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The CAC 40 expected sharply lower after Fed

Concerns about the health of the U.S. economy may once again to weigh on the markets in Paris. In the wake of Wall Street the day before and Asian stock markets this morning, the CAC 40 is expected to open sharply lower at least about 2%, according to forecasts, having already fallen by 1.6% in the previous session.

Markets should sanction and the decision of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) on Wednesday. In fact, the Central Bank of the United States announced new measures to support the U.S. economy. It will sell well here in late June 2012 for $ 400 billion of treasury bills and short-term buy for the same amount with a longer maturity in an attempt to lower interest rates in the long term (an "Operation Twist").To support the mortgage market, it will also acquire real estate securities without increasing the size of its portfolio, according to the Committee.

However, markets did not appreciate his verdict on the economy, noting the "continuing weakness" of the labor market, with an unemployment rate of "high" of 9.1%, coupled with "significant risks "related" tensions in global financial markets. " "The opinion of the Fed on the economy is deteriorating a lot and it seems it can not do much with the Republicans (he) asked not to intervene," says Yutaka Miura, analyst at house brokerage Mizuho Securities, the Dow Jones Newswires.

Thus, the market had expected better, especially after worrying about the International Monetary Fund.The day before, the institution headed by Christine did not hesitate to raise the specter of a global recession and launched at policy makers in the world "a fervent call to action". At the same time the institution has significantly downgraded its growth forecasts for the global economy. This is expected to grow 4% in 2011 as in 2012, 0.5 points below its previous forecast of 4.5% last April.

Beijing sees its manufacturing activity deteriorated

To this must be added the emergence of concerns about the economic situation in China. Manufacturing activity in the country has deteriorated in September, reaching its lowest level in two months, according to preliminary PMI bank HSBC said on Thursday. PMI Purchasing Managers calculated by HSBC in September reached 49.4 against 49.9 in August, knowing that a figure below 50 means contraction."We are seeing a moderation in growth as in the past two months. Fears of a hard landing of the Chinese economy are unjustified, "said in a note Qu Hongbin, the chief economist for China at the bank.

In addition, investors are increasingly worried about the evolution of the crisis of public finances in Europe no fax cash advance. Greece announced Wednesday its intention to launch new austerity measures to convince the Troika and obtain payment of a new tranche of 8 billion euros in October that will allow it to avoid bankruptcy.

On the foreign exchange market, the dollar was up against the euro. It was worth 1.3544 dollars per euro, against $ 1.37 the day before in Asia.Oil falls as himself down under the effect of a rise in the dollar and pessimistic forecasts from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) for the world's largest economy.In early electronic trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for October delivery gave up $ 1.21 to 84.71 dollars per barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery lost $ 1.26 to 109, $ 10.

On the macroeconomic front, France, the index of labor costs in industry, construction and service sector in the second quarter will be released at noon.

In the U.S., the weekly claims for unemployment benefits will be unveiled at 14.30, and the composite indicator of economic activity for the month of August in 16 hours.

Earlier this afternoon, the markets also expect the statements of Robert Zoellick and Christine Lagarde, respectively president of the World Bank and IMF Executive Director, at the opening of the annual meetings in Washington

Values ​​to follow

• Banking

BNP Paribas, which has seen its share price unscrew more than 50% in three months, may request assistance to private investors understood the Financial Times. Analysts said that the institution may seek to raise up to EUR 2 billion from investors from Qatar and Abu Dhabi. However, an assumption that sweeps by the Director General of the bank Baudoin Prot.Investors also will keep an eye on Societe Generale and Credit Agricole.

• Saint-Gobain

The group has conducted Wednesday through placement of a bond issue in two tranches for a total of 1.75 billion euros with an average maturity close to six years and an average coupon of almost 4% in the refinancing of debt specialist construction materials. The transaction was heavily oversubscribed as the order book has reached the aggregate for the two tranches over seven billion from nearly 400 investors.

• Danone

The company launched its next bond issue of € 500 million due 2016.

