The rates of Italian government bonds soar

Announced the resignation of Silvio Berlusconi has clearly not been enough to reassure long-term markets. In Europe, stock markets, which had initially welcomed the news quickly made an about face. The distrust of the Italian public debt continues to grow, in fact. The Italian 10-year rate rose to over 7%, a new record level and a completely untenable for the country, given the weight of its debt. For its part, Brussels ruled that the Italian situation was "very worrying". At the same time, the spread between government bonds and German to French reached a new peak at 1.47%.

In Greece, things also accelerating.Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou announced his resignation but did not mention the name of his successor will not be announced until Thursday. A further meeting of party leaders was convened by the President.

On the macroeconomic front, crude oil inventories fell 1.4 million barrels to 338.1 million barrels during the week ended Nov. 4. Analysts polled by Dow Jones Newswires had forecast a rise rather 700,000 barrels.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro fell sharply against the dollar on Wednesday. The euro was worth 1.3552 dollars against 1.3836 dollars late Tuesday. Oil prices ended down more than 1% in New York tonight. On the Nymex, the December contract on West Texas Intermediate (WTI) ended on a loss of $ 1.06, or 1.1%, to 95.74 dollars a barrel. Meanwhile, Brent yielded 2.23%, or 2.56 dollars to 112.48 dollars.

At the macroeconomic level, white-collar workers remain pessimistic.Seven in ten think that the standard of living in France "degrade" in a year and almost eight out of ten (77%) and unemployment "increase" in the coming months.

Vicious circle

These concerns are largely fueled by doubts about "the ability of France to reduce its deficits" (47%) and the anticipation of the impact "of austerity on growth" (39%). "The magnitude of the deficits may impose stronger discipline, which could restrain growth and thereby compromising deficit reduction," the president of Viavoice analysis. For managers, this vicious circle, deficits, rigor, decay, now appears more menacing that "commodity prices" (28%), "the future of the euro" (22%) or "the changes in stock prices "(16%).

Amid this gloomy picture, however, some glimmers of hope.If the problems banks are now in the news, the difficulty for companies to find financing worries only 18% of managers. Then they are less likely to feel that their financial situation "will deteriorate" (44%, down 4 points) and almost as many think that it "will remain stationary" (43%, six points). Their employees are more motivated (36%, +4 points).

As for opportunities for a career, if they are deemed "weak" by an overwhelming majority of executives (79%), the percentage of those who disagree (17%) improved by 4 points. Finally, the question "do you think Greece should leave it to devalue the euro?", A framework of two answers "no" and nearly one in three "yes."

Investors focused on news from Europe. After the announcement, positively received, a new agreement between central banks to provide dollar liquidity to European banks and Japanese eyes were riveted to Poland which is a meeting of EU finance ministers.The latter have formally agreed on the principle of strengthening fiscal discipline by imposing financial penalties on countries too lax, paving the way for formal adoption of this reform.

In contrast, the euro area and again stumbles on the guarantees requested by Finland in exchange for new loans in Athens, an issue that poisons relations within the euro area.Concerning the payment of a further tranche of loans that the country urgently needs, the euro area has decided to postpone any decision until October.

Invited exceptionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has also expressed concern about the divisions between governments and the European Central Bank (ECB).

U.S. consumer confidence rises

In this context, the "four witches" today is to say the expiration of four types of futures contracts on indices and stocks, have increased volatility.

Good news, however, helped keep the exchanges in positive territory: U.S. consumer confidence rises, according to the index of consumer confidence in September, published by the University of Michigan.The index, which fell in August to its lowest level since November 2008, increased 2.1 points to 57.8, according to a still provisional estimate for September. Analysts were waiting a little lower, at 56.3.

Oil has closed lower Friday in New York, suffering from profit taking less reassured investors that the day before on the likelihood of a quick resolution of the debt crisis in Europe.A barrel of "light sweet crude" for October delivery ended down $ 1.44 on the New York Mercantile Exchange, to 87.96 dollars a barrel.

RIM collapses

On the corporate side, Research in Motion (- 18.99% to 23.93 dollars), the maker of BlackBerry smartphones, collapsed after publishing quarterly results fell sharply, well below analysts' forecasts.

The rating agency Moody's said Thursday it placed under surveillance notes of the bank UBS (+ 4.16% to 11.89 dollars) with for a potential degradation due to "weaknesses in the management of risk group. "

At the heart of the news, Google (+ 0.76% to 546.68 dollars) has purchased additional patents in 1023 the computer company IBM (1.55% to 172.72 dollars) to strengthen its portfolio and attempt to discourage trial for violation of intellectual property.Google expects the other hand that the number of Internet users in India to be tripled in three years through improved access to wireless internet and at prices more affordable smartphone, reported on Friday Wall Street Journal.

