Rarely have there been a fear of unemployment too high (one third of the French fear of being unemployed in the coming months) coincide with proposals also limited in terms of job candidates in the presidential election.

Apart from generation contracts (with uncertain effects) of Francois Hollande, antidélocalisation VAT (which will particularly benefit the jobs are not exposed to international competition) by Nicolas Sarkozy, or the prohibition of redundancies (fantastic in a global economy ) by Jean-Luc Melenchon, the impétrants at the Elysee do not shine with the inventiveness of their proposals. Everything happens as if in fact the only social issue of this campaign was beginning to worry about the plight of factory workers in difficulty: Lejaby, Petroplus, Photowatt, ArcelorMittal? to name only those "lucky" to one of the 20 hours. So much so that outgoing President announced that a buyer or a command Unexpected unexpected, the Socialist candidate responds by passing a law requiring an industrial facility to the closing yield. Syndrome Jospin, powerless anger of employees in 2002 by Lu who accused him of doing nothing to save them, has been there?

These employees are far from being the most deprived. From large groups who fulfill their obligations reclassification or revitalization (and often sign large checks start), they are part of the iceberg. Registration for employment center after a redundancy no longer represent each month that 2.9% of input patterns. Contrary to popular belief, their numbers fell 3.4% in 2011 to 14,000 per month. All also receive a contract security professional (CSP), ensuring a strengthened support and 100% of their net salary for a year.

This double "deluxe treatment" (media and procedural) for the CSD and interim would like to also benefit. First variable adjustment of the workforce in the companies they represent one third of entries each month at employment center (or 150,000 people) and are not entitled to a CSP in 15 experimental and employment areas. And, in an envelope limited to less than 20,000 contracts this year. 5 times less than for retrenched when they are 10 times more each month to bear the brunt of the crisis. In factories or elsewhere?

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"Industrial Employment: when the government gets involved

"The proposals of the president candidate shock

"We will put patterns Florange unemployed by taking control of the plant." Edward Martin, representative of the CFDT EWC ArcelorMittal, wants offensive. The occupation of the site, scheduled for tomorrow, is a direct consequence of the extension until 30 June of the closure of two blast furnaces Florange, the last of Lorraine. "The direction we to understand that, barring a miracle, this closure would last all year," says Edward Martin.

For several months, the largest producer of steel has many announcements to reduce its production capacity. Spain, Belgium and France but also Romania and Czech Republic were affected. Today, only the blast furnaces in Liege never reopen. Other closures are for the moment, temporary.

A temporary measure reaffirmed to the minister, Eric Besson

Bourrier Hervé, President of ArcelorMittal France, reaffirmed that "temporary" to Eric Besson, Minister of Industry, last week. Employees such as trade unionists fear yet more than this closing becomes final. The clues that point in this direction are beginning to be numerous.

"A blast furnace is designed to run continuously, says an industry expert. It degrades when it is not the case. "The first blast furnace Florange is closed since June. The second since October. Investment and maintenance are reduced. Some were made late last year but "there is nothing for a month and a half" notes François Pagano, CFE-CGC delegate. "The industrial base is deteriorating, laments Edward Martin. With the cold, some lines broken. "Worse:" The founders began to be reclassified in the group. Leaders do not take it otherwise if they had close Florange. "

The recovery of orders has not changed all that

The recovery of orders failed to revive the plant. Aditya Mittal, CFO of ArcelorMittal, said on publication of results in 2011 that "shipments are much better than the fourth quarter of 2011, but we are still far volumes 2006, 2007 and 2008." What does surprisingly, these years being excellent.

Francois Pagano explains that "the business unit North, including Dunkirk, Florange, Benelux and Germany, recorded 3.7 million tons of orders for the second quarter of 2012 while its production capacity is 3.8 million . So the plants are running at 97% capacity. At this level, it would be possible to reopen Florange to avoid a potential bottleneck. "

Finally, the closure would be consistent with the group's strategy to focus on very large production units in coastline at Dunkirk and Fos sur mer in France and Bremen in Germany Same day payday loans. The justifications for the closure of Liege seem perfectly applicable to Florange. "ArcelorMittal is considering a gain of 56 euros per tonne, which would be credited to the closure of Liege and transfer the production of slabs (Note: raw material for the manufacture of sheet metal) to Dunkirk," says the firm Laplace Council A study commissioned by the Walloon region. The forward gain is identical to Florange: "The leaders explain that ArcelorMittal bring slabs from Dunkirk saves 50 euros per tonne," confirms Francois Pagano.

