharp increase in sales over the first nine months of the year.

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New Storm on the Paris Stock Exchange

New slump in the Paris Bourse. At the close on Wednesday, the CAC 40 index showed a loss of 5.45% to 3002.99 points and manages to maintain a narrow margin the psychological threshold of 3000 points. In a volume of trade of 6 billion euros, the volatility was again very strong.

Like him, other European indices loosen: the FTSE-100 index in London lost 3.05% to 5007.16 points at closing. The Dax in Frankfurt tumbles 5.13% to 5613.42 points after falling 6% during the session. The index featured the Milan Stock Exchange, the FTSE Eb, closed Wednesday on a drop of 6.65% at 14,676 points, its lowest level since April 2009. The Madrid Stock Exchange closed on a fall of 5.49%.

The banking sector collapses

All markets are penalized by the banking sector, while Greece is planning to expand its exchange program to include obligations of the securities in the longer term, which penalizes first private creditors. In Paris, Societe Generale gives 14.47 (after a 20.83% drop in session) to 22.18 euros, Crédit Agricole 11.81% to 6.07 euros, BNP Paribas 9.47% to 35.61 euros and Natixis 9.11% to 2.68 euros.

Banks have suffered rumors of degradation of the note of France, while Moody's, Fitch and Standard & Poors reiterated that the AAA rating of the Hexagon was accompanied by a stable outlook online cash advance. Even Bercy denies "formally" the rumors of degradation.But the surprise meeting convened by Nicolas Sarkozy interrupted his holiday to deal with several ministers the theme of economic and financial crisis has rekindled investor concerns.

Also in Europe, the divisions between countries are delaying the implementation of the rescue plan agreed in June In addition, fears of renewed extension of the debt crisis in Italy explains the new fall. The market is concerned about the ability of Italian banks to refinance.

Industrial production declined in France

As on Wall Street, markets been unable to continue the strong rebound in the day that followed the speech by U.S. Federal Reserve.The latter, however, assured that it would extend its monetary policy ultra-accommodating while maintaining zero interest rates until at least mid-2013 and exploring other measures to support the U.S. economy, which will probably end detailed August, at the final communiqué of the U.S. central bank. But the Fed confirmed that the U.S. economy is in trouble, especially since the deterioration in the debt rating of American long-term.

For the economist Nicolas Bouzou, the previous day had already not reassuring:

The player is used by default in the articles of figaro.fr. Maj7

The Standard & Poor's removed the "AAA" rating from the U.S.

The rating agency Standard and Poor's lowered the rating Friday on the public debt of the United States, deprived of their "AAA" for the first time in their history. S & P said in a statement it had lowered the rating a notch, the best possible, to bring it to 'AA +'. It also downgraded the outlook to "negative", which means that Standard and Poor's believes that the next time the note will change, it is to be lowered again. The United States were rated "AAA" by S & P since the creation of this agency in 1941. They remain in the other two major agencies, Moody's Dean (since 1917) and Fitch Ratings.

Standard and Poor's, which had warned in April that it was considering lowering, justified its decision with "political risks" to see the country taking insufficient measures against its budget deficit.For her, the political debate on these issues is not up to the problems caused by a debt of more than 14,500 billion. "The plan for balancing the budget on which Congress and the Executive have recently agreed is insufficient compared to what, in our view, would be needed to stabilize the dynamics in the medium term public debt" said S & P, citing the law known as "control the budget" passed Tuesday.

"The last victim of the failure of President Obama"

John Chambers, President of the Evaluation Committee of S & P, said Friday on CNN that Washington could have prevented the lowering of the notes within the ceiling earlier. He said the responsibilities were shared by the Administration and Obama, but also "the previous administration." The first political reaction in Washington have shown blocking pointed to by S & P.Mitt Romney, candidate for the Republican primary, has called the reduction of "latest victim of the failure of Obama on the economy." The Senate Democratic leader, Harry Reid, has instead called for "a balanced approach to deficit reduction," with spending cuts but also increases targeted taxes, it rejected the Republicans, under pressure ultra-conservative "tea parties", when discussing the debt.