Boeing (1.49% to 65.28 dollars) could finally respond to the order by Air France-KLM of 110 long-haul aircraft, including 50 firm orders, builders Boeing and European Airbus to ensure the renewal of its fleet.

This company, founded ten years ago by the former secretary general of the CFDT, Nicole Notat, analyzed the performance of 539 European companies listed on non-discrimination in employment.She also compared how these 363 companies had managed the restructuring that had taken during the crisis.

In both cases, France takes the lead of countries that best meet the basic standards set by the International Labour Organization (ILO) concerning freedom of association, prohibition of forced labor and child employment seniors … "This does not mean that French companies have no way to go, but just that they behave better than others," Nicole Notat nuance.

Danone number one

To note the management of corporate restructuring and practice of non-discrimination, the bloodhounds of Vigeo analyzed their managerial systems based on three items: the relevance of political behavior, the consistency of their deployment and effective results.Finally, French firms are better informed and consulted, where social, employee representatives "before and during the restructuring process."

No fewer than four of them are in the top 10 most responsible companies: Danone (ranking first), PSA Peugeot Citroën, Bonduelle and Total. French companies are also those who have best implemented "effective measures to prevent and limit layoffs" and made "steps to mitigate the negative effects of layoffs on employees, including measures to return to work" . Better than their German or Dutch, who monopolize the second and third places on the podium, and Austrian firms, Irish and Greek … that close to the bench.

Issue non-discrimination (access and job retention of the most vulnerable, improving working conditions, training, career …), French companies are doing just as well with no fewer than four of them also in the top 10: PSA Peugeot Citroën again, Rhodia, EDF and TF1. By country, France is ahead of Belgium and the Netherlands, far ahead of Ireland, the UK and Denmark … that appear at the end of ranking. "We knew that the behavior of firms are influenced by national legislation and sectoral affiliations, note Benseddik Fouad, director of Vigeo methods. But this study shows that social responsibility is the leadership position and ability to dialogue that make the difference. "In short, the involvement of the entrepreneur.

Few economists have criticized the ad. Only the Swiss investor Marc Faber, known for his pessimism, has won the CNBC: "The plan announced a new failure of Keynesian stimulus package of public interventions and depraved," carried away on CNBC. "And when the time is to reduce public deficits …No, really this plan is a joke! "A lone voice: combining cuts employers' costs and expenditure target, the plan seems to be welcomed by the community of economists.

With this plan, "unemployment will be lower in 2012 than it would have been without that nothing is done," admits conservative Heidi Shierholz in the New York Times. Economists differ on the impact of quantified measures presented by Barack Obama. Optimistic, Heidi Shierolz, the Economic Policy Institute, predicts 4.3 million jobs created, including 1.6 million by the simple extension of existing measures. The Department of Economic Analysis calculates Moody's for its part that the plan should create a total of 1 Online payday loans.9 million jobs.

Growth side, Obama's plan "would allow the U.S. economy continue to grow at a minimum," said Steve Blitz, an economist at ITG, quoted by the Financial Times.Economists are almost all agree that the billions of spending will have an impact on growth. But which one? It all depends on measures that will stand the test of Congress, where Democrats and Republicans will have to find a compromise.

"If a miracle occurs …"

"If a miracle occurs and the intact plane passes this stage, U.S. growth could exceed 3% in 2012" against approximately 2% forecast by economists without a recovery plan, advance Rudy Narva, an economist at Societe Generale. But after blocking observed about the debate on the debt cap, observers remain cautious. The difficult economic situation, however, could force both sides to compromise.

"The stakes are enormous for those Americans who are unemployed for too long, and for America as a whole," says Mohamed El-Erian, head of the investment fund Pimco."Hopefully, elected officials in Washington will be up."

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The tertiary sector contributes almost exclusively to these creations (57,200 jobs), the industry confirms his recovery: 6600 jobs were created in this sector, according to Insee. This is his second consecutive quarter of growth. "This sector lost jobs every quarter since 2001," says INSEE.

Only government minister to be able to celebrate yesterday, Xavier Bertrand (Labour, Employment, Health) welcomed that "210,600 jobs a year (have) been created." He sees "a positive signal about the vitality of the real economy." This movement is all the more surprising that growth has been sluggish in recent months.