• BioAlliance

The group announced Wednesday the confirmation of the clinical trial schedule Livatag against the primary liver cancer, starting with the pivotal Phase III in 2012.The company also reported a residual income of 1.02 million euros in the first half.

Michelin speeds in the low-cost China

Revolution in Clermont-Ferrand. To conquer China, Michelin, the tire specialist high-end, the gum is in the low-cost. The manufacturer yesterday signed a definitive agreement with two Chinese groups to create a joint venture that will produce and market products for passenger cars and light trucks under the brand Warrior. The principle of this agreement was announced in April. It must still be approved by the Chinese authorities.

The new company is 40% owned by the French and 60% by local partners, Double Coin and Huayi. The plant, under construction, will be located in Wuwei, about 400 kilometers west of Shanghai. The project, costing about 390 million, is intended to eventually produce 15 million tires per year, for the Chinese market.The operation was hailed by the Paris Bourse, where the title Michelin jumped 5.3%.

Double in size

The group, whose main production facilities located in markets "mature", had already started the construction of three giant plants in China, Brazil and India. In the Middle Kingdom, where it is installed since 1988, the company has four factories and employs over 6000 people.

Michelin, who wants to double in size in developing countries by 2020, up particularly in Asia, where he says the market should grow by 9 to 10% annually over the next few years. In the first half, he realized, however, still 75% of its sales in Europe and North America.

To succeed in Asia, including China, the French had no choice but to face the players in the middle and entry-level, such as the Korean Hankook, which hold 40% of the world.And that growth has come at the expense of leaders Bridgestone, Michelin and Goodyear. Between 2004 and 2009, global market shares of French are well past 19.4% to 15.5%. "It is very important to have a presence in this niche" of low-cost, recently explained Jean-Dominique Senard, the new managing partner of the group. "We can not leave the field open to our Asian competitors, more and more aggressive." Michelin will instead expand the availability of its distribution network in order to "meet all customer demands." So far, "we were not able to do so profitably," says Jean-Dominique Senard.

Prior to the signing of the agreement, Michelin Warrior Tire already manufactured at its plant in Shanghai Double Coin brand which had given him to use.The French had created a joint venture with the Chinese group in 2001 which he had bought the shares in 2010. The goal now is to dedicate the site of Shanghai to the Michelin brand, and "to increase greatly the production of the Warrior brand" with the new joint venture, said Bibendum.

Relations with Double Coin had not always been in good shape, since 2007, Michelin had accused its Chinese partner to produce in its plants counterfeits of its truck tires.

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Box: Internet may not be unlimited

Surf the Internet at home while monitoring its consumption. The 64% of French people connected to broadband Internet via a box, are not used. Yet they should consider this option. According to an information site Owni, operators in considering the effect of limiting access to the fixed Internet to deal with a network saturation.

The thinking has already begun by the operators, with the French telecoms and consumer groups. The idea of ​​a limitation of the offers is suggested in a paper dated July 21, which summarizes the ways to implement for better consumer information. Attached to this document is an example of a table summarizing the supposed best offers.It shows, by type of household equipment ADLS (zone bundled, unbundled or very high speed), the boxes in which the operator must notify the "IP flow up to the offer," "the ceiling of consumption" and the consequences of exceeding the ceiling and a limit of downloads per session.

As the mobile

Operators could then be applied to the fixed Internet connection limits already in force on smartphones, which also apply to the sector to be regularly singled out by consumer associations. On equipped mobile Internet, the connection itself is seen as limitless is slowed or blocked depending on the offers, beyond 500 megabytes (MB) or 2 gigabytes (GB).The operator then offers to large consumers to buy a new block of bytes.

The reason given for the application of these methods is also fixes the same as for mobile phones: network saturation. In the July 21 document, a paragraph that mentions the need to ensure "continuity of service for all users, not financially penalize heavy users" alludes.

French operators and want to learn from the Internet Service Providers UK and U.S. have already implemented this system. United States, Time Warner, Comcast, Verizon and AT & T offer a connection often capped at 250 GB per month, customers finding themselves obliged to monitor their connection counter to avoid unpleasant surprises.

