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The Paris Bourse is expected to remain cautious

Time is to digest the Paris Bourse. On Monday, the markets will deliver their verdict on the stress tests conducted on 91 European banks and published Friday after the stock market. Only seven institutions have failed, which means a respectable success rate of 92%. However, 17 banks post notes just averages. What a cool little enthusiasm. On Friday, Wall Street has shown optimistic about the outcome as evidenced by the fence in the green. But on Monday, Asian markets were more hesitant.

The response to stress tests should be the only source of entertainment markets on Monday. Indeed, any macroeconomic indicator is expected in Europe. In the U.S., the Commerce Department will release sales figures for new housing in the afternoon. As for American publications, not big ads not expected for this first day of the week.

As for currencies, the euro climbed slightly against the dollar in early morning trade: 0.05% to 1.2924 dollar.

Featured Banks

Who says interpretation of stress tests, said reaction of the banking sector. This morning at the Paris Bourse, the French banks BNP Paribas, Societe Generale, Credit Agricole, Dexia, or BPCE, parent company of Natixis, have all the attention of observers. For the Minister of Economy Christine Lagarde, have no fear: French banks have succeeded in "this difficult test with flying colors, with honors.

Sanofi-Aventis lowered its earnings forecast for 2010

Sanofi Aventis said Friday that the first generic version of the anticoagulant Lovenox was approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) pay day advance.The supply of the generic, marketed by Sandoz in association with the American company Momenta began in the wake of the approval by the FDA. The news had tumbled 4.25% securities at the close Friday because the Lovenox was the second top-selling drug from Sanofi last year. In a statement, Sanofi-Aventis recalls his "reservations" about the approval by the FDA in regard to "patient safety".

The pharmaceutical group revises accordingly its earnings forecast downward, with "an evolution of the EPS of activities for 2010 of between 0% and -4% compared to 2009 at constant exchange rates. A turnaround from last April when Sanofi evoked a growth in earnings per share from between 2% and 5%.In addition, Sanofi would have views of the U.S. biotech Genzyme after the Wall Street Journal.

Fimalac was released Friday after market up its turnover by 6.9% to 443.2 million euros in the first nine months of its 2009-2010 fiscal year ending September 30.

April Faiveley Group and publish their turnover in the first half after the stock market. Icade and Klépierre unveil at the same time their interim results.

New fuss about ferries to Corsica

New onset of fever to SNCM. During one week, a dozen sailors were delayed for one hour each day the ship departs The Corsican liaising Nice L'Île Rousse. They demanded an adjustment of their pay with that of other marine company. They succeeded, and The Corsican found Thursday its normal pace.

This social movement falls at the worst time, tourist season and while the company controlled by Veolia has also lost market share in the first half. Its traffic decreased 7.1%, one of Corsica Ferries increased by 17.5%. Moby Lines, the latest newcomer, received nearly 33 000 passengers in three months.

"Our main concern is with Moby Lines are denied benefits that help the passenger, and Corsica Ferries.With the current system, they can only gain additional market share, "worries Alpozzo Frederick, Secretary General of the CGT SNCM seafarers. For the union, the welfare system to the passenger distributed by the local authority Corsican airlines operating out of Nice and Toulon is "antagonistic" to that of the public service delegation (PSD), benefiting SNCM and CMN from Marseilles. "This is not a compensation of public service but a premium for social dumping," Frederick Alpozzo ton.

Risk of losses in 2010

A report commissioned by the government pointed the problem. The ball is in the camp community Corsican. A special session is scheduled in September to review all aid to maritime transport. "SNCM is in a delicate position.She could ask to not go after the convention of CSP, which expires at the end of 2013, we recognize the Corsican Transportation Agency (CTA). Out of the red in 2008, SNCM has gained nearly 18 million euros in 2009 thanks to a gain on disposal of a vessel (26 million). The CTA believes that the company's losses could reach 20 million this year. To make matters worse, if a new DSP is launched, the agreement could exclude ferries operating at peak periods. She would come into force in 2012. Suddenly, the reduction plan envisaged by the SNCM fleet in February, dropped after the strikes of the CGT, may become relevant.