"You have to look at the figure of 0% over the period issued yesterday: considering the annual growth and relating to the last four quarters, we see that the quarterly growth rate is invariably French 0.4%, says Frédéric Gonand, associate professor of economics at Paris Dauphine. This shows that even with 1.6% annual rate, which corresponds to its potential growth, France is creating jobs. "

According to Dares, the index of the basic monthly wage (SMB) increased by 0.6% in the second quarter, representing an increase of 2.1% over one year. This significant increase of basic wages does not mean a sharp increase in the purchasing power of households. In the second quarter, prices rose 0.5% year on year and they operate around 2%.The purchasing power has improved very little, which explains the weakness of consumption in recent months.

Disinflation energy

But-and this is another rare good news in the farm figures released yesterday, according to Insee, the consumer prices fell by 0.4% in July. A decline mainly due balances but also by the expansion of energy prices. Under these conditions, if the job market continues to grow at the same pace as earlier this year, the disposable income of households could improve a little.

"Disinflation energy currently underway should provide some support the purchasing power of households," say economists at Natixis.The main pillar of the French economy will be a little stronger in the second half, provided that the fiscal savings provided by the government do not result in a tax grab too much, the experts continue to Natixis.

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Van Rompuy, Barroso and Trichet, heads of three major European institutions – the Council, the Commission and the Central Bank – in fact, find themselves on Monday morning to spur the seventeen countries of the euro, still unable to s' hear about mounting a second rescue plan for Greece.Then the seventeen ministers of finance are again struggling in the afternoon of the participation of private creditors (banks, insurers and pension funds) to finance the 110 billion euros expected by Athens. In addition, concerns are doing now in Italy. Friday, the country has seen its returns soar. Rumors about a possible resignation of Finance Minister Giulio Tremonti, would have triggered the movement.

The United States are also penalized by a debt record. Barack Obama finds MPs on Monday. He said Sunday night, before a meeting with key members of Congress, he "must" that Congress reached agreement on the debt within 10 days. Otherwise, the U.S. could default on August 2. The President will also hold a press conference on Monday.

Chapter Macroeconomics always INSEE reveal the level of industrial production in May.

Global sales of Renault and record values ​​on the side, investors will follow the announcements that Renault must publish its results this morning, trading in the first half before Peugeot tomorrow. Carlos Tavares went to the site of Flins Monday. Renault has announced an increase of 1.9% of its global sales in the first half, the strength of demand abroad offsetting supply problems it encounters in Europe.The group also expressed its willingness to establish a new sales record this year by selling more than 2.6 million vehicles due to its growth internationally and despite the poor performance in Europe in the first half, he said Monday.

Moreover, the energy values ​​might react to the launch of the tender giant (about EUR 10 billion) government on the construction of an offshore wind farm with a capacity of producing 3000 megawatts. Several candidates have already expressed: the consortium Su ez GDF, Areva and Vinci, another consortium Areva and combining the Spanish giant Iberdrola, EDF EN and all, Alstom and Dong Energy. E. ON and EDP-R have also responded to the tender.

Total may write off certain tax advantages.Following the controversy triggered by the imposition of any large groups of the CAC 40, Total could give up to enjoy the tax shelter known as "worldwide profits." The CEO also announced that he would pass to the pump the recent increases in crude oil prices.

Airbus, a subsidiary of EADS, would be willing to sell out to rival Boeing. The European aircraft manufacturer could make significant price reductions to crop market share with its U.S. rival in the U.S., in connection with the tender launched by American Airlines, says the Wall Street Journal. The U.S. airline expects to order 250 aircraft.

On the other hand airlines could face a strike in early August.The union of airline pilots SNPL filed a strike notice for all French airlines from August 5 to 8, written Tribunedans his edition of Monday.

Ipsos could be thwarted in his plans to return to UK Synovate. In fact, the British investment fund would be willing to put 675 million euros for the acquisition of Synovate, the tamping pin to French Ipsos already in discussions with the company for market research, according to information from the Financial Times. The Aegis Group, which owns Synovate, however, have rejected the offer.

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The project is called ZEHST through a partnership between EADS, ONERA, the French aerospace research lab as well as Japan. A feasibility study financed by the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) and its counterpart Japanese, was launched.It is based on the initial results of research carried out by Astrium, a subsidiary of the giant European space aeronautics, as part of its program of sub-orbital aircraft, the Space plane.