For its part, the U.S. government has accused S & P based its decision on serious errors in calculations payday loan. "An appraisal contains an error of 2000 billion dollars speaks for itself," said the press spokesman of the Department of the Treasury. U.S. media said the government had severely challenged the projections of analysts of the agency after reviewing the findings of S & P. In vain."We take our responsibilities very seriously, and if at the end of our analysis, the commission concludes that a note is not to where it should be, it is our duty to make this decision" justified Reuters responsible for rating sovereign debt within the S & P, David Beers.

China demands U.S. action

The loss of this seal of excellence is expected brutal impact on the financial markets, difficult to imagine right now. The U.S. Treasury is an undisputed reference: a standard cost of money, an instrument normally used as "collateral" (guarantee) in a variety of transactions, and a refuge for investors in troubled times. "Uncertainty about the effects on the market is high," said recently the investment bank Goldman Sachs, exploring the potential consequences.The lowering of this note should indeed force investors to reassess risk widespread.

The S & P announcement came as the markets had closed for the weekend, but initial reactions are mixed from Asia. The Japan, the second holder of U.S. debt world, assured that his confidence in the U.S. Treasury and its strategy of purchasing these bonds were unchanged. But China, by far the world's largest creditor United States, found that she had "every right now to require the United States to address their structural problems of debt."

The United States had their public finances sealed by the harsh recession that crossed their economy from late 2007 to mid-2009. Since then, economic growth has returned, but they are not able to restore the health of their public finances.According to estimates by the International Monetary Fund, they should acknowledge this year, with about 9% of GDP, the highest budget deficit of the G20 countries, except Japan. It is sixteen countries rated "AAA" by Standard and Poor's, four of the G7: Germany, Canada, France and Great Britain.

(With AFP and Reuters)

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Axa was less affected by Greece that the banks

A nice trading day for Axa. The title of the insurer took 4% to 10 o'clock Thursday morning while the CAC 40 is given a little air, with an increase of 0.45%. Investors welcomed the good half done by the insurer that has quadrupled (324%) profit to 3.99 billion euros.

This performance is significantly higher than the expectations of analysts who had expected an average net profit of 3.7 billion. But Axa has mostly benefited from a favorable base effect. The increase in net income is in fact supported by exceptional gains of 1.44 billion euros from the sale of the 15.6% of Veolia capital of the life insurer China Life Taikang and the sale of its New Zealand and Australia."In this environment (of European debt crisis), we publish the results are good, satisfactory and show Axa's fine," said CFO Gerald Harlin, during a conference call.

Confirmation of the Plan 2015

The insurer stands in relation to banks about the impact of the Greek crisis on its accounts no faxing payday loans. While the financial cost runs into hundreds of millions for BNP Paribas (850 million), Crédit Agricole (650 million) and 395 million to Société Générale, Axa has placed "only" 92 million euros in provisions for impairment assets in its bond portfolio of the Greek state.

In contrast, exposure of the insurer in Italy, estimated at 6 billion euros against 300 million for Greece, is much more important."We are confident that Italy is absolutely the means to repay its debt, simply that the European institutions give a stronger signal of support towards Italy for the markets calm down," said Denis Duverne, the deputy CEO of Axa Business on BFM radio.

If the macroeconomic environment remains uncertain because of the turmoil in financial markets, the CEO of Axa, Henri de Castries is "confident". It provides Axa is on track to achieve its 2015 targets.

Wall Street down before the Senate vote

Wall Street starts again in the red on Tuesday. In early trade, the Dow Jones lost 0.57% at 12,063 points, the Nasdaq 0.51% to loose 2731 points and the S & P drops 0.69% to 1279 points.

The opening is dominated by pessimism as consumer spending of U.S. households fell against all odds by 0.2% in June, posting their first decline since September 2009. Economists surveyed on average expected a rise in expenditure of 0.2%.

The expected green light from Senate Tuesday evening

Concerning the agreement on raising the debt ceiling, the doubts persist. "Some have pointed to the fact that the rating agency S & P claimed four trillion dollars in deficit reduction over 10 years against only 2.5 trillion currently being negotiated by members, analysts said Aurel BGC.Maintaining the "AAA" is far from being elected … Many skeptics have left open the possibility of adoption of this agreement by the Congress. "An expected adoption tonight. The Senate must decide, in fact, after the House of Representatives that preceded it from that Monday night.

"I think the show we attended in Washington, a significant number of parliamentarians of this country leaving the threat of a default, really made a lot of damage to the confidence" of investors in the economy American, for his part, said U.S. Treasury Secretary, Timothy Geithnern, on ABC.