"Unacceptable"

If operators say consumer groups adhere to their thinking, the most virulent of these, UFC Que Choisir, insane. Edouard Barreiro, in charge of digital within the association, cited by Owni said already that "this decision is unacceptable." According to him, "limit on the fixed Internet has no economic justification, he says. Fixed costs do not vary with consumption of users, or very little. Operators are seeking to extort money from both sides: first, content providers like Google and consumers. Traders feel all powerful. " Arcep, the telecoms regulator, was also described this change as "bizarre".

In turn, a spokesman for Orange, Jean-Marie Culpin, stick to his guns. "There are some packages on which we could put the thresholds," says he Owni.But he admits that this strategy is for "people who download movies all day" but is instead "an unacceptable impact if more customers." Proof is that reflection is not yet stopped.

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The CAC 40 expected sharply higher

Relief. Is the word that should prevail today on all global exchanges, after U.S. lawmakers passed this night finally put to agree on raising the debt ceiling. At 8:15, future contracts on the CAC 40 advanced sharply from 1.39% to 3724.50 points.

Last week, the inability of the United States to solve the problem of public finances had weighed on investor sentiment. In Paris the CAC 40 was indeed touched its lowest level in session year (3,630.75 points), while Wall Street finished its worst week in a year, despite the intervention of Obama Friday in an attempt to reassure debt.

After the relief 10 days ago on Greek sovereign debt, the calm would return to the Paris financial center.After weeks of negotiations, elected Democrats and Republicans have indeed finally found common ground on the amount of new ceiling, avoiding the world's largest economy is in default of payment in the coming days. According to preliminary information provided by the White House, the debt ceiling would be raised to 2.1 trillion dollars, which breathe new life in the United States on the forehead of the debt until 2013, after the presidential elections. This agreement in principle will also enable the countries to continue to borrow on the markets beyond the August 2 deadline set by the Treasury.

The reaction of rating agencies expected

On the other hand, no excessive optimism are to be expected in the financial markets today, at least until the U.S. Congress has not ratified the agreement. The first submission is expected to vote that day.Furthermore, few details have yet filtered on measures taken to reduce the deficit in the U.S., which does not exclude the possibility of deterioration in the rating of the sovereign debt of the United States.

For now, the first tranche of spending cuts of $ 1 trillion is expected. Then a bipartisan special committee of Congress will then be responsible for finding the end of November additional expenditure cuts amounting to 1.5 trillion dollars. A total of 2.5 trillion dollars in budget cuts, all over 10 years. From this point of view, the reaction of rating agencies in this agreement called the "medium term" should be widely followed by the markets.

On the currency front, the dollar has benefited only modestly from the announcement of the night, illustrating the temporary nature of such an agreement.Around 6:00, the euro slipped against the dollar at 1.4385 dollars against 1.4395 on Friday, but climbed against the yen at 111.67 yen against 110.41 Friday. For its part, the dollar set off again up significantly against the yen at 77.63 yen after briefly reached 78 yen, 76.73 yen against Friday night.

In terms of oil prices were up Monday morning in electronic trading in Asia, where the market relieved by this agreement in extremis. In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery gained 1.53 dollars to 97.23 dollars. That of Brent North Sea crude for September delivery was appreciating $ 1.25 dollar to 117.99.

Macroeconomic side, investors should look carefully at the unemployment figures for the month of JuneOverseas are also expected to 4:00 p.m. construction spending for the month of June, the ISM manufacturing index for July.

As for values ​​to follow

Last week, the many semi-annual publications were rather disappointing, adding to the nervousness of investors. The pace slows publications this week, though are expected in the next three days the details of the interim bank values ​​(Tuesday BNP Paribas, Societe Generale on Wednesday and Thursday Axa and Natixis).

Eiffage reported a slight slowdown in growth in the second quarter despite a sharp rebound from its construction activities, the division of public works who registered a decrease over the period.

