President Barack Obama on Monday presented to Congress his budget proposal for 2012, which aims to reduce the federal deficit of 1.100 billion dollars (about 800 billion euros) over 10 years, but the Republicans deem the decline spending too limited.
The White House expects a budget of 3.729 billion dollars with a deficit of 1.645 billion for fiscal 2011, began in early October and 1.101 billion for fiscal 2012. This trend would reduce the deficit to 3.2% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2015, against 10.9% this year.
"The fiscal realities we face require tough choices," said Barack Obama elected to the Congress. "Ten years of deficits, compounded by the effects of the recession and the measures we have taken to get out, (…) we have placed on a trajectory untenable.That is why my budget charts a course that will repay our debts. "
Two thirds of the savings provided by the budget come from reduced spending and lower predictability of debt service as the deficit will be eliminated.
Deletion of twelve tax loopholes
The rest came from increased revenues, including the expiration of the tax compromise negotiated in December with the Republicans, who control the House of Representatives. This text extends for two years, tax relief inherited the presidency of George W. Bush and also extends benefits for long-term unemployed.
Federal finances should also benefit from increased revenues due to economic recovery, as well as the elimination of 12 tax loopholes for companies specializing in oil, gas and coal, which is the aim of providing 46 billion dollars over 10 years.
"Both parties are seeking to reduce deficits, this indicates at least they share the view that one can be elected without being harsh on the budget," said David Ader, an analyst with CRT Capital Group.
The draft budget must allow Barack Obama to keep his commitment to its partners in the G20 to halve the deficit by the end of his term in January 2013, compared to taking office in 2009.To contribute to this reduction, Bush plans to freeze discretionary spending unsafe for five years, a savings of $ 400 billion over 10 years business cards design.
This measure involves reducing spending by more than 200 federal programs and will save 33 billion dollars over fiscal 2012. Defense spending will be reduced by 78 billion over five years, as previously announced, and those health 62 billion over 10 years.
The project anticipates a deficit of around 3% of GDP from 2015 and beyond, slowing growth in U.S. debt, even if it should rise to 77% of GDP in 2021 against 72% in 2011.
The budget will be adopted only after a long debate ahead among Democrats, the Senate majority, and Republicans, who control the House of Representatives."The president's remarks suggest that he understood that spending out of control, but his words are followed by any action," the group's leader accused the Senate Republicans, Mitch McConnell. "Americans do not want a spending freeze to an unsustainable level. They want cuts, drastic cuts, and I hope the President will work with us to achieve this quickly. "
The White House is more conservative than IMF
The White House also said to have revised down its forecast for U.S. GDP growth for 2011, but maintained its forecast of accelerating activity for 2012. Under the new draft budget law, the U.S. GDP would grow by 2.7% in 2011 and 3.6% in 2012.The previous forecast of state gave a GDP up 3.2% in 2011 and 3.6% in 2012.
The government is more cautious than the central bank (Fed) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for 2011. The Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke said that growth should be between 3.0 and 4.0% in 2011. The IMF expects him over 3.0% this year.
The government is however much more optimistic than the IMF for 2012, since the Fund said in January that U.S. growth should slow in 2012 according to him, to 2.7%.
The government says the unemployment rate, down, should nonetheless remain very high at 9.3% on average in 2011, then declined to 8.6% in 2012.
(With agencies)