Oil side, the opening of the Nymex, oil prices melt, due to poor statistqies the day, who fear a future decline in demand.To 15 hours, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery was trading at 94.36 dollars, down 53 cents.

Results of companies to follow the corporate side, several major publications are planned this week, starting on Tuesday by Pfizer (-1.05% to 18.81 dollars). The group released better than expected earnings for the second quarter, the jump in sales of animal health products offsetting lower sales of drugs, the heart of the business group.

Google (stable at 606.71 dollars) this weekend began testing a new service, "Google Hotel Finder", dedicated to finding hotels. Positioned competitor specialized sites like Hotels.com "Hotel Finder Google" is used to search the dates of their choice, depending on the number of stars of the institution and the average scores given by customers.

Hewlett-Packard (-0.48% to 35.03 dollars) has decided to drop now $ 50 U.S. price of its new tablet, the TouchPad. This rate adjustment, presented as a promotion valid until September 10, is valid until September 10.He places the version of the tablet features a 16GB storage to 449.99 dollars, and the 32 GB to 549 dollars, just one month after the beginning of the commercialization of TouchPad.

Coach (-4.72% to 62.31 dollars), a leading U.S. brands of accessories, recorded a jump of 24% of its annual net profit in 2010-2011 (year ended July 2) at 881 million dollars, and expected to grow over 10% in the future, according to a statement released Tuesday.

Hyatt Hotels (1.96% to 39.52 euros) announced earnings for the second quarter better than expected, while saying he intended to open a number of "significant" new hotels in the future.

GM (-0.79% to 27.87 dollars) reported Tuesday a 7.6% increase in sales of vehicles in the U.S. in July, thanks to strong sales of Chevrolet, the one of the leading brands of the manufacturer, and the good performance of new models.

Raids by giants of video games on small publishers are ongoing. After the announcement of a Memorandum of surrender by PopCap Games Electronic Arts (0.32% to 22.02 dollars) and the acquisition by Zynga a mobile games publisher in Canada, is the Japanese Sony which went on the offensive by offering Sucker Punch. The American development studio publishes games for consoles, the PlayStation family, including "Sly Cooper" (PS) and "inFamous' (PS3).The amount of the transaction were not disclosed.

Amerigroup (7.47% to 51.65 dollars) is expected to jump at the opening, title, earning more than 5% in electronic trading before the opening of Wall Street. The group of health care services announced yesterday it has won a contract to develop its business in Texas.

The uncertainty weighs on the Paris Stock Exchange

Caution prevails at the Paris Stock Exchange on Thursday. After starting this crucial day for Europe in the green, the CAC 40 lost 0.88% to 3721.38 points in mid-day. The London Stock Exchange was down 0.80% to 5807 points and the DAX index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange loose 0.87% to 7158 points.

As with other global exchanges, all operators will have the eye to Brussels where to begin 1:01 p.m. at the extraordinary summit of the leaders of the euro area. They have an obligation to find a solution on a new plan of aid to Greece if they want to prevent contagion from the debt crisis. Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy on Wednesday reached a common position on the new financial rescue plan and a private sector participation.The content of the agreement between the German Chancellor and French President was not specified but to do so, it took seven hours of talks "very tight" in Berlin, according to members of the French delegation. The two leaders called on mid-term president of the European Central Bank, Jean-Claude Trichet, to join them in Frankfurt, suggesting that the compromise has its support. José Manuel Barroso, President of the European Commission launched Wednesday a warning more serious than usual to the leaders of the euro area.

But doubt was again set on Thursday after the statements of leading finance ministers of the euro area, Jean-Claude Juncker, who did not rule out a possible default of Greece.Jean-ClaudeJuncker also considered that an agreement on a tax on European banks to help finance a new aid program in Athens would be difficult. "I do not think there will be an agreement," he said.

Obama confident

On the foreign exchange market, the euro declined sharply against the dollar. Around 11:30 in Paris, the single European currency was worth 1.4147 dollars against 1.4212 dollars late Wednesday. Oil prices were up, however, supported by market expectations of seeing the debt crises lead to solutions.A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in August took 28 cents to 98.68 dollars and that of Brent North Sea crude for September delivery took nine cents to 118.24 dollars.

