Angela Merkel will host the new president of the French Republic "with open arms," but firmly defend its rigorous design of economic policy in Europe.
The Chancellor reiterated on Monday that it intends to oppose the limits to the will of Francois Hollande to enrich the fiscal pact of measures to support growth. "The Growth Pact is not negotiable. [...] It is not possible to renegotiate everything after each election ", otherwise" Europe no longer works, "said Merkel at a news conference. "Greece could also ask to renegotiate" the austerity plan that it implements in exchange for international aid, for example, she warned. The spokesman for Angela Merkel, Steffen Seibert, also reiterated on Monday that 25 out of 27 countries had adopted the pact in the snatch a few months ago, and it was therefore "impossible" to renegotiate. Greece, Portugal and Slovenia have already ratified.
Angela Merkel, provided, opened the door to the adoption of a new Growth Pact for the euro area, which would add to fiscal pact. But it has clearly defined the limits between what is acceptable and what is not. "Germany is not a growth deficit, but growth through structural reforms", said Steffen Seibert on Monday. In line with about Mario Draghi, the chairman of the European Central Bank (ECB), German Chancellor intends to primarily boost growth in Europe through increased competitiveness, notably by reforming the labor market.
"Working well and intensively"
For his part, Francois Hollande called for a resumption of growth through capital investment in infrastructure, new energy and industry bad credit pay day loans. The Socialist would draw upon the European Investment Bank (EIB), he wants to strengthen, and remount the EU tax on financial transactions. The contrast with Chancellor Angela Merkel would be so much more frontal Francois Hollande wanted to introduce shared Eurobonds, or reform the statutes of the ECB. The two countries should compare their respective growth strategies in the coming weeks. Chancellor, who invited the new president on Sunday in Berlin, said she was ready to "work hard and intensively" with him. According to Pierre Moscovici, former campaign manager Francois Hollande, one visit may be scheduled "shortly after May 15."
The subject should also be an informal meeting announced by the President of the European Union, Herman van Rompuy, to the end. This meeting will aim to prepare the EU summit on June 28 and 29 devoted to growth and employment. Paragon of austerity in Europe, Germany is on this point more and more isolated. Several countries have called in recent weeks to further stimulate growth in Europe, without their strategies converge systematically. In addition to Greece, whose austerity policy has been sanctioned by the urns, Italy, Belgium and Ireland, in particular, were pleased on Monday to see growth back at the heart of the European agenda.
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The sports market takes shape. According to a PwC study, the activity related to events and sports clubs is 3.5 billion euros in France and the sector is estimated to grow 3.7% per year by 2015 (*).
Manufacturers, distributors, sports structures show increasing needs, including commercial. BTS MUC (management of business units) and DUT have flourished in this area and the area is muscle. The CESNI ESC Chambery launched its bachelor three years ago.
New programs
The NCPC will open his next term. In thirty years, this specialist trade training sport has developed some forty chains to bac + 2. "Our management bachelor of commerce sports meets an urgent demand from business managers in skilled, high scalability," says Gerard Pouet, general manager of CNPC.
To match the market requirements, schools can not do enough. At the School of Business Sports Management Amos, the third year of the bachelor is necessarily alternating and MBS (Master of business in sport) a six-month business. Sports Management School (SMS) has its first class bachelor's and MBA this year. "Our goal is to train our students in areas ranging from major retail clubs. The third and fifth years will pass half in business, "says Michael Tapiro, executive director of the school (EDC group). Best of all, every young person has a sponsor – elite athletes, club manager, a business manager in the sport … – which opens on the sector.
Distributors and manufacturers think global and act local. Last year, about 62 Decathlon stores open, 51 have been in Europe and beyond (China, Russia, India …). The courses are so heavily loaded with language, include seminars abroad, promote exchanges. The MSc in Sports and Outdoor Industry Management starting in September at EM Lyon will take place on its campuses in Shanghai and Europe.
The market will he integrate all the newcomers? "Supermarkets and manufacturers are fond of our bachelors and alternating with more than 75% are within six months of the school year," says Patrick Touati, director and founder of Amos. The bachelor's CNPC starts in Pau with 30 students.
The higher the educational level increases, the opportunities are reduced. The Idrac will open in September 5th year of a major "sports entertainment spectacle" and remains modest. Of the 25 students met in most, from 10 to 15 actually find an outlet in the world of sports, "other work in other areas but they will capitalize on the sporting image and the diploma," says the director of international program high school, Maxence Fontanel.