With increased action "punch", although some have put Florange in the heart of the current election campaign. "Getting a formal commitment of a private company seems complicated," admits to the entourage of Eric Besson. A conclusion which adheres Francois Pagano whose only solution is to "convince Lakshmi Mittal's economic interest Florange".

"Ulcos" or last resort

All actors in the Lorraine steel cite Ulcos project, the acronym for "steel making process at very low CO2 emissions," as salvation for Florange. Launched in 2004, this is a program to find new techniques to produce steel with less carbon dioxide (CO2). Investments for carrying out are huge: 650 million euros! The French government has already pledged 150 million euros of funding. And Brussels could bring 250 million additional. ArcelorMittal leaders have vowed to launch Ulcos, and bring the balance of funding, if EU subsidies are granted.

Except that many obstacles have arisen in recent months. First techniques. The processes developed by Ulcos involve capturing and storing carbon. But experts are beginning to question this technique both for environmental reasons and efficiency.

Then the price of CO2 allowances collapsed in recent months, making plans to reduce CO2 emissions less urgent to implement. And nothing suggests that prices will go up quickly. In difficult economic times, as is currently the case, companies may be reluctant to invest in such technologies if there is no immediate financial implications.

Finally, there is little doubt that ArcelorMittal will decide to raise, or not, Florange on the basis of the only economic criteria. "The management of ArcelorMittal has told us clearly that Florange restarted if the market justifies it, and not only if Ulcos born," stated Michel Liebgott recently, area MP Florange.

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"France will not abandon the steel

The French did not splurge for the foie gras in the last Eve. Unlike 2010, good vintage in the Hexagon (4.5 vol%, 3.3% in value), they have limited their purchases last year. If sales increased 4.8% in value to nearly 1.9 billion euros, the volumes are almost stable (+1.1%), knowing that three quarters of consumption are at holiday season. "In 2011, the market held up relatively well in a period of declining consumption," comments Thierry Blandinieres, owner of the trademark Delpeyrat, No. 3 market. "This is reinforced on the poorest segments of the market premium, as the whole," added Jacques Trottier, general manager of Labeyrie, the market leader.

These good results in value is primarily explained by higher prices, by about 5%. Producers have partly reflected last year the rising cost of agricultural raw materials, grain head. Meanwhile, they continued the growing range of products, flavored with foie gras or the old recipes. Positioning that allowed Labeyrie and more at Delpeyrat-making a record year (14% by volume, 28% in value) – to win market share.

Reluctance of distributors

Nevertheless, the year 2011 marks a halt after two years of growth in value and volume, boosted by the expansion of supply and initiatives of the profession to start the season earlier. For three years, the Saint-Martin was awarded the honor in November. Actor Gerard Darmon was requisitioned for the ad campaign in radio. Partnerships with chefs and TV shows ("MasterChef" TF1) were signed. In hypermarkets and supermarkets (50% of sales of foie gras), the increase put forward by radiation and the presence in the prospectus has largely contributed to the increase in sales (+4.5% on 2009 season and 3.3% on the 2010 season).

But in 2011, the operation has not had the desired effect. "It seems that some distributors did not believe, because of the crisis, that consumers would buy as much foie gras as the previous year," said Pierre Couderc, CEO of Euralis (Montfort, Rougié). The highlighted were much more cautious. This has impacted sales (-14% by volume in November), as this is part of impulse buying. Many consumers have preferred to postpone their purchases at the last moment.

For 2012, the caution given the uncertainty in consumer confidence. Although calm on the forehead of raw materials should limit price increases in radius. No question as to increase production capacity. At Delpeyrat, we will not put more ducklings on the market this year, while their number increased by 4% in 2011. But companies who are pleased to have won new customers over the last five years (the rate of purchasing households jumped by 7.7 points from 41.5% to 49.2%), keep the course of the sophistication of their products. "The consumer has a sufficient level of maturity today to enjoy a wider range of products," promises Pierre Couderc.

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"Poultry is resistant to lower purchases of meat

Before the French, Nicolas Sarkozy will decide maybe not the word federalism, because it means a loss of sovereignty that they do not approve.Polls show they are committed to the euro – are 77% want to keep the single currency, according to the latest BVA poll for BFM / Challenges / Avanquest. But other surveys indicate that about two out of three French are not ready to "more integration". The ridge is close to the head of state for several months defending the prospect of a further step towards more integration.

"Bargaining"

It should engage in this exercise in front of the French education before or after the European Council of December 8 and 9, as a great speech that will trace the contours of France in the Europe of tomorrow. "Europe must rhyme with protection, not with globalization in the eyes of the French," says William Peltier, a member of the UMP, and patron of the Letter of opinion.