United States, President Barack Obama received Wednesday several leaders of Congress and the White House has once again expressed confidence in a political solution to the crisis of debt before August 2, to avoid a default. "I expect us to find a solution," the president said in an interview with local TV KMBC Kansas City, renewing his call for compromises from both sides, whether its Democratic allies or his Republican opponents.

Rafale indicators

In addition to the meeting, the markets should observe the indicators that will be published on both sides of the Atlantic.In France, the composite PMI, which includes industry and services, is version 52.8 "flash" from 54.9 in June. "The financial crisis of 2008/2009 aside, the latest survey data suggest lower growth in overall activity since the third Gulf War in 2003," said Jack Kennedy, economist at Markit.

Activity in the private service also slowed against all odds in Germany in July to its lowest in two years, according to preliminary results of the survey Markit. The composite PMI stood at 52.2 in both "flash" against 57.3 in June.

United States, the day will begin with the weekly jobless claims. It will be followed index of home prices in the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), the index of manufacturing activity Philadeplhie Fed, then the index of leading indicators.

China's manufacturing activity shrank in July for the first time last year, registering its largest decline in 28 months, according to preliminary PMI HSBC published this morning. PMI Purchasing Managers calculated fell to 48.9 against 50.1 in June, the lowest level for this indicator since March 2009. This new atmosphere was sealed on the Asian markets.

Values ​​to follow

Banking

Banks eagerly awaiting the end of the EU summit. Their participation in the rescue of Greece is at the heart of the debates. Moreover, the institutions of the European Union will face fines of up to 10% of their net banking if they do not meet new international requirements for capital and liquidity, said Michel Barnier.

After opening in the green, the area was about-face in the middle of martinée. A mid-term securities of large establishments accuse all of declines. Societe Generale (-1.22% to 35.56 euros), Credit Agricole (-0.67% to 8.85 euros), Natixis (-1.10% to 3.16 euros), and BNP Paribas (-3, 01% to 47.33 euros) are among the largest declines the CAC

EADS: 0.24% to 24.90 euros

Airbus is ready to look "seriously" the increase in the production of single-aisle A320 to carry it beyond the already record a goal, but has not so far committed to this, its president said Wednesday Excecutive.

Eutelsat: 1.20% to 31.16 euros

The Strategic Investment Fund (ISF) on Monday rejected a proposed takeover of Eutelsat joint push by the Spanish Abertis, reported Thursday the newspaper Les Echos.

The benefits of Publicis climb

Plastic Omnium: 6.12% to 24.97 euros

The Group expects a net profit in 2011 "strong growth" after a rise of 26% in the first half to 91.4 million.

Publicis: -2.85% to 36.75 euros

In the first half, the Group generated revenue of 2.7 billion euros in organic growth of 7.1%, exceeding the expectations of analysts whose estimates ranged from 6.2% to 6.5%.

Remy Cointreau: 4.73% to 60.95 euros

The group reported a turnover of 198.6 million euros in the first quarter organic growth of 22.5%.

Unibail-Rodamco: 0.26% to 143.88 euros

The group said it had signed for 1.1 billion euros of asset sales in the first half and accelerated its development plans after reporting an earnings growth supported by its recurring rental income.

Ubisoft: 3.83% to 6.15 euros

The group announced that its sales better than expected first quarter gross margin should support a few days after being heavily penalized by the stock market concerns about future profitability.

Mersen: 3.43% to 40.10 euros

The group released a turnover up 17% in the second quarter, supported by sales in solar activity, which is the group to provide a statement of objectives for the entire year.

APRR: 0.11% to 46.90 euros

The group announced it had recorded a traffic decrease of 0.8% in the second quarter 2011, impacted by the decline in light vehicle traffic.

Cegid: 1.91% to 20.49 euros

The group reported a 32% decline in net profit in the first six months of the year to 4.8 million, despite a 5% increase in sales. The publisher of management software specialist said that last year, accounts for the first half was boosted by a reversal of provision for risk.

Germans advocate a nap at work

A small cultural revolution awaits German companies. In defiance of German prejudices about the South on suspicion of engaging in one guilty of "dolce vita" in numbing the Mediterranean sun, a leader of the German DGB trade union confederation considers that every German should have the right to take a nap on the workplace. "A siesta reduces the risk of heart attack and can replenish your energy," pleads Annelie Buntenbach, a member of the DGB executive committee and board of directors of the Employment Agency.

