"Reliving the day Thursday

The agency believes that financial services' growth prospects are uncertain "because of" increasing risks "facing the economy. The agency referred in particular to "the incomplete reform of the labor market will continue to hinder economic recovery." In the view of S & P, Spain could fall into recession next year, with GDP expected down 0 guaranteed pay day loans.5%.

The fragility of the financial system is also the Achilles heel of the fourth largest economy in the eurozone.S & P is concerned and "a probable further deterioration of asset quality of the Spanish financial system."

The agency also questioned the budgetary targets of the Zapatero government. The Spanish public deficit forecast at 6.2% of GDP for 2011 could be exceeded. As for reducing the deficit to 4.4% of GDP in 2012, it will not be possible without "additional measures".

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Two days before his last conference as president of the ECB, Jean-Claude Trichet is pessimistic for the euro area. "We believe that the euro area will be very moderate in the second half," said one who will be replaced by Mario Draghi on November 1. As for inflation, he said that the rate should remain "above 2% in the coming months. Next year, it should fall below. " These are all signs that suggest that interest rates should remain unchanged Thursday.

As for the United States, the head of the central bank, Ben Bernanke is more optimistic."Recent indicators, including those of new jobless claims show that it is likely that the sluggish growth in employment continues in the coming period," he warned. Before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, the Fed chairman has urged politicians to "avoid taking fiscal measures may impede the ongoing economic recovery."

"We can not just replace the government"

Sluggish growth, employment at half-mast, high unemployment, the United States and Europe are the worst of an economic plan. And while a slowdown is being felt in China. Most economists expect further aid from the central banks against the inaction of governments, but Ben Bernanke and Jean-Claude Trichet reminded of a common voice that States to revive the global economy."The measures to promote healthy growth of the economy and employment are the shared responsibility of all politicians, in close cooperation with the private sector," he argued. And the President of the ECB concluded: "It is their responsibility to deal with the worst crisis in the postwar period. We can not substitute for governments under any circumstances. "

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Few economists have criticized the ad. Only the Swiss investor Marc Faber, known for his pessimism, has won the CNBC: "The plan announced a new failure of Keynesian stimulus package of public interventions and depraved," carried away on CNBC. "And when the time is to reduce public deficits …No, really this plan is a joke! "A lone voice: combining cuts employers' costs and expenditure target, the plan seems to be welcomed by the community of economists.

With this plan, "unemployment will be lower in 2012 than it would have been without that nothing is done," admits conservative Heidi Shierholz in the New York Times. Economists differ on the impact of quantified measures presented by Barack Obama. Optimistic, Heidi Shierolz, the Economic Policy Institute, predicts 4.3 million jobs created, including 1.6 million by the simple extension of existing measures. The Department of Economic Analysis calculates Moody's for its part that the plan should create a total of 1 Online payday loans.9 million jobs.

Growth side, Obama's plan "would allow the U.S. economy continue to grow at a minimum," said Steve Blitz, an economist at ITG, quoted by the Financial Times.Economists are almost all agree that the billions of spending will have an impact on growth. But which one? It all depends on measures that will stand the test of Congress, where Democrats and Republicans will have to find a compromise.

"If a miracle occurs …"

"If a miracle occurs and the intact plane passes this stage, U.S. growth could exceed 3% in 2012" against approximately 2% forecast by economists without a recovery plan, advance Rudy Narva, an economist at Societe Generale. But after blocking observed about the debate on the debt cap, observers remain cautious. The difficult economic situation, however, could force both sides to compromise.

"The stakes are enormous for those Americans who are unemployed for too long, and for America as a whole," says Mohamed El-Erian, head of the investment fund Pimco."Hopefully, elected officials in Washington will be up."

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"The Prophet predicted the 2008 crash of a Great Depression

Thus, for the IMF, "the most efficient would be a substantial recapitalization mandatory European banks with private funds in the first place but also of public funds if necessary." Christine Lagarde has called for research by the policies of a common vision for the future of the continent.