(*) Study on the PwC global market opportunities in sport, in December 2011.
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Champs-Elysees, Fifth Avenue … This is the new playground for Kusmi, the French retailer of tea bobo to conquer the urban working women and 30-50 years. Bought in 2005 by Sylvain Orebi, former dealer in cocoa and coffee, this old brand founded in the nineteenth century Russian wants to move up a gear. "We want to be the first premium tea brand in the world, and we give ourselves the means, the goal being to exceed 100 million by 2015", against 17 million in 2011, said Sylvain Orebi.
Kusmi, which covers over 25 million euros this year, intends to dethrone Mariage Freres, which has emerged as the champion French high-end tea. His credo: to succeed in the tea brands that Illy or Lavazza coffee in the. "There is no comparable success in the tea sector, said Sylvain Orebi, which imposed its colored metal boxes and does his decaffeinated tea Detox a bestseller. We very much rejuvenated the image of tea, with an affordable brand and shops where they can enter easily. "Positioning different from Mariage Freres with its servers in white gloves.
Kusmi now accelerating the creation of its network, focusing on the development of its own boutiques, alongside corners in department stores (BHV, Galeries Lafayette …) and selling fine foods and Monoprix. It has thus, according to our information, to rob the beard of his main competitor's future location on the Champs Elysees to open in July. Located at No. 71, between Nike and Ladurée, it will bring international visibility.
Drinking tea
Her store of 250 m2 will include a tasting area called "tea bar" with pies, cakes and cookies made on site. "This will be the flagship for Kusmi foreshadowing what could be our shops in the future," said Sylvain Orebi. A concept that will also declined in the new shop on Avenue de l'Opera, which will open this summer.
His ambitions do not stop at uptown Paris. Kusmi also landed in malls, Saint-Lazare in Confluence (opening today) through Beaugrenelle, inaugurated next year. After Bordeaux, Toulouse and Strasbourg, it also provides a twenty openings in the province by 2013. Finally, he put on the outside the home to establish its reputation. It has just been chosen by the Barrière group to appear in the map of his breakfast. The international not currently represents only 30% of its turnover. But Kusmi goes fast. It could open this year in London and Milan. After New York, where he will open a second store this summer at the Plaza, it targets California.
The crisis has not dried up its funding sources. Sylvain Orebi, whose company has been profitable since two years, has raised € 7 million over three years via Audacia, the investment fund chaired by Charles Beigbeder, who owns 31% of Kusmi. After taking a 50% Laura Todd cookies via Orientis, the holding company co-owned with his brother, he wants to continue investing. He is looking for acquisitions in the fields of sweet delicacies, ice cream or cakes.
Fitch Ratings lowered the rating two notches from Spain, which now stands at "AA-". Spain held so far a "AA +", the fourth highest on a scale of twenty. More worryingly, the note is accompanied by a 'Negative' outlook, which means that the agency could lower it back to medium term.
Spanish growth at half mast
Moody's in turn should decide by the end of October on a possible downgrade Spanish now "Aa2" (the third best possible)."With significant funding needs" of the Spanish State, to cover its budget expenditures and net external debt is "one of the highest in the world" (91% of GDP), said Fitch, "the more volatile strong a negative effect on financing conditions in the market of Spain. "
But there are also internal factors in the country "risks to fiscal consolidation as a result of performance parts." The same agency Fitch has lowered Wednesday including the long-term rating of the Basque Country, one of the richest region in which it criticizes the "weak fiscal performance." Growth forecasts have been revised downwards. Wednesday, the Bank of Spain announced that the country's growth expected to slow in the third quarter, to reach an economic activity 'lackluster'.The Spanish government has also recognized that the economic growth targets it had set for 2011 and subsequent years would be "hard to reach" because of the risk of recession in the world.
Italian governance into question
Fitch also lowered the rating one notch to Italy, "A +" against "AA-" and does not see her again in the fall if the country would miss its targets for reducing the budget deficit. Fitch was the last of three major international rating agencies have not downgraded from Italy since the beginning of the debt crisis in the eurozone no fax cash advances. She explained that the high level of public debt and budgetary financing needs, combined with the low level of potential growth (the country), made in Italy especially vulnerable.The Agency is challenging the country's governance and stressed that the differences in the Parliament and the escapades of the prime minister Silvio Berlusconi, help to weaken the ruling coalition.