"We need things to change and we stop losing money.Either we reorganized the DSP is still there and it will be dramatic, because it will break everything, "Frederick alarmed Alpozzo who admits fear a scenario where the SeaFrance 725 employees will be dismissed.

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European stock markets: banking stocks plunge

Societe Generale, -6.6%, Credit Agricole, -4.9%, BNP Paribas, -4.6% … French banks weigh heavily on the Paris Bourse. The CAC 40 digs on Friday its losses (-1.8% to 3663 points to 11:00).

His European counterparts also suffer, while banking stocks enroll the largest declines, everywhere.

This reflects the renewed concern about the economic health in Europe, barely a week after the European plan negotiated the titanic last weekend. Further evidence of the uncertainty room, the euro broke the 1.25 dollar, which had not happened for 14 months. Gold coast near 1,240 dollars per ounce. Unheard-of.And oil is under $ 74 a barrel.

Banks underperforming in Europe

In Italy, while the FTSE-Eb hollow losses and was down 2.7% at 20,314 points at 10:30, the many bank stocks are at the bottom of the list: in order, loose UniBanca 4.6% to 8.1 euros, Mediobanca, 4.2% to 6.2 euros, Banco Popolare, 4% to 4.25 euros, UniCredit, 3.5% to 1.9 euro, and Intesa Sanpaolo, Italy's leading bank , yields 3.8% to 2.2 euros.

In Spain, same old story. The Ibex 35 largest market capitalizations falters 3.4% to 9639 points, and the banking sector heavyweights weigh box. Banco Santander, the second largest bank in Europe, falling 5% to 8.7 euros, and Banco Popular 4.75% to 4.7 euros.BBVA fold from 3% to 9.2 euros and 3.6% of Bankinter at 4.85 euros.

The Dax in Frankfurt, he, more resilient – the index of 30 companies the biggest German stock market down 0.45% at 6223 points. But again, it is Deutsche Bank, which is at the bottom, falling 2.16% to 49.8 euros and Commerzbank sells 2.1% to 106.8 euros.

In Belgium, KBC retrograde 3.4% to 31.5 euros and Dexia 3.25% to 3.7 euros in a market down 1.75% at 2490 points for the Bel 20. And in Switzerland, UBS depreciates 3.35% to 16.1 Swiss francs, financial group CS Group lost 3.1% to 47 Swiss francs.

The bank still frontline

Fears of a state unable to grow its fiscal power the risk of lowering its rating by a rating agency. But what are the financial institutions in a country with the largest of government securities in the portfolio.

Generally, capital financial institutions required to hold an asset also depends on the "rating" (the note) of the issuer of this title. If it deteriorates, the capital required to hold a state title will be more important.

As banks are exposed to the Spanish Treasury securities, profitability and solvency is lowered … hence the fall in stock.

The EU agrees on financial aid in two parts

Click on the thumbnail to enlarge the graphic

Agreement between the EU, the IMF and Greece on an aid plan

Considered "strong" and "credible" by European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso, the program of multi-year budget cuts proposed by Greece to return to high deficits and debt decent justifies the activation of the aid plan finances by the European Union (EU) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou said on Sunday a new "sacrifices" that meet the requirements of the IMF and the EU, adding that the new austerity measures against officials and retirees of public sector salaries and save private sector.

A deficit below 3% in 2014

"We are all called to make a choice. The choice is between the collapse or a program of structural change.The government has decided to save the country ", said Sunday the Minister of Finance, George Papaconstantinou.

Save the country, European language, is to establish an austerity plan that allows the return of a budget deficit below 3% of GDP, the ceiling required by the Maastricht Treaty to cement his place in the EU.