In a country facing the shock of the falling birth rate, the idea does not seem totally crazy to arrange an aging workforce. Especially a nap of half an hour would also increase efficiency at work payday advance lenders… and thus competitiveness."The midday rest time can compensate for poor performance and when the risk of accident is higher. Nap improves the efficiency, responsiveness and mood, "said Jürgen Zulley, professor of biology at the University of psychological Regensburg.

The debate arises when Angela Merkel said that Southern Europeans are less frequent at work than the Germans. A theory refuted by the OECD statistics, in which the average annual working hours of German (1390 hours) is less than that of a Greek (2119 hours).

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The CAC 40 is expected to start the session in the red

While Wall Street ended the session and declined Friday Asian stock markets see red on Monday morning, the CAC 40 should continue to decline at the opening and drop 0.3% to 3908 points according to the contracts' future. " The session will mark the beginning of earnings season in the United States, with the aluminum giant Alcoa. Investors also remain attentive to the advances of the new meeting of central bankers in the euro area held Monday in Brussels.

Van Rompuy, Barroso and Trichet, heads of three major European institutions – the Council, the Commission and the Central Bank – in fact, find themselves on Monday morning to spur the seventeen countries of the euro, still unable to s' hear about mounting a second rescue plan for Greece.Then the seventeen ministers of finance are again struggling in the afternoon of the participation of private creditors (banks, insurers and pension funds) to finance the 110 billion euros expected by Athens. In addition, concerns are doing now in Italy. Friday, the country has seen its returns soar. Rumors about a possible resignation of Finance Minister Giulio Tremonti, would have triggered the movement.

The United States are also penalized by a debt record. Barack Obama finds MPs on Monday. He said Sunday night, before a meeting with key members of Congress, he "must" that Congress reached agreement on the debt within 10 days. Otherwise, the U.S. could default on August 2. The President will also hold a press conference on Monday.

Chapter Macroeconomics always INSEE reveal the level of industrial production in May.

Global sales of Renault and record values ​​on the side, investors will follow the announcements that Renault must publish its results this morning, trading in the first half before Peugeot tomorrow. Carlos Tavares went to the site of Flins Monday. Renault has announced an increase of 1.9% of its global sales in the first half, the strength of demand abroad offsetting supply problems it encounters in Europe.The group also expressed its willingness to establish a new sales record this year by selling more than 2.6 million vehicles due to its growth internationally and despite the poor performance in Europe in the first half, he said Monday.

Moreover, the energy values ​​might react to the launch of the tender giant (about EUR 10 billion) government on the construction of an offshore wind farm with a capacity of producing 3000 megawatts. Several candidates have already expressed: the consortium Su ez GDF, Areva and Vinci, another consortium Areva and combining the Spanish giant Iberdrola, EDF EN and all, Alstom and Dong Energy. E. ON and EDP-R have also responded to the tender.

Total may write off certain tax advantages.Following the controversy triggered by the imposition of any large groups of the CAC 40, Total could give up to enjoy the tax shelter known as "worldwide profits." The CEO also announced that he would pass to the pump the recent increases in crude oil prices.

Airbus, a subsidiary of EADS, would be willing to sell out to rival Boeing. The European aircraft manufacturer could make significant price reductions to crop market share with its U.S. rival in the U.S., in connection with the tender launched by American Airlines, says the Wall Street Journal. The U.S. airline expects to order 250 aircraft.

On the other hand airlines could face a strike in early August.The union of airline pilots SNPL filed a strike notice for all French airlines from August 5 to 8, written Tribunedans his edition of Monday.

Ipsos could be thwarted in his plans to return to UK Synovate. In fact, the British investment fund would be willing to put 675 million euros for the acquisition of Synovate, the tamping pin to French Ipsos already in discussions with the company for market research, according to information from the Financial Times. The Aegis Group, which owns Synovate, however, have rejected the offer.

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Ways to get paid more than the CAC 40 companies

More companies are large and they carry less of the corporate tax. A fact known and already singled out by the board of tax and the Treasury, but on which a report of the National Assembly published on Wednesday by MP Gilles Carrez sheds new light.

Comparing the amounts paid under the corporate tax (IS) for all companies in France, the general rapporteur of the budget to the National Assembly was able to quantify the difference in tax burden between small businesses and the largest. "The real tax burden borne by small firms is 20 points higher than for large groups," says Gilles Carrez on Wednesday in Les Echos. A "drop that occurs across large groups internationalized," said the rapporteur.