Belgium heckled by Dexia
Belgium is also in sight. The agenceMoody's said it was considering lowering its rating, currently at "Aa1", the second best possible. The agency cited three reasons: the crisis in the euro area, concerns for economic growth and the possibility of additional support to the banking system, particularly in establishing Franco-Belgian Dexia.
Another European country in turmoil, Portugal, has been confirmed its rating of "BBB-" (the last before falling into the category of "speculative") by Fitch, which continued on negative watch at least until the end of the year.Standard & Poor's, confirmed Tuesday the rating "BBB-" from Portugal, while maintaining it as a negative outlook. Portugal, the third country in the eurozone after Greece and Ireland to receive international financial assistance, is facing new economic challenges that undermine his efforts to clean up its public accounts. Progress in implementing the program of the European Union and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and its budget for 2012 will be crucial.
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After an unprecedented drop in September (-30 points), who dropped to its lowest historical, the composite index of moral frameworks in October recorded a very slight improvement (4 points, -51) . This is reflected in the latest wave of eco-Baro Viavoice for HEC, Le Figaro and France Inter. "After a very bad score in September, but rather the beginnings of a correction than a real improvement in the bottom," said François Miquet-Marty, president of Viavoice.
At the macroeconomic level, white-collar workers remain pessimistic.Seven in ten think that the standard of living in France "degrade" in a year and almost eight out of ten (77%) and unemployment "increase" in the coming months.
Vicious circle
These concerns are largely fueled by doubts about "the ability of France to reduce its deficits" (47%) and the anticipation of the impact "of austerity on growth" (39%). "The magnitude of the deficits may impose stronger discipline, which could restrain growth and thereby compromising deficit reduction," the president of Viavoice analysis. For managers, this vicious circle, deficits, rigor, decay, now appears more menacing that "commodity prices" (28%), "the future of the euro" (22%) or "the changes in stock prices "(16%).
Amid this gloomy picture, however, some glimmers of hope.If the problems banks are now in the news, the difficulty for companies to find financing worries only 18% of managers. Then they are less likely to feel that their financial situation "will deteriorate" (44%, down 4 points) and almost as many think that it "will remain stationary" (43%, six points). Their employees are more motivated (36%, +4 points).
As for opportunities for a career, if they are deemed "weak" by an overwhelming majority of executives (79%), the percentage of those who disagree (17%) improved by 4 points. Finally, the question "do you think Greece should leave it to devalue the euro?", A framework of two answers "no" and nearly one in three "yes."
The respite will not last long: after a week of relative calm, the European banking sector has again stumbled in the stock market Monday. Britain's RBS, French Societe Generale, Deutsche Bank or German for example, have dropped out of respectively 12.32%, 8.64% and 7.53%. Even the champion of Frankfurt stock exchange now weighs less than half its book value! This increased tension is supplied from Friday with a new bundle of anxiety on the macroeconomic front. Investors fear that gives that summer debt crisis in Europe and the United States against a backdrop of slowing growth, worsening. The European foot-dragging on the Greek case illustrates the difficulty of political reassurance. Terms of private sector contribution in the second rescue of Greece, to be completed at the root end of August and early September, and still raises many questions.The debates are multiplying on the accounting treatment of such assistance, and the right level required for impairment of securities Greek, while the economy sinks further into crisis.
200 billion euros in recapitalization
Asked about the idea of requiring banks assessment of sovereign debt in the market, the CEO of Deutsche Bank, Josef Ackermann, said Monday that "it was forcing an open door to say that many banks Europe would not survive. " Especially since the doubts about the ability of Italy to keep its austerity plan and that of France to absorb a succession of shocks without further tighten the screws are becoming more vivid.The CDS on the two countries, these insurance policies that protect a non-payment, Monday reached a record high.
Under these conditions, the crusade of the new Executive Director of the IMF, Christine Lagarde, against the underfunding of the European banking sector is gaining credibility. According to the Financial Times, its equipment valued at 200 billion euros on equity gap for the entire industry. The chairman of BNP Paribas, Michel Pebereau, said Monday: "The stress tests in Europe (…) suggest that it is not so obvious that today the European banking system as a whole may need to be recapitalized.Some banks, no doubt. "Boss BPCE, and past president of the French Banking Federation (FBF), François Perol, said he did not think" that (statement of Christine Lagarde) was referring to French banks. "
On the other side of the Atlantic, the signals are no more reassuring. The disappointing U.S. employment published Friday that result in maintaining a high unemployment rate to 9.1%, have cast a chill on the market. The same day, Washington expressed its willingness to prosecute seventeen banks for selling its agencies refinancing, without the correct information, asset-backed mortgages, subprime. The legal battle casts a new threat to the sector.