Thus the Minister of Finance has proposed to launch an "economic agenda that includes efforts to reduce the budget deficit of 11 percentage points of GDP or 30 billion euros – more than 4.8 billion already announced for 2010 – from today and the next three years "for a return under the famous European threshold by 2014.According to estimates by the Greek government, the deficit would be 8.1% this year, 7.6% in 2011, 6.5% in 2012, 4.9% in 2013 and finally 2.6% in 2014.

From his side, public debt is expected at 133.3% of GDP this year and should continue to rise, up 149.1% in 2013, before beginning to recede in 2014, 144.3%.

Drastic measures

Among the main measures announced included a wage freeze and the removal of 13th and 14th month salary in the public service. There will, however, no change in private sector wages.

The minimum age for retirement is 60 years. Public investment will be reduced and a fund to help the banking system will be implemented.

Starting in 2010, is also provided a further increase of one to two points of the VAT (value added tax, which is already 21%, France is at 19.6%) fast cash advance loan.

A financial assistance plan to ensure the stability of the euro area

Ending speculation and ensure the stability of the euro area. These are the priorities for a Europe troubled for several weeks by the threat of bankruptcy of one of its members.

While rates have long known Greek fevers to worry about the financial world right, and that the euro has depreciated at a rate fears about the ability of Greece to declare bankruptcy, the very viability of the model European Union has been threatened. Political tensions between the heads of state of member countries have revived the debate on Europe in a failure of coordination.

The amount of funding to be given jointly by the EU and the IMF has not yet been revealed, but it will be "unprecedented in the world. The French Minister of Economy Christine Lagarde on Saturday evoked total amount of support within the range suggested by the IMF and the European Commission between "100 and 120 billion euros". She said it was "a plan over three years, the current year, 2011 and 2012." According to analysts at Natixis, the country would need 130 billion euros over three years.

In any case, Greece might blow. The country will repay its term of almost nine billion euros to be repaid on May 19 next.

Never again

Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel intend to take "initiatives in the coming days" for Europe to strengthen monitoring mechanisms within the euro area, expedite its work on the fight against speculation and improving the transparency of products derivatives and make further proposals on the regulation of rating agencies.

For these rating agencies, Banier Michel European Commissioner for Internal Market and Services, expressed support on Friday to create such an entity in Europe that would complement three existing credit rating agencies, all U.S., Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch.

"SPECIAL CASE – Greece, a challenge for Europe

Green remains at the Paris Bourse

The green still dominates the Paris Bourse. Comforted by the end of the Japanese Nikkei up on Monday, the CAC 40 continues its momentum on Friday with an opening up of 0.69% to 4078.38 points. Last week, Paris had the key index closed up almost 2%, surpassing the 4000 points to 4050 points.

Investors are reassured by the Parisian rescue plan with Greek details, as expected, were finally unveiled this weekend. The European system, operational since Sunday, includes up to 30 billion euros in loan agreements with joint assistance from the IMF. The news caused at least boosted the euro. In morning trading, the euro is worth 1.3675 dollars, up 0.12% against the greenback.

Elsewhere in Europe, same atmosphere. The London Stock Exchange opened up 0.50% to 5799.95 points.For its part, the DAX index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange opened up 0.54% to 6283.81 points.

On the face of macroeconomic indicators, no news likely to react to the markets is expected. Important data such as current accounts or French industrial production in the euro area, will in the coming days.

However, the quarterly publications begin Monday in France and the United States. Intel, Google, Bank of America, or General Electric are expected across the Atlantic this week. The monitor Alcoa France or Atos Origin cash advance.

The bank form

The reaction of the banking sector support plan in Greek has not made wait. The bank had suffered last week, suffering from the fears of too much involvement in the problems of sovereign debt in Europe.Credit Agricole, Societe Generale and BNP Paribas were down. On Monday, they found the strength with respective increases of 1.05% (13.43 euros), 1.59% (46.62 euros) and 1.57% (57.64 euros).

In an interview with the Journal du Dimanche, the chief executive of Publicis (-0.05% to 31.38 euros) said this weekend that the advertising investment is not expected to regain its 2008 levels by 2012.The latter also expressed readiness to re-evaluate its offer for the advertising of France Televisions, if the advertising was finally upheld.