Three types of engines

The unit will have three types of engines already on the market that will be used during different phases of flight: take-off up to 5000 meters with a turbo-jet close enough to those fitted to aircraft today, but "these engines will be powered by biofuels third generation developed from growing algae so clean," said Jean Botti, chief technology officer of EADS business card design. When climbing in altitude beyond 20,000 feet at 0.8 Mach, the unit will use cryogenic engines such as the Ariane launcher, powered by hydrogen.Then for the transition to its high speed (mach 4) and a very high altitude (32,000 meters) use ZEHST called Ramjet engines (now fitted to cruise missiles). A model is on display at Le Bourget.

Meanwhile, EADS is working on another concept known as Voltaire, an all-electric machine whose engine would not be placed under the wings but in the tail. The wings would obey the principle of morphing itself adapting to the different phases of flight, said Jean Botti in substance. The device is designed to make short trips with 50 to 70 passengers.

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Layoffs

"The slowdown we saw in the first quarter continued in the second and delays in new product launches in late August lead to lower than expected forecast for the second quarter," said Jim Balsillie, co-president of RIM .He also announced a restructuring plan that will lead to a downsizing of the company to "avoid duplication." Without giving more details on its size payday loans. The group currently has approximately 12,000 employees worldwide.

The words of Jim Balsillie on the Group's financial strength has not reassured the markets. Nor does the sales duPlayBook, the tablet group, including 500,000 copies were sold in six weeks. This figure is almost too good to be true. It fits perfectly with the objectives the group, but failed to mention that it comes on the market one year after the outbreak of hostilities initiated by the iPad.Moreover, sales of PlayBook are well below those from Apple, which sold nearly 2 million iPad in two months.

Consequence of the performance against the first quarter and the bleak outlook for the future, during the informal session transaction after the market closes, the title has sold more than 15% yesterday in New York.

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Yesterday, U.S. markets, which started in the green, finally ended on a stable tone, troubled by a further deterioration of three notches of the rating agency in Greece by S & P. Conversely, the Asian stock rose in unison this morning, buoyed by the announcement of the Bank of Japan maintained its key interest rate near zero to support the growth of the archipelago.

Markets, however note the acceleration of inflation in China to 5.5% yoy in May, more than expected by analysts.This rate, the highest in almost three years, should still push the country's authorities to tighten the monetary and thus assist in the deceleration of economic activity in China. The monetary tightening measures taken by Beijing to curb inflation have led to a decline in new lending by Chinese banks in May and a monetary growth slowed to a low of 30 months.

Still on macroeconomic, the current account deficit in France widened somewhat in April, to 4.8 billion euros, against 4.1 in March, due to the increase in the balance of trade in goods, according to figures released Tuesday by the Banque de France (BDF). The day promises to be as charged across the Atlantic. Program: sales details, the price index for production and business inventories.

As for currencies, the euro continues to rise against the greenback at 1.4437 dollar.For its part, oil declines, affected by the downgrade of the long-term debt of Greece and the publication of inflation figures in China. In morning trading, a barrel of light sweet crude for July delivery lost 24 cents 97.06 dollars while that of Brent North Sea crude for delivery same retreated 17 cents to 118.93 dollars.

Values ​​to follow

The banking sector

Banks are sensitive to the Greek news, do not react negatively to the further deterioration of the country's debt that one step closer to the fault. BNP Paribas (1.75% to 52.31 euros), Societe Generale (+1.65% at 39.65 euros), Natixis (+1.64% to 3.52 euros), Axa (1.46 % to 14.95 euros) and Credit Agricole (1.25% to 10.13 euros) rise.

Axway Software: 26.28% to 23.50 euros Sopra: -2.88% to EUR 63

This Tuesday will be the first day of trading of the company, the shareholders of Sopra has given the green light last Wednesday to the proposed demerger and listing of the software division of group counseling and services.

Capgemini: 2.27% to 38.27 euros (largest increase in the ACC)

The group announced on Tuesday that in "exclusive negotiations" to acquire the operator Prosody.

Neopost: 1.37% to 59.05 euros

The group said growth in its expected sales of between 3 and 5% excluding currency effects in 2011, instead of the range of 2 to 4% previously expected. The manufacturer of franking machines for mail said it has completed the acquisition of GBC-Fordigraph.

Suez Environment: -0.53% to 14.02 euros (largest decline of ACC)

The group, through its subsidiary Degremont, has won a contract for the extension of the treatment plant and wastewater recycling in Qatar Doha West, for a total of 35 million euros, "he said Tuesday in a statement.

L'Oreal: 1.16% to 85.45 euros

Liliane Bettencourt should be placed under curatorship enhanced seen his health, according to doctors appointed by a judge of guardianships that have not examined directly, however, announced Tuesday a source familiar with the matter, confirming information site lemonde.fr .