It's the only bright spot in the dark landscape cyclical French: the labor market continued to regain strength. In the second quarter, 68,300 jobs were created in the nonprofit sector. This is 10,000 more than in the first quarter.
The tertiary sector contributes almost exclusively to these creations (57,200 jobs), the industry confirms his recovery: 6600 jobs were created in this sector, according to Insee. This is his second consecutive quarter of growth. "This sector lost jobs every quarter since 2001," says INSEE.
Only government minister to be able to celebrate yesterday, Xavier Bertrand (Labour, Employment, Health) welcomed that "210,600 jobs a year (have) been created." He sees "a positive signal about the vitality of the real economy." This movement is all the more surprising that growth has been sluggish in recent months.
"You have to look at the figure of 0% over the period issued yesterday: considering the annual growth and relating to the last four quarters, we see that the quarterly growth rate is invariably French 0.4%, says Frédéric Gonand, associate professor of economics at Paris Dauphine. This shows that even with 1.6% annual rate, which corresponds to its potential growth, France is creating jobs. "
According to Dares, the index of the basic monthly wage (SMB) increased by 0.6% in the second quarter, representing an increase of 2.1% over one year. This significant increase of basic wages does not mean a sharp increase in the purchasing power of households. In the second quarter, prices rose 0.5% year on year and they operate around 2%.The purchasing power has improved very little, which explains the weakness of consumption in recent months.
Disinflation energy
But-and this is another rare good news in the farm figures released yesterday, according to Insee, the consumer prices fell by 0.4% in July. A decline mainly due balances but also by the expansion of energy prices. Under these conditions, if the job market continues to grow at the same pace as earlier this year, the disposable income of households could improve a little.
"Disinflation energy currently underway should provide some support the purchasing power of households," say economists at Natixis.The main pillar of the French economy will be a little stronger in the second half, provided that the fiscal savings provided by the government do not result in a tax grab too much, the experts continue to Natixis.
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European stock exchanges succeed they continue their rebound started the day before? Investors should prove once again nervous at the end of a week marked by extreme market volatility, which saw the CAC 40 push the psychological threshold of 3000 points during trading Thursday before returning to the colors.
Friday morning, the Paris index is expected a slight increase of 0.4%. Thursday, ACC closed up 2.59% to 3089.66 points, after falling in mid-session. The day before, the Paris index plunged more than 5%. The same volatility dominates in Frankfurt the Dax closed up 3.28% and in London where the FTSE-100 index gained 3.11%.
Investors were reassured by the announcement of a meeting between Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel on August 16 to issue joint proposals on the governance of the euro area.In addition, U.S. markets were supported by two good indicators of the jobless and real estate. Wall Street has ended sharply higher: the Dow Jones has gained 4% and the Nasdaq 4.69%.
Another announcement that should bring some calm markets: such as Belgium, Spain and Italy, France announced Thursday the ban on short selling in the securities of eleven banks and insurance companies to counter the extreme volatility of the stock market values. Among the relevant securities, BNP Paribas, which issued a statement Thursday night to reaffirm the strength of its capital, Societe Generale and Credit Agricole online payday loans.
No growth in the second quarter
On the macroeconomic front, INSEE reported this morning from zero growth in the second quarter in France (0.0%), against an increase of 0.9% in the first quarter.Inflation also slowed: the consumer prices fell by 0.4% in July, resulting in an increase of 1.9% over the year (against 2.1% from June 2010 to June 2011 ).
Oil is, meanwhile, resumed its decline in trade in Asia, having recovered Thursday in the United States. In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" lost 47 cents to 85.25 dollars and that of Brent North Sea fell by 57 cents to 107.45 dollars.
Other values to follow, Europacorp, the production company of Luc Besson, Thursday reaffirmed its goal of a return to balance for the current year, despite a sharp decline in sales the first quarter.
Derichebourg Thursday confirmed its target of improving its annual net income, after recording a sharp increase in sales over the first nine months of the year.
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New slump in the Paris Bourse. At the close on Wednesday, the CAC 40 index showed a loss of 5.45% to 3002.99 points and manages to maintain a narrow margin the psychological threshold of 3000 points. In a volume of trade of 6 billion euros, the volatility was again very strong.