Outremer Telecom.A draft tender offer simplified to the telecom operator was introduced by OMT Invest, a structure controlled by Axa Private Equity, according to a notice to the Financial Markets Authority (AMF) and released Friday.

EDF Energies Nouvelles (EDF ENR) has entered into exclusive negotiations with Capital Perceva to cede control of Supra, the fund feeds the project to file a simplified takeover bid at the end of the process.

General Health issued a sharp drop in operating profit in the first half due to exceptional items, but its revenue rose due to higher acute care stays.

Recylex published Friday sales for the second quarter increased significantly, from 32% to 125.34 million euros, supported by an increase of 48% of its business in recycling lead thanks to rising 16 % of lead prices and increased sales volumes.

Air Liquide. The gas giant reported Monday a 11% increase in net profit in the first half, to 750 million euros.It maintained its forecast a "steady increase" in net profit for the year.

Note that Gameloft will publish its interim results after market close, while Le Noble Age unveil at the same time state sales for the same period. The British bank HSBC, which is listed in Paris, finally published its results for the first six months of the year.

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Vinci will build the stadium of Olympique Lyonnais

It has taken a major step Tuesday Olympique Lyonnais (OL). In a statement, the French professional club career has indeed appointed on Tuesday the company concessions in charge of design and construction of its future new stadium, the cornerstone of future complex OL Land. And it finally Vinci return the task to emerge from the Stadium of Light ground on the site Décines Charpieu.

After the Stade de France, Nice and Bordeaux, so this is the third contract raised by the construction group and concessions as part of the grand plan to renovate the French stage, for the organization of Euro 2016 Football in France. Note that Vinci has also built and operates since January 2011, the stage of Le Mans (MMArena), which is not part of the eleven stages selected to host matches of Euro 2016.

Private partnership / private

Regarding the financing of the stadium itself, with a capacity of 58,200 seats, the two companies will work as part of a private / private. As for the OL Land project as a whole, the community (Grand Lyon, Department, State …) will support the access to the stadium for 170 million euros. According to information provided earlier this afternoon by the group led by Jean-Michel Aulas on the financing of the only sports venue, Vinci is committed to "contribute to the funding by becoming a shareholder, to a maximum participation 49% of the company owner of the project, the Land of Montout. " Duty, the group estimates that 381 million euros the amount of the contract this morning."A cost which will complement other investments driven by external partners, including hotels, leisure centers and office buildings," says management. In total, OL Groupe estimated 450 million investments to the OL Land project, that is to say the stadium and related structures.

To collect a portion of the funds, the group will also sell the name of the future stadium to a private company. The identity of the partner to be selected, and the amount of its financial participation in this contract "naming" should be announced by the end of the year cash advance now. What to expect the Stadium of Light will soon be renamed before being completed.According to Jean-Michel Aulas, the enclosure will be built on the bottom "entirely private", even if 20 million should still be made by the State, as part of the renovation plan.

Deliveries for the second quarter 2014

A four-year first whistle of Euro 2016, the stadium project goes so Lyon (finally) to the next level. The memorandum of understanding announced Tuesday paves the way for the concrete realization of the project, after years of red tape. At the end of a phase "Project" about six months and subject to the signature of the design-build contract by that date, the phase of contruction will be launched.

Already in May, the release of the situation had been operated by the choice of Lyon as host city of the European competition.The city was named first with eight, then ten stadia to host matches of Euro 2016. Then, when the future sports arena has been the subject of a statement in May of general interest (DIG), Greater Lyon has been run from 14 June to 18 July, public hearings required to amend the plan to local urban planning for the construction of the stadium. The city now hopes to receive the issuance of building permits by the end of the year, for a start of construction in early 2012. Barring unforeseen delays in construction or, as has been the site know of the great stage of Lille, the Stadium of Light should be delivered in the second quarter 2014.

In exchange, the news was applauded by investors, in a context of macroeconomic concerns hold their attention. At 15 hours, the title of the Lyon Group advanced 0.93% to 5.41 euros in a market down 0.5%.