But the executive director of the IMF gave no indication about how to get there.Thus, Sebastian Bartholomew, credit analyst for Louis Capital Markets believes that the statements of Christine Lagarde is "a call to order IMF but do not provide concrete solutions." The specialist also wondered what private funds would be inclined to give money to banks, "who wants to bring money to the banks unless the States?" Support from private funds, wanted by the former tenant Bercy seems to be excluded.

Regulators want details

Thus, fearing that such a disadvantage about the banking sector already affected by the stroke of tobacco stock this summer, some regulators would consider asking the IMF chief to clarify his remarks, reports the Financial Times.Indeed, while Europe is mobilizing to try to reassure investors on the health of major institutions of the old continent, reports Christine Lagarde could undermine their efforts credit reports free. The stress tests were particularly aimed at reassuring the financial community. French Banking Federation (FBF) was also stressed that French banks "have passed the stress tests in July European and ACP, the national supervisor, performs regular checks to ensure the smooth operation of banks' .

As such, the FBF reiterated this morning that the French system has full confidence. The Federation reiterated, like what she wrote on August 19, that 'capital levels are well above regulatory requirements and programs for refinancing in the medium and long term are conducted under conditions quite satisfactory. "

And the banks themselves have reiterated they do not need to raise new money. In early August, to mark the publication of its results, Societe Generale has reiterated that it has strengthened its financial strength, and for BNP Paribas. August 25, Crédit Agricole has also sought to reassure. The bank, whose accounts the second quarter suffered a heavy burden to Greece, said it had to end in July of more than 120 billion of liquid reserves immediately available. Jean-Paul Chifflet, general manager of the bank, had also told the BBC: "We have no difficulty in funding us."

In exchange, banking stocks are holding up well CAC40.Credit Agricole advance of 1.1%, 1.3% BNP Paribas, Natixis and Societe Generale 1.7% against an increase of 1.3% for the CAC 40.

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"Chifflet:" We have no difficulty in funding us "

"Obama, Lagarde, Bernanke for another stimulus

Standard and Poor's, which had warned in April that it was considering lowering, justified its decision with "political risks" to see the country taking insufficient measures against its budget deficit. For her, the political debate on these issues is not up to the problems caused by a debt of more than 14,500 billion. "The plan for balancing the budget on which Congress and the Executive have recently agreed is insufficient compared to what, in our view, would be needed to stabilize the dynamics in the medium term public debt" said S & P, citing the law known as "control the budget" passed Tuesday.

S & P is the second rating agency to downgrade the American note, after the Chinese – less powerful – Dagong.Other – mostly American and French Moody's Fitch – are currently at Triple A.

The U.S. public debt to more than 100% of GDP

The first power of the world is, well, so sure before. The United States and joined Japan, Spain and Ireland have lost that status envied payday loan lenders. The loss of this seal of excellence is expected brutal impact on the financial markets, difficult to imagine right now. But while the financial world is upside down, the risk that markets continue to dive is high. The announcement of S & P comes in effect when the markets were closed for the weekend, closing on both sides of the Atlantic one week black.

China, by far the world's largest creditor United States, found that she had "every right now to require the United States to address their structural problems of debt."Second World holder of U.S. debt, Tokyo assured him that his confidence in the U.S. Treasury and its strategy of purchasing these bonds were unchanged. In France, the Minister of Economy Baroin reiterated his "total confidence in the strength of the U.S. economy."

Two days ago, the U.S. debt has passed a symbolic milestone. Because it exceeded the threshold of 100% of GDP, just after raising the debt ceiling by Congress. The United States saw their public finances sealed by the harsh recession that crossed their economy from late 2007 to mid-2009. Since then, economic growth has returned, but they are not able to restore the health of their public finances. According to estimates by the International Monetary Fund, they should acknowledge this year, with about 9% of GDP, the highest budget deficit of the G20 countries, except Japan.It is sixteen countries rated "AAA" by Standard and Poor's, four of the G7: Germany, Canada, France and Great Britain.

(With AFP and Reuters)

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And private sector rescue of Greece would not stop there. Banks will also be put to use to buy Greek bonds, Die Welt wrote, without giving details on the form that such involvement.