Like him, other European indices loosen: the FTSE-100 index in London lost 3.05% to 5007.16 points at closing. The Dax in Frankfurt tumbles 5.13% to 5613.42 points after falling 6% during the session. The index featured the Milan Stock Exchange, the FTSE Eb, closed Wednesday on a drop of 6.65% at 14,676 points, its lowest level since April 2009. The Madrid Stock Exchange closed on a fall of 5.49%.
The banking sector collapses
All markets are penalized by the banking sector, while Greece is planning to expand its exchange program to include obligations of the securities in the longer term, which penalizes first private creditors. In Paris, Societe Generale gives 14.47 (after a 20.83% drop in session) to 22.18 euros, Crédit Agricole 11.81% to 6.07 euros, BNP Paribas 9.47% to 35.61 euros and Natixis 9.11% to 2.68 euros.
Banks have suffered rumors of degradation of the note of France, while Moody's, Fitch and Standard & Poors reiterated that the AAA rating of the Hexagon was accompanied by a stable outlook online cash advance. Even Bercy denies "formally" the rumors of degradation.But the surprise meeting convened by Nicolas Sarkozy interrupted his holiday to deal with several ministers the theme of economic and financial crisis has rekindled investor concerns.
Also in Europe, the divisions between countries are delaying the implementation of the rescue plan agreed in June In addition, fears of renewed extension of the debt crisis in Italy explains the new fall. The market is concerned about the ability of Italian banks to refinance.
Industrial production declined in France
As on Wall Street, markets been unable to continue the strong rebound in the day that followed the speech by U.S. Federal Reserve.The latter, however, assured that it would extend its monetary policy ultra-accommodating while maintaining zero interest rates until at least mid-2013 and exploring other measures to support the U.S. economy, which will probably end detailed August, at the final communiqué of the U.S. central bank. But the Fed confirmed that the U.S. economy is in trouble, especially since the deterioration in the debt rating of American long-term.
For the economist Nicolas Bouzou, the previous day had already not reassuring:
The player is used by default in the articles of figaro.fr. Maj7
Investors are serious threats to U.S. debt. After Moody's, Standard & Poor's is who placed the AAA rating of U.S. debt on negative watch, a move that paves the way for a potential degradation of this note in three months. The debates in Congress about raising the ceiling of the debt of the United States because struggling to move forward. If an agreement is not reached on this issue, the United States would be in default on 2 August. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke, multiply the exhortations to heed the warning of the rating agencies and to establish "a credible policy of fiscal stabilization and deficit reduction" . U.S. President assured that "the time for decisions has come."Barack Obama held this afternoon a press conference.
These concerns, coupled with the persistent confusion in Europe after the breakdown of the note of the Greek debt, pushing investors to turn to gold. The yellow metal hit a new all-time high last night at 1583 dollars an ounce.
Crude prices evolve without trend: a decline of 0.22% observed on futures contracts for Brent North Sea, but the future of the light sweet crude advance of 0.08%.
The Nikkei keep your head above water
Despite this background of mistrust, the Nikkei in Tokyo managed to stay close to balance just before the closing, (0.03%) to 9939.36 points.
In China, foreign direct investment in the first half display, up 18.4% year on year to 60.89 billion dollars.But the Shanghai Stock Exchange, investors hold above the overall context of market and the strengthening of restrictions on the purchase of apartments in several Chinese cities. Therefore, the CSI gives 0.11% to 3112.44 points.
And Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index was down 0.26% at 21,883 points, to 7.30.
The Chinese joint venture with Auchan, Art Sun Retail, which raised $ 1.14 billion as part of his introduction to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, has postponed the start of its listing, expected this Friday, July 27. The postponement is due to an error in the presentation material from the introduction on its earnings per share. New documents will be issued Monday.
In Bombay, the Indian Sensex was down 0.18% to 18,585, 40 points.
The Australian market, unconvinced by the acquisition of BHP Billiton
In Australia, the ASX 200 was down 0.48% to 4469.10 points.The Australian market was led by the announcement of an acquisition by mining giant BHP Billiton. Putting his hand on the American Petrohawk Energy for 12.1 billion dollars (8.6 billion euros), it opens the doors of U.S. shale gas. Following the announcement last night, the action of BHP Billiton has sold 1.7% to the Australian Stock Exchange, to 42.84 Australian dollars (45.83 U.S. dollars) after reaching a low in two weeks early session.
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