France Telecom (stable at 17.56 euros) is being difficult in Egypt, where a court on Saturday confirmed its decision to block the bid from France Telecom on the minority of ECMS, the first mobile operator in terms of number subscribers.

According to sources close to the deal, EADS (+0.20% at 14.93 euros) will announce its position on a possible bid for the tender for the supply of tanker aircraft to the army of U.S. Air.

Alcoa (who finished the session at -3.23% on Friday) published the figures in its first quarter after market close in New York.

Asian stock markets euphoric

The week starts well for the Asian market. On Monday, all financial markets appear to increase sustained. At the Tokyo Stock Exchange, the Nikkei opened up 1.53% and growth is accelerated in mid-session (1.80%) before finishing on a gain of 2.09% to 10,567.25 points. This is its highest level in six weeks.

The morale of Japanese investors is supported by sound macroeconomic statistics, published Monday. Japan has indeed registered in January of a current account surplus of 899.8 billion yen (6.9 billion euros), after having suffered a record deficit de132, 7 billion yen last year, according to the Ministry of Finance . This figure is higher than the forecasts of economists who were expecting on average a surplus of 750 billion yen.

In addition, Asian markets continue to react positively to the figures of U.S. employment, less bad than expected on Friday.The United States lost 36,000 jobs in February. The consensus of analysts foresaw from 50,000 to 67,000 job cuts. The unemployment rate remained steady at 9.7%, consistent with him, anticipated savings account payday advance . The announcement Friday, coupled with an increase in consumer credit (4.96 billion dollars in January, the first increase in a year), led by Wall Street and European financial centers, close to the green.

Exchanges in the region follow suit

In the wake of Tokyo, the benchmark Hang Seng Stock Exchange of Hong Kong climbed 1.92% to 21,186.09 points. The Shanghai Stock Exchange is 0.74% at 3053.60 points.

The other exchanges in the region follow. Korea's KOSDAQ is up 0.73% to 1267.63 points. The Bombay Stock Exchange posted an increase of 0.92% to 17,150.53 points.The S & P 200 Australian climbing 0.85% to 4807.90 points.

The increased gross

As for commodities, crude prices were trending upward in Asia on Monday. The barrel of light sweet crude for April delivery gained 47 cents to 81.97 dollars, reaching the highest at 82.04 dollars before retreating.

The barrel of Brent North Sea at the same maturity, took 47 cents to 80.36 dollars.

PSA Peugeot Citro?n: losses tripled in 2009

French carmaker PSA Peugeot Citroen announced Wednesday a net loss of 1.161 billion euros in fiscal 2009, more than three times more than the 363 million euro loss a year ago. The turnover amounted to decline from 10.9% to 48.417 billion euros.

The year 2009 is characterized by an evolution "very mixed," the group said. In the second half, the recovery observed in the market, supported mainly by premiums scrapped in several countries, led by PSA Peugeot Citro?n to increase market share – 5.1% – and find a net operating profit positive 137 million euros over the last six months of the year after losing in the first half.Finally, the past year, it is negative ground, 689 million euros.

Based on this trend, and to a further increase its market share in 2010, PSA Peugeot Citroen said it planned a current operating profit in the first half of 2010.

However, this year, "Market conditions continue to be difficult," said Chief Executive Philippe Varin, who expects the withdrawal of European car market of around 9%. In the radar screens, the Automotive Performance Plan "to support sales, reduce costs and better use of production capacity," the official said.The launch of new models is also subject to high expectations.

The manufacturer's financial results for 2009 reflect the impact of the economic crisis: global sales were folded by 2.2% to 3.188 million units in a market decline of 3.1%. However, the debt has been reduced from 913 million euros, now lying under 2 billion euros to 1.993 billion euros. Shareholders' equity amounted to 12.4 billion euros at December 31, 2009, for a debt ratio of 16%.