Inspiration German

The inspiration may have been drawn in Germany. The country will charge, this fall, a tax on the profits made by banks.The result of this tax into a fund that will support aid to financial institutions of the country considered strategic if next crisis. This tax should bring in less than a billion euros a year to the fund and should eventually have a volume of 70 billion euros. In detail, the large diversified institutions, like the first German bank Deutsche Bank, will pay more than small savings. The levy will be capped at 20% of net profit.

The question is whether this idea will be adopted at the Special Summit of the euro zone expected Thursday in Brussels. The bloc meet urgently to complete a new plan to help Athens. The International Monetary Fund will not participate in new rescue package for Greece, says Die Welt.According to the German newspaper, "many people have the IMF in ras-le-bol" and seriously doubted that Greece can carry out and the time-saving measures planned.

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"A crucial summit on the future of the euro

Van Rompuy, Barroso and Trichet, heads of three major European institutions – the Council, the Commission and the Central Bank – in fact, find themselves on Monday morning to spur the seventeen countries of the euro, still unable to s' hear about mounting a second rescue plan for Greece.Then the seventeen ministers of finance are again struggling in the afternoon of the participation of private creditors (banks, insurers and pension funds) to finance the 110 billion euros expected by Athens. In addition, concerns are doing now in Italy. Friday, the country has seen its returns soar. Rumors about a possible resignation of Finance Minister Giulio Tremonti, would have triggered the movement.

The United States are also penalized by a debt record. Barack Obama finds MPs on Monday. He said Sunday night, before a meeting with key members of Congress, he "must" that Congress reached agreement on the debt within 10 days. Otherwise, the U.S. could default on August 2. The President will also hold a press conference on Monday.

Chapter Macroeconomics always INSEE reveal the level of industrial production in May.

Global sales of Renault and record values ​​on the side, investors will follow the announcements that Renault must publish its results this morning, trading in the first half before Peugeot tomorrow. Carlos Tavares went to the site of Flins Monday. Renault has announced an increase of 1.9% of its global sales in the first half, the strength of demand abroad offsetting supply problems it encounters in Europe.The group also expressed its willingness to establish a new sales record this year by selling more than 2.6 million vehicles due to its growth internationally and despite the poor performance in Europe in the first half, he said Monday.

Moreover, the energy values ​​might react to the launch of the tender giant (about EUR 10 billion) government on the construction of an offshore wind farm with a capacity of producing 3000 megawatts. Several candidates have already expressed: the consortium Su ez GDF, Areva and Vinci, another consortium Areva and combining the Spanish giant Iberdrola, EDF EN and all, Alstom and Dong Energy. E. ON and EDP-R have also responded to the tender.

Total may write off certain tax advantages.Following the controversy triggered by the imposition of any large groups of the CAC 40, Total could give up to enjoy the tax shelter known as "worldwide profits." The CEO also announced that he would pass to the pump the recent increases in crude oil prices.

Airbus, a subsidiary of EADS, would be willing to sell out to rival Boeing. The European aircraft manufacturer could make significant price reductions to crop market share with its U.S. rival in the U.S., in connection with the tender launched by American Airlines, says the Wall Street Journal. The U.S. airline expects to order 250 aircraft.

On the other hand airlines could face a strike in early August.The union of airline pilots SNPL filed a strike notice for all French airlines from August 5 to 8, written Tribunedans his edition of Monday.

Ipsos could be thwarted in his plans to return to UK Synovate. In fact, the British investment fund would be willing to put 675 million euros for the acquisition of Synovate, the tamping pin to French Ipsos already in discussions with the company for market research, according to information from the Financial Times. The Aegis Group, which owns Synovate, however, have rejected the offer.

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"Fuel prices will rise again

The Japanese automaker Toyota (1.76%) is investing 125 million euros to produce a hybrid version of its Yaris small car at its plant in Valenciennes (Nord) in 2012, announced Didier Leroy, CEO of Toyota Motor Europe, an interview with The Tribune on Friday."Toyota will have spent 125 million euros to build its new (small) III Yaris at Valenciennes (Nord): 100 million for the heat release, 25 million extra for the hybrid variant, a world first," said Didier Leroy daily economy.

Car manufacturers take advantage of stock market rebound on Friday, including Suzuki, which is 1.90%, and Mitsubishi Motors which accounts for 1.94%.