The transition with Sam Palmisano, the boss for ten years a number of U.S. computer services, will be phased. He will become chairman of the board of directors.

Continue the transformation of the group

In the soothing world of IBM, Virginia Rometty has climbed the ladder since being hired as a systems engineer. She has led the industry including insurance and financial services.His feat of arms was in 2002, the integration of the consultancy arm of PricewaterhouseCoopers to form a strike force of 100,000 consultants.

This successful integration has led her to take charge of IBM Global Services, the main activity of the giant who represented the third quarter of 2011, 57% of the turnover of the group.

Ginni Rometty intends to continue the transformation of the IT group that "has changed in a decade."

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"IBM changes DG

"IBM: Results in line with expectations

Since the beginning of the week, investors won over by a wave of optimism about the outcome of the debt crisis in the eurozone. The spokesperson of European Commissioner for Economic Affairs Olli Rehn Olli Rehn, Europe is considering strengthening the capacity of the European support fund for countries in trouble (EFSF). Rumors press also reported a proposed quadrupling of the Fund's lending capacity to 2000 billion euros. In turn, an official of the ECB, the Austrian Ewald Nowotny, did not rule out declines in interest rates in the euro area.But soon, the German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble said that Europeans had "no intention of bailing out" the EFSF.

The Spanish Minister of Economy Elena Salgado also said Tuesday that an increase of two thousand billion euros in the capacity of the European Support Fund "was not on the table." Political leaders are clearly divided on the concrete responses to the debt crisis, while discussions on the payment of a new international loan to Greece, vital to enable it to avoid bankruptcy dragged on. At the same time discontent rises and Athens was again paralyzed Tuesday by a wave of strikes in public transport.

More good news, the constraint on bank lending is beginning to loosen.The private sector credit grew by 2.6% year on year in August in the euro zone, against 2.4% in July. Loans to households grew by 3% in August, while consumer loans to individuals have declined only 1.6% against 2% last month according to figures released Tuesday by the European Central Bank (ECB) . Moreover, housing starts for new homes in France, climbing 8.1% year on year for the period from June to August. However, they mark a slowdown from earlier this year: the pace of growth in the first quarter was still 35.5%. The number of building permits for new homes has increased its share by 9.8% year on year for the same period.

The euro was weakening on Tuesday to below $ 1.35. At midday, the euro stood at 1.3496 dollars, against 1.3523 dollars late Monday.He had fallen in session Monday to 1 paydayloans.3363 dollars, its lowest level since mid-January, prior to recover. As for commodities, gold has recovered slightly this morning at 1640 dollars an ounce after declining over the last three sessions.

Values ​​follow:

The banking sector is driven by rumors of recapitalization.BNP Paribas advance of 9.25%, largest increase in the CAC 40 7.46% Credit Agricole and Societe Generale 8.55%.

Total (2.97% to 32.25 euros) reduced the number of banks in which it deposits funds for fear of a credit crunch in the euro zone, but remains confident in the French settlements, said its chief financial officer the agency Dow Jones and The Wall Street Journal.

The CEO of Renault (4.20% to 25.30 euros), Carlos Ghosn, said on Monday to Reuters that he saw no sign of slowdown in global demand despite the debt crisis in Europe and economic uncertainties in the United States.He expects an increase in car sales in the United States in 2012.

The title of the French automotive supplier Aries (18.64% to 7 euros), specialized in the production of aluminum parts, flew Tuesday in the Paris Bourse, with a net income higher than expected in the first half (6.7 million euros, up 31.3%).

Thales (2.08% to 24.58 euros) for its part plans to sell part of its services activities, according to Les Echos on Tuesday. The division, which last year made 81 million euros in sales, employs approximately 500 people. Logica names and GFI Informatique circulating among potential buyers.

Dexia (6.09% to 1.48 euros) is facing a complaint from the town of Rosny-sur-Seine (Yvelines), which has borrowed toxic.The mayor filed a complaint for "organized fraud" and "deception" with a civil court of first instance of Versailles against Dexia Credit Local.

Ipsen (3.56% 22.57 euros) was acquired from the Norwegian pharmaceutical company Photocure marketing rights of Hexvix, its flagship product for the diagnosis of bladder cancer.

The retailer Casino (2.29% to 57.13 euros) saw its price target reduced from 81 to 74 euros by HSBC. Land areas (4.54% to 50.73 euros) for his part saw the recommendation on its title upgraded to "buy" against "hold" earlier by ING.

Neopost (4.05% to 57.23 euros) will release its results for the first half after market.