The corporate tax paid by large groups of the CAC 40 is in fact much lower than that paid by SMEs. For four of them, it was even zero between 2007 and 2009, the report quoted by Les Echos. 10 billion euros in total was paid by the CAC 40 companies between 2007 and 2009 for the SI, including tax credits. Is, 86 million per group per year, representing only 0.4% on average of their turnover in France. The four companies which the state is a shareholder (France Telecom, EDF, GDF Suez and Renault) will make an exception, with a gross rate IS 40%.

Enclose tax loopholes

Gilles Carrez explains this differential taxation depending on the size of the company by the existence of tax loopholes that benefit large groups mostly internationalized.This is the deductibility of financial expenses from taxable income or the deferral limit deficits. These groups' benefit, legally, the opportunities available to them: the maximum charge in France expenses related to foreign operations, "expatriate" certain products under activities carried out in France, "said Gilles Carrez.

To avoid a stagnation of revenues SI "to a lower level than pre-crisis", the rapporteur suggests a framework for these tax loopholes enjoyed by the full CAC 40 companies. "Why not cap the financial expenses deductible, as are the Germans? It would be a kind of IS minimum. We could also return certain products, "he recommends.

According to Les Echos, the Elysium is the least prepared, as part of Budget 2012, a time limit on the deferral limit deficits.The regime of worldwide profits, which benefits mainly to Total and Vivendi could also be questioned. A debate that could beat its full part in the presidential election.

The IMF wants to avoid defaults in the U.S.

Avoid default at all costs. It's essentially the message sent Wednesday to the U.S. government by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), while Republicans and Democrats still have not found common ground to allow an increase in the ceiling of the debt of the United States .

Past the deadline of August 2, the Treasury Department, which has already reached the borrowing limit currently set at 14 300 billion, has warned that it would no longer enough to pay the bills of the state and that it would not be able to meet its loan repayments. For the IMF, the worst-case scenario could result in a lowering of the AAA rating of U.S. sovereign debt."The risk of a distant downgrade the United States and a sudden jump in interest rates on the debt of the federal government more generally could cause further turmoil in global financial markets," explains international organization in its annual report on economic conditions in the country.

"These risks may also have important global implications, given the central role of Treasuries (U.S. government bonds, Ed) in global financial markets," said Fund."Of course, the federal debt ceiling should be raised quickly to prevent a severe shock to the economy and global financial markets."

"We will reach an agreement"

Shortly after the publication of this report alarmist, President Barack Obama stepped into the breach: "The Vice President Joe Biden and I will continue negotiations with the leaders of both parties in Congress as long as necessary. We will reach an agreement that will require our government to live within its means, "he promised at a news conference, adding that the consequences of a lack of agreement would be" substantial and unpredictable " . "Nobody wants to compromise the quality of the signing of the United States. Nobody wants to see the United States into default. We must seize this moment and do it quickly, "said Bush low interest rate personal loans.

Back to the wall, the Treasury secretary, Timothy Geithner, has again urged the opposition to vote on the increase. "The U.S. is now forced to borrow about 40 cents for every dollar spent. Your proposal to let the debt cap at this level would require removing about 40% of all payments from the state. Such deep cuts would be felt by every American, and may cause the economy back into recession, "he warned.

The IMF, which is already looking beyond the vote, said that the Administration should seek "a quick consensus on a comprehensive plan for fiscal consolidation in the medium term, based on realistic macroeconomic assumptions.The main challenge for economic policy is to implement a sustainable and significant rebalancing of the budget while ensuring that the recovery remains fragile, remains on track. "

Growth 'modest' perspective

Regarding the pace of recovery in world's largest economy, the IMF has maintained its forecast of growth of 2.5% in 2011, already given June 17 as part of its global forecasts. He was counting on 3% in January and April of 2.8%. "We anticipate that growth will remain relatively small, private demand is not taking up slowly and the support of fiscal policy is removed," wrote economists from the IMF.They see "a slow decline in unemployment," a further debt relief for households "likely to weigh on private consumption in the years to come," an investment that would return "to more normal levels" and exports helped by "the recent depreciation of the dollar. "

The IMF is less optimistic than the U.S. central bank, which is between 2.7% and 2.9% economic growth yoy in the fourth quarter.

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