Other major markets also appear in the green, much more clearly in Hong Kong where the Hang Seng climbed 1.07% to 22,771.50 points, while in Shanghai, the CSI from 0.41% to advance 3114.36 points. Investors thus confirm that they had integrated into courses for several weeks the new rate increase occurred Wednesday face high inflation and above the ceilings set by the Central Bank of China.Side values, we retain banking stocks: ICBC is 1.04% and Bank of Communications, 1.08%.

Oil pulls the Australian values

In Australia, the S & P / ASX gains 0.98% at 4650.60 points, driven by the values ​​associated with raw materials such as CNOOC, which is 2.09% or 1.80% Santos grants itself. Oil prices were directionless Friday in electronic trading in Asia, but Thursday, oil prices ended sharply higher in New York, driven by statistics suggesting an improvement in the labor market and a further decrease in inventories crude to the United States.

In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in August took six cents to 98.73 dollars. That of Brent North Sea crude for delivery lost 41 cents to equal 118.18 dollars.

• Retirement

The law on pension reform, enacted November 10, 2010 after a long parliamentary battle will come into effect on Friday. The legal age will gradually increase from 60 to 62, with four more months per year. The first people affected are those born after 1 July 1951.The age of the full rate – that is to say that from which an employee receives a full pension even though he has not contributed enough quarter (165 quarters forward) – is raised gradually from 65 to 67 between 2016 to 2023.

By persons possessing a degree of permanent disability of at least 20% and, after notice of a multidisciplinary committee, those possessing a degree of permanent disability between 10 and 20% are still able to go to 60 years.

• SMIC

The minimum wage was last adjusted on 1 January will not be automatically upgraded in July. The rise in prices which reached 2% since last revaluation of the minimum wage – could lead to an increase in August the minimum wage indexed to inflation.Prime Minister François Fillon has also been clarified that no additional boost would be granted.

• Unemployment benefits

Unemployment benefits will be revalued by 1.5% from 1 July, decided Thursday Unédic or at a rate lower price developments and the minimum wage increase of 1.6% occurred at the beginning of years. "The debate was very long to the Board of UNEDIC" consisting of representatives of employers and employee organizations, which manage all unemployment insurance, said the president of UNEDIC, Gaby Bonnand at a press conference.

• Transport

– SNCF: the prices of train tickets will increase by an average of 2.5%. This increase will, as every year, uneven tickets. It will range from 10 cents to 2.70 euros by destination.The price discount cards remains unchanged.

– RATP Navigo Pass packages will increase by 2.7%, except for Zone 5. Zone 6 is removed and merged with the 5, which will mechanically decrease by 11% the price paid by its users, reduced from 123 cash advance no fax.60 to 109.90 euros for a monthly fee. In detail: the monthly zone 1 and 2 increased from 60.40 euros to 62 euros (+2.6%). That of zones 1 to 3 passes to 80.30 euros (+2.7%), and that of zones 1 to 4 to 98.10 euros (+2.7%). The single ticket remains unchanged at 1.70 euro.

The bus fare increases to 1.90 euro (+5.5%), while the book of 10 tickets will increase to 12.5 euros (+4.2%).

• Energy

– Electricity: Household bill increases of 2.9%.The industries and large companies take 4.4 to 4.9% according to the rate at which they are submitted.

– Gas: gas rates for individuals do not change, but those businesses increased by 3.2%.

• E

La Poste has announced that the price of postage for mailings of letters under 20 grams would rise by two cents, from 0.58 to 0.60 cents.

• Mobile Phone

The price of mobile communications passed from another European country down. It will now cost 42 cents per minute against 47 before. Subscribers operators in metropolitan departments and overseas subscribers Dom operators in mainland France also benefit from lower rates.

• Environment

A thousand everyday products will be subject to an experimental display decided at the Grenelle Environment Forum.Packaging will be accompanied by a statement indicating their carbon footprint and their impact on biodiversity, water, etc..

• Bank

A summary of bank charges (basket of services, payment systems, operational occurrences, agios) will now be on the monthly bank statements, which also display the ceiling of the overdraft.

• Pets

The electronic chip designed to identify the pet becomes mandatory for all animals that will travel outside French territory.

(With agencies)

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