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"Week crucial for Greece

The market for sports rights is held by three giants. IMG, the world, which weighs about 1.5 billion euros of turnover, is owned by Forstmann Little and the fund would be about to be sold. The world number two with Infront is 600 million euros in turnover with, the key, an estimated gross operating margin from 10% to 15%. It beats out number three, Sportfive, bought in 2006 by the Lagardère Group for 865 million euros.Sportfive is clearly slowing, and in 2010, its activity dropped by 23% to 396 million euros.

"Infront's activity is divided into four more or less equivalent. Football with the rights of the German, Italian League (Lega Calcio) and the rights of big clubs like AC Milan, Schalke 04 and Werder Bremen. Then there are winter sports, such as [events of] the International Ski Federation, or [of] the International Federation of ice hockey. And summer sports such as volleyball, handball and basketball in China. Finally, Infront carries the audiovisual production of major events in human as well as World Cup football and the championship of France Ligue 1, "said Robert Xavier, a partner at Bridgepoint in Paris no checking account payday advance.

For an investment fund, Infront has some nice features.About 80% of its turnover is earned from January 1 and the rate of renewal of contracts with rights holders to 90%. In addition, the fund has this job because it has the past five years the Spanish company Dorna, which manages the Grand Prix motorcycle.

Disintermediation

The global market for sports rights is estimated at $ 121 billion in 2011 and that of media rights and sponsorship is $ 56 billion. If the market is still growing at a rate of 4 to 5% a year, it faces a disintermediation. "The leading licensors such as UEFA, FIFA, the International Olympic Committee have the means to directly sell their rights," says Robert Xavier.

However, Bridgepoint estimates that there are significant growth drivers for Infront. Geographically first.Very presence in Europe and Asia, Infront has yet to conquer Great Britain and South America, a continent with very dynamic football World Cup 2014 and Olympics 2016 in Brazil.

The progressive development of human-related internet sports is another area of ​​growth. Finally, Bridgepoint does not hide that he may run when the throw-in sports rights held by Sportfive far as the African Cup of Nations.

Investors, who had turned away the metal shelter last week, returned to him massively in favor of strengthening fears of a slowdown in the global economy. The markets, already worried by the growth in the euro area in the second trilmestre were put ashore by a round of disappointing economic indicators published in the U.S. yesterday.The jobless claims rose last week, inflation accelerated, home resales have relapsed in July, the index measuring manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia area for the month of August was collapsed.

Analysts at Morgan Stanley have heightened these concerns by scaling back its global growth forecast for 2011 and considering that the United States and the euro area "were dangerously close to recession."

This context reinforces the gold safe haven par excellence.In its wake, the yen and Swiss franc, other safe havens, also climbed while U.S. bond yields fell to 10 years to their lowest level ever, acclaimed by investors panicked.

"Gold has not finished with its strong ascent"

"There is a market perception that the economic environment becomes dangerous, and a growing sense that politicians fail to meet the challenges of the crisis, the United States and Europe," observed Ross Norman, analyst at broker specializing Sharps Pixley."Gold is not only a safe haven asset in crisis but is also a clear barometer of market confidence, and leap today lets see the prospect of a possible second economic crisis after the 2008 potentially more damaging, "he added.

If the pessimism persists, metal king could therefore quickly reach 1900 dollars per ounce. "Gold has not finished with its strong rise," warns Simon Denham, Head of Capital Spreads.

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"SPECIAL OR – The race for records

"SPECIAL – Depression, fear of debt

Italy

Rome adopted Friday a drastic austerity plan to recover 45.5 billion euros by 2013, based in particular on tax increases, massive loss of seats of local administrations and combination.

For the first time, a solidarity tax on the highest incomes was introduced, up to 5% for incomes over 90,000 euros per year and 10% in excess of 150,000.Parliament had already voted in July an austerity plan of 48 billion euros over three years. But Italy has no choice its massive debt (120% of GDP) in place at the forefront of possible victims of the debt crisis. The surge of his bond yields to record levels last week had forced the ECB to redeem itself from the Italian debt in exchange for strict conditions on the hardening of austerity.

Sunday, the president of the European Council, Herman Van Rompuy, welcomed these measures "critical" for Italy, but also "for the euro area as a whole."The Europeans know that, after the bailout for Greece, Ireland and Portugal, the fall of Italy would push the euro into unknown territory paydayloan.

Spain

Seen as another weak link by investors, Madrid about to vote in late August a tightening of discipline, to bring back 4.9 billion euros in additional funds. This new turn of the screw completes the plan adopted in 2010 drastically to save 65 billion over three years.This time, it is health insurance and big business that would be utilized.