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Germans advocate a nap at work

A small cultural revolution awaits German companies. In defiance of German prejudices about the South on suspicion of engaging in one guilty of "dolce vita" in numbing the Mediterranean sun, a leader of the German DGB trade union confederation considers that every German should have the right to take a nap on the workplace. "A siesta reduces the risk of heart attack and can replenish your energy," pleads Annelie Buntenbach, a member of the DGB executive committee and board of directors of the Employment Agency.

In a country facing the shock of the falling birth rate, the idea does not seem totally crazy to arrange an aging workforce. Especially a nap of half an hour would also increase efficiency at work payday advance lenders… and thus competitiveness."The midday rest time can compensate for poor performance and when the risk of accident is higher. Nap improves the efficiency, responsiveness and mood, "said Jürgen Zulley, professor of biology at the University of psychological Regensburg.

The debate arises when Angela Merkel said that Southern Europeans are less frequent at work than the Germans. A theory refuted by the OECD statistics, in which the average annual working hours of German (1390 hours) is less than that of a Greek (2119 hours).

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Greece offers a respite to 12 billion euros

Europe is gaining time, but did not extinguish the fire in Greece. Following a conference call Saturday, finance ministers of the euro area have given the green light to release "by July 15" 8.7 billion euros in loans that should add 3.3 billion paid out by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This decision was expected after the adoption this week by the Greek Parliament of the austerity program imposed by his European creditors. "It (the decision) strengthens the international credibility of Greece", immediately congratulated the Greek finance minister, Evangelos Venizelos.

As the new Executive Director of the IMF, Christine Lagarde, to take office Tuesday, the organization welcomed the developments."We welcome the commitment of the Eurogroup to a funding strategy that ensures that the Greek economic program is fully insured," said the spokesman for the IMF, Caroline Atkinson. No details however were given about a possible date on which the Board could meet to release the funds.

Berlin puts pressure

If these 12 billion euros to Greece should avoid going bankrupt in the short term, it is not enough to save the country permanently and fully reassure the financial markets. For this, the country has called for a second bailout International 110 billion euros. Finance ministers of the euro zone have promised yesterday decisions "in the coming weeks." For its part, the German finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, more prudent, spoke of an agreement by the fall only.Berlin looks indeed to be certain that Greece implement austerity measures quickly that the country has promised cash advances pay day loan. "After the release of the fifth installment of the countries of the euro area and the IMF, the next step must be addressed decisively: the measures passed in Athens should be implemented quickly. Privatization, for example, must be launched without delay, "responded the German Minister of Finance. Response of Athens: the austerity plan of 28.4 billion euros will be implemented before mid-September.

Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain could knock on the door

These two months of rest should also help to advance on a second rescue plan 110 billion euros. Finance ministers of the euro area have not spoken on this subject last night.They expect to clarify the private sector, banks and other creditors, imposed by Berlin to a new plan to help decide. "The details and extent of the involvement of private and official sources of additional funding will be determined in the coming weeks," they said.

Time is running out: Ireland and Portugal may need a new international aid. As for Spain and Italy, both countries are under pressure from rating agencies. "The failure of European political leaders to resolve the crisis quickly and decisively hits the rest of the euro area," says Ben May, economist at Capital Economics. The United States pressed more in Europe to solve its debt problems to avoid a global impact."If Greece fell deeper into recession following the new austerity measures, it could reduce the willingness of governments to implement additional fiscal measures," says Ben May.

iOS 5 and icloud: updates to the iPhone

Serious competition from Google's Android, Apple gave Monday a facelift to the iPhone. Surrounded by a cohort of leaders, CEO Steve Jobs introduced from San Francisco, California, the new version of IOS, the operating system behind the iPhone, iPad, iPod touch. This software, including a 5 iOS draft was made available to developers on Monday, will be available for the iPhone 3G, iPhone 4, iPad iPad 2, and the latest iPod touch here in the fall short term personal loans. Here's what we can learn from this presentation.