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Foreign funds enter the capital of Areva

We do not know who or when. But Anne Lauvergeon, president of Areva, confirmed Monday the micro radio RMC that SWFs foreign capital should enter the public group. She adds that even some of these funds have been chosen: "This is a subject on which we are working actively. We have several investors who have been selected. No news on their nationality or the date of entering the capital. Anne Lauvergeon reiterated his plan to increase the capital of Areva to raise funds to the tune of 3 billion euros. This money should help fund the "12 billion" investment with "more than half in France," said Anne Lauvergeon. In exchange, the news is welcomed.The title Areva takes 1.83% to 356.75 euros.

Without giving details, the president of Areva said that the funds selected are discussing with the government: "Everyone wants to come in and they are talking with the state of both terms and price.

Opening the capital of the group up to 15% was a government decision of June 30, 2009. According to Le Figaro, investors should be concerned the Japanese Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI), the sovereign fund of Qatar and his counterpart from Kuwait.

Number 1 of uranium production

In addition, Anne Lauvergeon took the opportunity to reaffirm that Areva has become the largest producer of uranium. She said there are 70 years of proven uranium reserves for the third generation of nuclear reactors and 5,000 years of uranium reserves for the fourth generation.

The fourth generation of reactors, including the industrial launch is planned for 2040, would provide significant savings in resources and produce less waste.

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Wall Street remains cautious before the publication of results from Intel

U.S. exchanges are connected to the cautious mode. At the opening, the Dow Jones earns a "small" 0.01%, before the publication of statistics of disappointing, while the Nasdaq lost 0.18%.

The expectation results from Intel, which will be announced tonight after-hours trade, is felt. The day before, markets have been supported by financial stocks and ended the session up support. And this morning, Asian stock markets ended in green.

According to the Fed, interest rates remain permanently low. The Minutes of the FOMC have confirmed a continuing recovery in economic activity, but the country still convalescing.On Wednesday, the United States has issued a budget deficit widened in December, reaching 91.85 billion dollars.

In Europe, the ECB left its key interest rates to 1% on Thursday.

Disappointments side statistics

The number of registered unemployed in the United States was up more than expected during the week ending January 9, according to figures released Thursday by the Labor Department. In data adjusted for seasonal variations, these weekly applications for unemployment benefits rose for the second consecutive week to 444,000 against 433,000 (revised) the previous week.

Another disappointment, retail sales in the U.S. fell against all odds in December, according to official figures released Thursday in Washington, but this masks a bad performance review of their surge up the previous two months.

Sales at retailers and restaurants fell 0.3% in November (data seasonally adjusted), said the Commerce Department, while analysts were waiting up 0.5%, according to their median consensus .

And import prices in the United States remained stable in December compared to the previous month and rose 8.6% over the whole of 2009 due to high prices of energy, according to figures released Thursday by the Labor Department.

Mixed opening for banking

President Obama should present today (noon, local time) measures to facilitate the repayment of public aid for banks and given guidance on the new tax credit. Shortly after opening, JP Morgan Chase gained 1.06% to 44.73%, Bank of America 0.54% to 16.71 dollars. In contrast, Morgan Stanley sells 0.83% to $ 31 and Goldman Sachs 0.69% to 167.90 dollars. Wednesday at the close, Bank of America gained 1.6%, 1.8% JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley 0.4% Goldman Sachs 0.7%. To recall, JP Morgan Chase will release Friday.

Hershey (-3.02% to 36.61 dollars) has proposed a new offer to buy Cadbury, the Financial Times. Off-exchange, as Hershey sells nearly 3%.Cadbury breath as he seeks another buyer that Kraft Foods.

Rio Tinto (+2.54% to 233.94 dollars): the Australian mining group columbia unveiled its production of iron ore rose 49% in the last quarter of 2009, over one year.

The company Zale Jewelry (2.54% to 3.23%, having lost 8% non-Exchange) has seen three of its senior executives leave the group.

Intel (+1.71% to 20.96%) publish, after market, its annual results.

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