Greece

Athens, whose budget woes have catalyzed the debt crisis, the end of June adopted an austerity plan providing for severe savings of 28.4 billion euros in 2015 (divided equally between tax increases and decreases public expenditure) and a wave of privatizations to bring 50 billion euros. This was the condition imposed by the IMF and the European partners to unlock their help.

Portugal

Lisbon, also forced a bailout, wants to go beyond the expectations of international donors. To counter any slippage in public finances, the government announced in July drastic measures: special tax of 50% of the fourteenth month of incomes above the minimum wage, increase in VAT from 6 to 23% …These cuts are in addition to a package (15% increase in transportation rates, primary school closures …) has already been decided despite their unpopularity.

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"Depression: the common front Sarkozy-Merkel

"Merkel faces a sharp political debate in Germany

"SPECIAL – Depression, fear of debt

Last week, the inability of the United States to solve the problem of public finances had weighed on investor sentiment. In Paris the CAC 40 was indeed touched its lowest level in session year (3,630.75 points), while Wall Street finished its worst week in a year, despite the intervention of Obama Friday in an attempt to reassure debt.

After the relief 10 days ago on Greek sovereign debt, the calm would return to the Paris financial center.After weeks of negotiations, elected Democrats and Republicans have indeed finally found common ground on the amount of new ceiling, avoiding the world's largest economy is in default of payment in the coming days. According to preliminary information provided by the White House, the debt ceiling would be raised to 2.1 trillion dollars, which breathe new life in the United States on the forehead of the debt until 2013, after the presidential elections. This agreement in principle will also enable the countries to continue to borrow on the markets beyond the August 2 deadline set by the Treasury.

The reaction of rating agencies expected

On the other hand, no excessive optimism are to be expected in the financial markets today, at least until the U.S. Congress has not ratified the agreement. The first submission is expected to vote that day.Furthermore, few details have yet filtered on measures taken to reduce the deficit in the U.S., which does not exclude the possibility of deterioration in the rating of the sovereign debt of the United States.

For now, the first tranche of spending cuts of $ 1 trillion is expected. Then a bipartisan special committee of Congress will then be responsible for finding the end of November additional expenditure cuts amounting to 1.5 trillion dollars. A total of 2.5 trillion dollars in budget cuts, all over 10 years. From this point of view, the reaction of rating agencies in this agreement called the "medium term" should be widely followed by the markets.

On the currency front, the dollar has benefited only modestly from the announcement of the night, illustrating the temporary nature of such an agreement.Around 6:00, the euro slipped against the dollar at 1.4385 dollars against 1.4395 on Friday, but climbed against the yen at 111.67 yen against 110.41 Friday. For its part, the dollar set off again up significantly against the yen at 77.63 yen after briefly reached 78 yen, 76.73 yen against Friday night.

In terms of oil prices were up Monday morning in electronic trading in Asia, where the market relieved by this agreement in extremis. In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery gained 1.53 dollars to 97.23 dollars. That of Brent North Sea crude for September delivery was appreciating $ 1.25 dollar to 117.99.

Macroeconomic side, investors should look carefully at the unemployment figures for the month of JuneOverseas are also expected to 4:00 p.m. construction spending for the month of June, the ISM manufacturing index for July.

As for values ​​to follow

Last week, the many semi-annual publications were rather disappointing, adding to the nervousness of investors. The pace slows publications this week, though are expected in the next three days the details of the interim bank values ​​(Tuesday BNP Paribas, Societe Generale on Wednesday and Thursday Axa and Natixis).

Eiffage reported a slight slowdown in growth in the second quarter despite a sharp rebound from its construction activities, the division of public works who registered a decrease over the period.

Outremer Telecom.A draft tender offer simplified to the telecom operator was introduced by OMT Invest, a structure controlled by Axa Private Equity, according to a notice to the Financial Markets Authority (AMF) and released Friday.

EDF Energies Nouvelles (EDF ENR) has entered into exclusive negotiations with Capital Perceva to cede control of Supra, the fund feeds the project to file a simplified takeover bid at the end of the process.

General Health issued a sharp drop in operating profit in the first half due to exceptional items, but its revenue rose due to higher acute care stays.

Recylex published Friday sales for the second quarter increased significantly, from 32% to 125.34 million euros, supported by an increase of 48% of its business in recycling lead thanks to rising 16 % of lead prices and increased sales volumes.

Air Liquide. The gas giant reported Monday a 11% increase in net profit in the first half, to 750 million euros.It maintained its forecast a "steady increase" in net profit for the year.

Note that Gameloft will publish its interim results after market close, while Le Noble Age unveil at the same time state sales for the same period. The British bank HSBC, which is listed in Paris, finally published its results for the first six months of the year.

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"Asian stock markets welcomed the U.S. agreement