Devices iOS archive their data on Wi-Fi and 3G. Photo credits: Kimihiro HOSHINO / AFP

The temporary assignments are becoming shorter

The acting continues to support job creation. In progress since March 2009, this indicator is very sensitive to the economic climate has again registered an increase in the month of March, according to the employment center. It rose by 0.6% over one month and 14% in one year. All sectors recorded an increase in their numbers acting, except construction, affected by the reduction in tax benefits related Scellier. In 2010, the interim had already jumped over 20%, explaining to him almost every single job creation.

The job market is fragmented, however, still more: in parallel with an increase in temporary employment in total employment, the tasks assigned are becoming shorter. For three years, their average duration is in steady decline: 10.1 days in 2008, 8.9 days in 2009, 8.7 days in 2010.Missions of less than two weeks, which constituted 81.5% of contracts in 2010, are growing steadily, employment center is in a note. As for very short assignments that do not exceed the day, they accounted for a quarter of that date the temporary employment total.

Seniors join the ranks of temporary

If all sectors and all age groups are affected by these developments, the elderly are most affected. The average duration of a mission returned from 10.4 days in 2008 to 8.3 days in 2010 for over 50 years. Sign of growing insecurity of job market, older workers are also more numerous (7.6% in 2010) to swell the ranks of temporary staff, as well as managers and associate professionals (8 , 3%).

Even among workers, skilled gradually supplanting the unskilled.Youth and workers, however, continue to provide the bulk of temporary staffing. A further positive sign: as the economy recovers, temporary assignments frequently lead to a more permanent contract, CDD or CDI. According to a poll released Thursday and conducted by Prism, the union for professionals in the interim, and the Observatory of business and employment, 29% of temporary workers were hired in March 2011, against 20% in 2010.

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European banks are seeking 100 billion

And three. Europe prepares to submit its banks for a third round of stress tests. The objective is always the same: to reassure markets on the strength of the European banking system. And thus enable it to finance itself without the help of the European Central Bank.

On Friday, the European banking authority has announced details of the exercise, whose results will be announced in June, as promised, the device has been hardened by the previous album. This time for the 91 European banks subject to the "check-up cross bar higher than 5% of capital" hard ", even in stormy weather on real estate, sharp rise in rates or further increase in funding costs. Last July, investors have found the stress tests implausible.Moreover, four months after seeing their health bulletin buffered by the ECB, two Irish banks had called for help.

Last year, the stress tests had highlighted a need for equity of only 3.5 billion euros. Since then, Deutsche Bank, BBVA and other Standard Chartered has increased its capital by 10.5 billion, partly to fund acquisitions, partly to prepare for the increased requirements of Basel 3. But it is still far off. By adding the "hole" of 24 billion euros of Irish banks, the 50 billion that could cost the "cajas" in Spain, the 20 billion estimated on Italian banks, and even the 11 billion announced last week by Commerzbank the 100 billion euros of capital requirements is taken blithely.

Contain contagion

The announcements follow one another.Furthermore Commerzbank, Intesa Italian unveiled last week its intention to raise $ 5 billion one hour payday loan. These projects were well received. The markets want to believe that four years after the explosion of the subprime credit bubble in the U.S., the continent is poised to contain the contagion. Governments, in fact, began to worry about the soundness of their banking system. Permeability between banks and the U.S. has never been more evident. Last winter, the woes of the Anglo Irish Bank and other Bank of Ireland Ireland compelled to seek help from Europe and the IMF.Conversely, it is under pressure from his own bank, choked by the degradation of the Portuguese sovereign risk, that Lisbon was forced last week to accept the lifeline.

Typically, Portugal's decision could put pressure on Spain, next on the list of countries deemed sensitive. It did not happen at this point. Madrid took the lead in addressing, since January, the restructuring of its savings undermined by the housing crisis.As for Italy, the governor of the central bank has conveyed the message that he wanted much better capitalized institutions.

Then, build equity far? The gap between, on one hand, the high solvency ratios – above 10% – set by the Swiss regulator, which the UK could follow suit and the other, the Germans and French, that warn against the risk of escalation. The debate is far from complete.

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